16:30 Tramore

Ireland

Pickardstown Handicap Steeplechase

1m7½f · Chase · Yielding · 6 runners · €7,200 · Thursday, 8 October 2026

E/W terms2 places at 1/4 odds in a 7-runner field — the place half of an each-way bet has historically returned −14% to −22% at these terms· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Farrokh

No. 2 · score 70.4 · +6.4 clear of next best · best 4/1·5.10

Best value vs consensus

Sayitfirst

19.5·19.50 Matchbook · +25% vs fair (consensus 15.66)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 28 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way70.4/100 rating

Farrokh

5.10Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: FarrokhAgrees with our pick

Farrokh is our selection at Tramore, and he looks the call on a fitness edge and a progressive profile, with only four pounds separating him from the top-rated runner on our figures. Leave In Secret is the chief danger as the highest-rated runner in the field, while Lady Doyanne is just a pound ahead of Farrokh and Marelly sits a few pounds back, so none can be dismissed in a tight seven-runner contest. Even so, Farrokh's improving profile and sharper condition give him the edge on good to soft ground, and he gets the vote, even if this is a low-confidence selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Farrokh

Sean Flanagan · Barry Connell · 7yo

Top-rated of 7

score 70.4 · +6.4 clear of next best (64.0)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
27d since last run (race-fit window)
Ratings50% weight
72strong
OR 108 — above field median
Trainer20% weight
63small sample (n=4)
Barry Connell: 1/4 winners last 14d (25%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
Form20% weight
59average
Last 6: 6-U-1-4-2

MarketBest price 5.10 (Matchbook) · 3rd in the market of 7.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Front-runners(0)—
Prominent(3)
3Lady Doyanne 6Dontcavein 7Itsalonglongroad
Mid-division(0)—
Hold-up / closers(2)
1Leave In Secret 5Sayitfirst
Unknown(2)
2Farrokh Marelly

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
2	FarrokhPick J: Sean Flanagan · T: Barry Connell · draw 0 · combo 4/20 (20%) 7yo · G · bDOnly runner	6U142	11-10	108	—	—	70.4	9/2·5.42	5.1·5.10 Matchbook · -6% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook5.1·5.10Paddy Power4/1·5.00 Betfair Exchange4.9·4.90Smarkets4.9·4.90Coral7/2·4.50 Betano7/2·4.50 Ladbrokes7/2·4.50 Unibet7/2·4.50 Betfred7/2·4.50 Quinn Bet7/2·4.50 Star Sports7/2·4.50 William Hill7/2·4.50 BetTom7/2·4.50 10 Bet7/2·4.50 Bet Victor7/2·4.50 SmarketsSBK7/2·4.50 BetWright7/2·4.50 Bet3657/2·4.50 BetMGM7/2·4.50Betfair Sportsbook7/2·4.50Boyle Sports7/2·4.50 SportingIndex7/2·4.50 Spreadex7/2·4.50Hollywood Bets7/2·4.50LiveScore Bet7/2·4.50Virgin Bet7/2·4.50Dragon Bet7/2·4.50 Midnite10/3·4.33
1	Leave In Secret J: James Smith(3) · T: Thomas Gibney · draw 0 · combo 0/16 (0%) 7yo · G · btOnly rideOnly runner	77432	11-12	110	—	—	64.0	9/2·5.42	5.1·5.10 Matchbook · -6% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook5.1·5.10Smarkets5.1·5.10Betfair Exchange5·5.00Betfair Sportsbook7/2·4.50Ladbrokes7/2·4.50 Quinn Bet7/2·4.50 10 Bet7/2·4.50 BetTom7/2·4.50 Star Sports7/2·4.50 LiveScore Bet7/2·4.50 William Hill7/2·4.50 Dragon Bet7/2·4.50 Paddy Power7/2·4.50 Unibet7/2·4.50 BetMGM7/2·4.50 Boyle Sports7/2·4.50 Coral7/2·4.50Hollywood Bets7/2·4.50SportingIndex7/2·4.50Virgin Bet7/2·4.50Betfred7/2·4.50 SmarketsSBK7/2·4.50 Spreadex7/2·4.50 BetWright7/2·4.50 Bet36510/3·4.33 Betano10/3·4.33 Midnite10/3·4.33 Bet Victor10/3·4.33
3	Lady Doyanne J: Darragh O'Keeffe · T: Henry de Bromhead · draw 0 · combo 32/152 (21%) 6yo · M · bt	43223	11-10	108	—	—	63.5	4/1·4.82	3/1·4.00 LiveScore Bet · -17% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ LiveScore Bet3/1·4.00Virgin Bet3/1·4.0010 Bet3/1·4.00 Unibet3/1·4.00 Bet3653/1·4.00 Boyle Sports3/1·4.00 William Hill3/1·4.00 Betfred3/1·4.00 Coral3/1·4.00Hollywood Bets3/1·4.00Ladbrokes3/1·4.00 Quinn Bet3/1·4.00 BetTom3/1·4.00 Star Sports3/1·4.00 Betfair Exchange4·4.00Matchbook4·4.00Smarkets3.95·3.95Paddy Power11/4·3.75 Betano11/4·3.75 Spreadex11/4·3.75 BetMGM11/4·3.75 Bet Victor11/4·3.75 Midnite11/4·3.75Betfair Sportsbook11/4·3.75SportingIndex11/4·3.75 SmarketsSBK11/4·3.75 BetWright5/2·3.50 Dragon Bet5/2·3.50
7	Itsalonglongroad J: Shane O'Callaghan(3) · T: David O'Sullivan · draw 0 · combo 2/16 (13%) 12yo · G · bbOnly rideOnly runner	P0736	10-04	88	—	—	53.0	18/1·18.07	22·22.00 Matchbook · +22% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook22·22.00Smarkets22·22.00Betfair Exchange21·21.00 SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00 Bet36516/1·17.00 10 Bet14/1·15.00 BetMGM14/1·15.00 Unibet14/1·15.00 Coral14/1·15.00 Quinn Bet14/1·15.00Hollywood Bets14/1·15.00Midnite14/1·15.00 BetTom14/1·15.00 Star Sports14/1·15.00 Ladbrokes14/1·15.00 William Hill14/1·15.00 LiveScore Bet14/1·15.00Virgin Bet14/1·15.00Bet Victor14/1·15.00 Boyle Sports14/1·15.00 Paddy Power14/1·15.00 Betfred14/1·15.00 Betano14/1·15.00 BetWright12/1·13.00 Dragon Bet12/1·13.00Betfair Sportsbook12/1·13.00SportingIndex11/1·12.00 Spreadex11/1·12.00
—	Marelly J: Mr R Sugrue(7) · T: P J Rothwell · draw 0 · combo 2/44 (5%) 9yo · G · bb	13942	10-11	95	—	—	48.4	20/1·20.48	22/1·23.00 Paddy Power · +12% vs fair Compare 19 books ▾ Paddy Power22/1·23.00Betfair Sportsbook20/1·21.00Betfair Exchange21·21.00 William Hill18/1·19.00 Dragon Bet18/1·19.00 10 Bet18/1·19.00 BetWright18/1·19.00 Coral16/1·17.00 Star Sports16/1·17.00 Unibet16/1·17.00 Betfred16/1·17.00 Ladbrokes16/1·17.00 Quinn Bet16/1·17.00 Midnite14/1·15.00 Bet36514/1·15.00 BetMGM14/1·15.00 Boyle Sports11/1·12.00Hollywood Bets9/1·10.00Matchbook4.5·4.50
5	Sayitfirst J: Danny Gilligan · T: Darren Collins · draw 0 10yo · M · brOnly pairing	9P808	10-11	95	—	—	42.8	14/1·15.66	19.5·19.50 Matchbook · +25% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook19.5·19.50Smarkets18·18.00Betfair Exchange17.5·17.50 SmarketsSBK16/1·17.00 William Hill12/1·13.00 BetTom12/1·13.00 Betfred12/1·13.00 Unibet12/1·13.00Hollywood Bets12/1·13.0010 Bet12/1·13.00 Bet36512/1·13.00 Bet Victor12/1·13.00 LiveScore Bet12/1·13.00Virgin Bet12/1·13.00BetWright12/1·13.00 Ladbrokes12/1·13.00 Betano12/1·13.00 Quinn Bet12/1·13.00 Star Sports12/1·13.00 Coral12/1·13.00 Midnite12/1·13.00 SportingIndex12/1·13.00 Paddy Power12/1·13.00 Spreadex12/1·13.00 Dragon Bet12/1·13.00 BetMGM12/1·13.00 Boyle Sports12/1·13.00Betfair Sportsbook11/1·12.00
6	Dontcavein J: Kevin Healy(7) · T: Ciaran Murphy · draw 0 · combo 2/7 (29%) 6yo · G · btOnly runner	496P0	10-08	92	—	—	40.7	3/1·3.91	3.55·3.55 Betfair Exchange · -9% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Betfair Exchange3.55·3.55Matchbook3.55·3.55Bet3655/2·3.50Smarkets3.5·3.50SmarketsSBK12/5·3.40Betfair Sportsbook9/4·3.25Betfred9/4·3.25 10 Bet9/4·3.25 Unibet9/4·3.25 Paddy Power9/4·3.25 LiveScore Bet9/4·3.25Virgin Bet9/4·3.25SportingIndex9/4·3.25 Spreadex9/4·3.25 Coral9/4·3.25 BetMGM9/4·3.25 Dragon Bet9/4·3.25 BetWright9/4·3.25 BetTom9/4·3.25 Ladbrokes9/4·3.25Hollywood Bets9/4·3.25Midnite9/4·3.25 Quinn Bet9/4·3.25 Star Sports9/4·3.25 William Hill9/4·3.25 Boyle Sports9/4·3.25 Bet Victor85/40·3.13 Betano85/40·3.13

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 19–28 bookmakers per horse with the 21% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Pickardstown Handicap Steeplechase?

The Pickardstown Handicap Steeplechase is off at 16:30 on 8 October 2026 at Tramore (Ireland).

What is the field size and distance of the 16:30 Tramore?

1m7½f, Chase, 6 runners declared.

What is the going for the 16:30 Tramore?

Going is reported as Yielding on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 16:30 Tramore?

The AI top-rated runner is Farrokh (score 70.4, best price 5.10). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 16:30 Tramore?

The market favourite is Dontcavein at a best price of 3.55. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Farrokh.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org