14:05 Bath

EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

5f · Flat · Class 4 · Good · 7 runners · £5,400 · Thursday, 8 October 2026

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E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (9 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Blackberry Bold

No. 1 · score 41.8 · +9.8 clear of next best · best 33/1·32.00

Best value vs consensus

Blackberry Bold (also top rated)

32·32.00 Matchbook · +23% vs fair (consensus 26.07)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 29 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way31.0/100 rating

Chanter Le Blues

5.60Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Blackberry Bold

Gina Mangan · Dr Richard Newland · 2yo

Top-rated of 9

score 41.8 · +9.8 clear of next best (32.0)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
65strong
170d since last run (rusty)
Form20% weight
60average
Last 6: 3-3
Ratings50% weight
47below average
OR 70 — highest combined rating in the field
Trainer20% weight
0weak
Dr Richard Newland: 0/14 winners last 14d (0%)

MarketBest price 32.00 (Matchbook) · 7th in the market of 9.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Front-runners(1)
9Urumita
Prominent(3)
8Kerry Grey Debutante Blake's Lass
Mid-division(0)—
Hold-up / closers(0)—
Unknown(5)
1Blackberry Bold 3Casting Coach 4Chanter Le Blues 6Faster Love 7Go Go Girl

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Bath 5f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.12).

Low (1–3)

IV 1.12

Mid (4–6)

IV 1.06

High (7–9)

IV 0.81

Today: Go Go Girl (draw 1) and Casting Coach (draw 3) get the bias; Faster Love (draw 9) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 187 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
1	Blackberry BoldPick J: Gina Mangan · T: Dr Richard Newland · draw 4 · combo 0/5 (0%) 2yo · F · bhFT HFirst after wind opOnly runner	33	9-02	70	—	—	41.8	25/1·26.07	32·32.00 Matchbook · +23% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook32·32.00Smarkets30·30.00Betfair Exchange29·29.00 SmarketsSBK25/1·26.00 SportingIndex22/1·23.00 Midnite22/1·23.00 Bet36522/1·23.00 Spreadex22/1·23.00 Unibet22/1·23.00 BetWright20/1·21.00 Star Sports20/1·21.00 LiveScore Bet20/1·21.00Virgin Bet20/1·21.00BetMGM20/1·21.00 10 Bet20/1·21.00 7Bet20/1·21.00 Quinn Bet20/1·21.00Hollywood Bets20/1·21.00Dragon Bet20/1·21.00 BetTom20/1·21.00 William Hill20/1·21.00Betfair Sportsbook18/1·19.00Paddy Power18/1·19.00 Betfred18/1·19.00 Bet Victor18/1·19.00 Boyle Sports18/1·19.00 Betano16/1·17.00 Ladbrokes16/1·17.00 Coral14/1·15.00
7	Go Go Girl J: Rossa Ryan · T: Clive Cox · draw 1 · combo 16/69 (23%) 2yo · F · b	3	9-02	—	—	—	32.0	5/2·3.41	2.94·2.94 Matchbook · -14% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook2.94·2.94Smarkets2.92·2.92Betfair Exchange2.92·2.92 SmarketsSBK9/5·2.80 SportingIndex7/4·2.75Betfair Sportsbook7/4·2.75Hollywood Bets7/4·2.75Ladbrokes7/4·2.75 Spreadex7/4·2.75 Paddy Power7/4·2.75 Bet3657/4·2.75 LiveScore Bet7/4·2.75Virgin Bet7/4·2.75Coral7/4·2.75 William Hill7/4·2.75 7Bet13/8·2.63 BetWright13/8·2.63 Dragon Bet13/8·2.63 Midnite13/8·2.63 Boyle Sports6/4·2.50 Betfred6/4·2.50 Quinn Bet6/4·2.50 Star Sports6/4·2.50 BetMGM6/4·2.50 Bet Victor6/4·2.50 Betano6/4·2.50 Unibet6/4·2.50 BetTom6/4·2.50 10 Bet11/8·2.38
6	Faster Love J: Jack Mitchell · T: Gay Kelleway · draw 9 2yo · F · b	—	9-02	—	—	—	31.5	100/1·100.55	210·210.00 Matchbook · +109% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook210·210.00Smarkets200·200.00SmarketsSBK150/1·151.00 Betfair Exchange130·130.00 Midnite100/1·101.00 Bet365100/1·101.00 7Bet80/1·81.00 Spreadex80/1·81.00 BetTom80/1·81.00Hollywood Bets80/1·81.00SportingIndex80/1·81.00 Coral80/1·81.00 LiveScore Bet80/1·81.00 BetWright80/1·81.00 Dragon Bet80/1·81.00 William Hill80/1·81.00Virgin Bet80/1·81.00Boyle Sports80/1·81.00 Ladbrokes80/1·81.00 Quinn Bet80/1·81.00Betfair Sportsbook66/1·67.00Paddy Power66/1·67.00 Betano66/1·67.00 10 Bet66/1·67.00 Betfred66/1·67.00 Star Sports66/1·67.00 BetMGM66/1·67.00 Bet Victor66/1·67.00 Unibet66/1·67.00
4	Chanter Le Blues J: Luke Morris · T: Archie Watson · draw 5 · combo 2/52 (4%) 2yo · F · bOnly runner	3	9-02	—	—	—	31.0	5/1·6.21	5.6·5.60 Matchbook · -10% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook5.6·5.60Betfair Exchange5.6·5.60Smarkets5.6·5.60Midnite4/1·5.00 Betfred4/1·5.00 SmarketsSBK4/1·5.00 Star Sports4/1·5.00Hollywood Bets4/1·5.00Bet3654/1·5.00 10 Bet4/1·5.00 LiveScore Bet4/1·5.00 Unibet4/1·5.00 Quinn Bet4/1·5.00Virgin Bet4/1·5.00William Hill4/1·5.00 Paddy Power4/1·5.00 Spreadex7/2·4.50 BetMGM7/2·4.50 Ladbrokes7/2·4.50 7Bet7/2·4.50 Boyle Sports7/2·4.50 BetTom7/2·4.50 SportingIndex7/2·4.50 BetWright7/2·4.50 Dragon Bet7/2·4.50Betfair Sportsbook7/2·4.50Coral7/2·4.50 Betano10/3·4.33 Bet Victor10/3·4.33
3	Casting Coach J: Stevie Donohoe · T: Ollie Sangster · draw 3 · combo 4/38 (11%) 2yo · F · grOnly rideOnly runner	3	9-02	—	—	—	29.5	5/1·6.21	9/2·5.50 Unibet · -11% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Unibet9/2·5.50Matchbook5.5·5.5010 Bet9/2·5.50 Star Sports9/2·5.50 Betfair Exchange5.5·5.50Smarkets5.4·5.40BetWright4/1·5.00 Dragon Bet4/1·5.00 Quinn Bet4/1·5.00 BetMGM4/1·5.00 Bet Victor4/1·5.00 Bet3654/1·5.00 Boyle Sports4/1·5.00 LiveScore Bet4/1·5.00 Betfred4/1·5.00 SmarketsSBK4/1·5.00 Midnite4/1·5.00 Spreadex4/1·5.00 7Bet4/1·5.00 BetTom4/1·5.00 Betano4/1·5.00 SportingIndex4/1·5.00Hollywood Bets4/1·5.00Virgin Bet4/1·5.00Paddy Power4/1·5.00Betfair Sportsbook4/1·5.00William Hill4/1·5.00 Coral7/2·4.50 Ladbrokes7/2·4.50
8	Kerry Grey J: David Probert · T: Richard Hughes · draw 2 2yo · F · grOnly runner	3	9-02	—	—	—	29.0	7/1·8.07	8.2·8.20 Betfair Exchange · +2% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange8.2·8.20Smarkets8.2·8.20Matchbook8.2·8.20SmarketsSBK13/2·7.50 Bet3656/1·7.00 SportingIndex6/1·7.00 Betfred6/1·7.00 Spreadex6/1·7.00 Unibet6/1·7.00 William Hill11/2·6.50 Paddy Power11/2·6.50 Boyle Sports11/2·6.50 Dragon Bet11/2·6.50Hollywood Bets11/2·6.50BetWright11/2·6.50Virgin Bet11/2·6.50Betfair Sportsbook11/2·6.5010 Bet11/2·6.50 Quinn Bet11/2·6.50 Star Sports11/2·6.50 7Bet11/2·6.50 LiveScore Bet11/2·6.50 BetMGM11/2·6.50 Midnite11/2·6.50 BetTom5/1·6.00 Bet Victor5/1·6.00 Coral5/1·6.00 Betano5/1·6.00 Ladbrokes5/1·6.00
—	Debutante J: Tom Marquand · T: Ed Walker · draw 7 · combo 1/23 (4%) 2yo · F · btFT T	4	9-02	—	—	—	23.0	40/1·42.20	40/1·41.00 Bet365 · -3% vs fair Compare 20 books ▾ Bet36540/1·41.00Matchbook40·40.00Betfair Exchange36·36.00 7Bet35/1·36.00 Unibet33/1·34.00 William Hill33/1·34.00 Midnite33/1·34.00 Coral33/1·34.00 Ladbrokes33/1·34.00 Quinn Bet33/1·34.00Betfair Sportsbook33/1·34.00Paddy Power33/1·34.00 10 Bet33/1·34.00 Betfred33/1·34.00 Boyle Sports33/1·34.00Hollywood Bets33/1·34.00BetMGM33/1·34.00 Star Sports33/1·34.00 BetWright28/1·29.00 Dragon Bet28/1·29.00
—	Blake's Lass J: George Wood · T: Ivan Furtado · draw 6 2yo · F · bFirst after wind opOnly runner	25	9-02	—	—	—	22.2	22/1·23.58	24·24.00 Matchbook · +2% vs fair Compare 27 books ▾ Matchbook24·24.00Betfair Exchange23·23.00 Spreadex20/1·21.00 Bet36520/1·21.00 Coral20/1·21.00 Quinn Bet20/1·21.00 SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00Betfair Sportsbook20/1·21.00Paddy Power20/1·21.00 Ladbrokes20/1·21.00 SportingIndex20/1·21.00 William Hill20/1·21.00 7Bet18/1·19.00 Unibet18/1·19.00Virgin Bet18/1·19.00Boyle Sports18/1·19.00 LiveScore Bet18/1·19.00 Star Sports18/1·19.00 Midnite18/1·19.00 Betfred16/1·17.00Hollywood Bets16/1·17.00BetWright16/1·17.00 Bet Victor16/1·17.00 BetMGM16/1·17.00 Dragon Bet16/1·17.00 Betano16/1·17.00 10 Bet14/1·15.00
9	Urumita J: Sean Levey · T: Richard Hannon · draw 8 · combo 20/157 (13%) 2yo · F · b	452	9-02	—	—	—	21.3	6/1·6.83	6.4·6.40 Betfair Exchange · -6% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange6.4·6.40Matchbook6.4·6.40Smarkets6.4·6.40Star Sports5/1·6.00 Midnite5/1·6.00 Quinn Bet5/1·6.00 Paddy Power5/1·6.00 Coral5/1·6.00 Unibet5/1·6.00 SmarketsSBK5/1·6.00 10 Bet5/1·6.00 BetTom5/1·6.00 Ladbrokes5/1·6.00 LiveScore Bet9/2·5.50 7Bet9/2·5.50 Bet Victor9/2·5.50 BetWright9/2·5.50 Betfred9/2·5.50Hollywood Bets9/2·5.50Betano9/2·5.50Virgin Bet9/2·5.50BetMGM9/2·5.50Betfair Sportsbook9/2·5.50Bet3659/2·5.50 Dragon Bet9/2·5.50 William Hill4/1·5.00 SportingIndex4/1·5.00 Boyle Sports4/1·5.00 Spreadex4/1·5.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 20–29 bookmakers per horse with the 24% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)?

The EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) is off at 14:05 on 8 October 2026 at Bath (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 14:05 Bath?

5f, Class 4, Flat, 7 runners declared.

What is the going for the 14:05 Bath?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 14:05 Bath?

The AI top-rated runner is Blackberry Bold (score 41.8, best price 32.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 14:05 Bath?

The market favourite is Go Go Girl at a best price of 2.94. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Blackberry Bold.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org