16:16 Market Rasen

Market Rasen Racecourse Caravan Park Mares' Handicap Hurdle Race

2m7f · Hurdle · Class 5 · Good · 8 runners · £3,565 · Thursday, 8 October 2026

Compare all prices

E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (8 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Leave Her To Me

No. 5 · score 64.2 · +0.5 clear of next best · best 12/1·14.00

Best value vs consensus

Mistral Milly

11·11.00 Smarkets · +2% vs fair (consensus 10.75)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 28 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

v1.1-2.06 score

Mistral Milly

8.40Betfair Exchange

segment +6.2% · Hurdle · Good · Class 5

Each-way64.2/100 rating

Leave Her To Me

14.00Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Spit SpotDiffers from our pick

Spit Spot looks the right one to side with in this Class 5 staying contest over 23 furlongs at Market Rasen, holding a clear five-pound advantage on our figures over Mistral Milly, who is the next best. That sort of edge matters in a bunched field where the bulk of the runners sit within a few pounds of each other, and the good ground should pose no problem for a horse who has run over today's distance and going before. Mistral Milly is the chief danger, with Spot On Soph and Leave Her To Me both close enough to take advantage if our selection fails to settle. Spit Spot has the best credentials on balance, so she is the pick.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Leave Her To Me

Nick Slatter(3) · David Killahena & Graeme McPherson · 8yo

Top-rated of 8

score 64.2 · +0.5 clear of next best (63.7)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
85very strong
33d since last run (fresh)
Trainer20% weight
83small sample (n=3)
David Killahena & Graeme McPherson: 1/3 winners last 14d (33%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
Ratings50% weight
65average
OR 97
Form20% weight
34weak
Last 6: 5-9-P-6-2

MarketBest price 14.00 (Betfair Exchange) · 7th in the market of 8.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: 3 confirmed front-runners — expect a pace duel; closers from the rear advantaged.

Front-runners(3)
3Parikarma 4Ebselysees 6Mistral Blue
Prominent(1)
5Leave Her To Me
Mid-division(0)—
Hold-up / closers(4)
1Spot On Soph 2Spit Spot 7Mistral Milly 8Quick of The Night

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
5	Leave Her To MePick J: Nick Slatter(3) · T: David Killahena & Graeme McPherson · draw 0 · combo 3/35 (9%) 8yo · M · bOnly rideOnly runner	59P62	11-07	97	—	—	64.2	12/1·13.74	14·14.00 Betfair Exchange · +2% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Betfair Exchange14·14.00Hollywood Bets12/1·13.00Betfair Sportsbook12/1·13.00SportingIndex12/1·13.00 Paddy Power12/1·13.00 Spreadex12/1·13.00 William Hill12/1·13.00 Bet36512/1·13.00Smarkets12.5·12.50SmarketsSBK11/1·12.00 10 Bet11/1·12.00 LiveScore Bet11/1·12.00Virgin Bet11/1·12.007Bet11/1·12.00 BetTom10/1·11.00 Betfred10/1·11.00 Unibet10/1·11.00 Coral10/1·11.00 Quinn Bet10/1·11.00 Bet Victor10/1·11.00 BetWright10/1·11.00 Star Sports10/1·11.00 Dragon Bet10/1·11.00 Betano10/1·11.00 Ladbrokes10/1·11.00 BetMGM9/1·10.00 Midnite9/1·10.00 Boyle Sports5/2·3.50
1	Spot On Soph J: Rebecca Hitchen(7) · T: Sam England · draw 0 · combo 3/11 (27%) 10yo · M · btClass dropOn last winning markGoing 2/2Only rideOnly runner	57511	12-00	104	—	—	63.7	11/4·3.81	3.45·3.45 Smarkets · -9% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Smarkets3.45·3.45Betfair Exchange3.45·3.45 SmarketsSBK12/5·3.40 LiveScore Bet9/4·3.25 William Hill9/4·3.25 Bet3659/4·3.25Betfair Sportsbook9/4·3.2510 Bet9/4·3.25 Paddy Power9/4·3.25Virgin Bet9/4·3.25SportingIndex9/4·3.25 Spreadex9/4·3.25 BetWright9/4·3.25Hollywood Bets9/4·3.25BetTom85/40·3.13 Midnite2/1·3.00 Quinn Bet2/1·3.00 Unibet2/1·3.00 7Bet2/1·3.00 Bet Victor2/1·3.00 Dragon Bet2/1·3.00 Betfred2/1·3.00 Coral2/1·3.00 Ladbrokes2/1·3.00 Star Sports2/1·3.00 Boyle Sports15/8·2.88 BetMGM15/8·2.88 Betano15/8·2.88
3	Parikarma J: Miss Imogen Mathias(7) · T: Samuel Drinkwater · draw 0 · combo 1/8 (13%) 9yo · M · bvClass dropGoing 1/5Only rideOnly runner	272313	11-11	101	—	—	57.4	11/2·6.57	5/1·6.00 Hollywood Bets · -9% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Hollywood Bets5/1·6.00Betfair Exchange5.7·5.70Smarkets5.7·5.70Quinn Bet9/2·5.50 BetTom9/2·5.50 Paddy Power9/2·5.50 7Bet9/2·5.50 Ladbrokes9/2·5.50 10 Bet9/2·5.50 SportingIndex9/2·5.50 Bet3659/2·5.50Virgin Bet9/2·5.50Midnite9/2·5.50 Spreadex9/2·5.50 Unibet9/2·5.50 BetMGM9/2·5.50 LiveScore Bet9/2·5.50 William Hill9/2·5.50 Betfred9/2·5.50 Coral9/2·5.50 SmarketsSBK9/2·5.50 Star Sports9/2·5.50 Dragon Bet4/1·5.00 Boyle Sports4/1·5.00Betfair Sportsbook4/1·5.00Bet Victor4/1·5.00 BetWright4/1·5.00 Betano4/1·5.00
4	Ebselysees J: Nathan Moscrop · T: Susan Corbett · draw 0 · combo 2/31 (6%) 7yo · M · bpClass drop	71155	11-11	101	—	—	57.1	14/1·15.53	15.5·15.50 Betfair Exchange Compare 28 books ▾ Betfair Exchange15.5·15.50 Bet36514/1·15.00 Unibet14/1·15.00Smarkets14·14.00Boyle Sports12/1·13.00Hollywood Bets12/1·13.00Star Sports12/1·13.00 10 Bet12/1·13.00 William Hill12/1·13.00 BetTom12/1·13.00 SmarketsSBK12/1·13.00 Betfred12/1·13.00 Midnite12/1·13.00 Paddy Power12/1·13.00 BetWright12/1·13.00 Quinn Bet12/1·13.00 BetMGM11/1·12.00Virgin Bet11/1·12.00Betano11/1·12.00 LiveScore Bet11/1·12.00 7Bet11/1·12.00Betfair Sportsbook11/1·12.00Bet Victor11/1·12.00 Dragon Bet11/1·12.00 SportingIndex10/1·11.00 Spreadex10/1·11.00 Ladbrokes9/1·10.00 Coral9/1·10.00
2	Spit Spot J: Patrick Wadge · T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore · draw 0 · combo 2/16 (13%) 7yo · M · chtClass dropOnly rideOnly runner	7PF50	11-13	103	—	—	54.6	15/2·8.36	10.5·10.50 Smarkets · +26% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Smarkets10.5·10.50Betfair Exchange10·10.00 SmarketsSBK8/1·9.00 Unibet15/2·8.50 SportingIndex15/2·8.50 Spreadex15/2·8.50 Bet3657/1·8.00 Midnite13/2·7.50 BetWright13/2·7.50 Paddy Power6/1·7.00 Star Sports6/1·7.00 Ladbrokes6/1·7.00 Quinn Bet6/1·7.00 10 Bet6/1·7.00 Betfred6/1·7.00 Coral6/1·7.00 Dragon Bet6/1·7.00 William Hill6/1·7.00Virgin Bet6/1·7.007Bet6/1·7.00Betfair Sportsbook6/1·7.00BetTom6/1·7.00 LiveScore Bet6/1·7.00Hollywood Bets6/1·7.00Bet Victor11/2·6.50 Boyle Sports11/2·6.50 Betano11/2·6.50 BetMGM5/1·6.00
6	Mistral Blue J: Fern O'Brien(5) · T: Fergal O'Brien · draw 0 · combo 4/22 (18%) 8yo · M · bOn last winning markDGoing 1/5	531607	11-07	97	—	—	51.7	11/1·11.95	11·11.00 Smarkets · -8% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Smarkets11·11.00Betfair Exchange10.5·10.50 SmarketsSBK9/1·10.00 SportingIndex9/1·10.00 Spreadex9/1·10.00 BetMGM9/1·10.00 Coral9/1·10.00 LiveScore Bet9/1·10.00Virgin Bet9/1·10.0010 Bet9/1·10.00 William Hill9/1·10.00Betfair Sportsbook9/1·10.00Quinn Bet9/1·10.00 Unibet9/1·10.00 Ladbrokes9/1·10.00 Bet3659/1·10.00 Star Sports9/1·10.00 Paddy Power9/1·10.00 7Bet17/2·9.50Hollywood Bets17/2·9.50Betfred17/2·9.50 BetTom17/2·9.50 Midnite17/2·9.50 BetWright17/2·9.50 Betano8/1·9.00 Dragon Bet8/1·9.00 Bet Victor8/1·9.00 Boyle Sports8/1·9.00
7	Mistral Millyv1.1 J: Kielan Woods · T: D. J. Jeffreys · draw 0 · combo 0/9 (0%) 7yo · M · ch	46P56	11-03	93	—	—	42.1	10/1·10.75	11·11.00 Smarkets · +2% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Smarkets11·11.00Betfair Exchange10.5·10.50 SmarketsSBK9/1·10.00 Spreadex17/2·9.50 Bet36517/2·9.50 Coral17/2·9.50 Ladbrokes17/2·9.50 SportingIndex17/2·9.50 7Bet8/1·9.00 Midnite8/1·9.00Virgin Bet8/1·9.00Unibet8/1·9.00 Boyle Sports8/1·9.00 LiveScore Bet8/1·9.00 Betfred8/1·9.00 Betano15/2·8.50 Quinn Bet15/2·8.50 William Hill15/2·8.50 Dragon Bet15/2·8.50Hollywood Bets15/2·8.50BetTom15/2·8.50 Paddy Power15/2·8.50 Star Sports15/2·8.50 BetMGM15/2·8.50 BetWright15/2·8.50 Bet Victor7/1·8.00Betfair Sportsbook7/1·8.0010 Bet13/2·7.50
8	Quick of The Night J: Lee Edwards · T: Dave Roberts · draw 0 · combo 0/19 (0%) 9yo · M · bpOnly runner	33064	10-03	79	—	—	41.3	11/2·6.57	6.4·6.40 Betfair Exchange · -3% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Betfair Exchange6.4·6.40 Bet3655/1·6.00 Unibet5/1·6.00 SportingIndex5/1·6.00Virgin Bet5/1·6.00William Hill5/1·6.00 Star Sports5/1·6.00 LiveScore Bet5/1·6.00 Spreadex5/1·6.00 Coral5/1·6.00 Ladbrokes5/1·6.00Smarkets5.9·5.9010 Bet9/2·5.50 BetTom9/2·5.50 Boyle Sports9/2·5.50 Midnite9/2·5.50 SmarketsSBK9/2·5.50Hollywood Bets9/2·5.50Quinn Bet9/2·5.50 BetMGM9/2·5.50Betfair Sportsbook9/2·5.50Paddy Power9/2·5.50 7Bet9/2·5.50 Dragon Bet4/1·5.00 Bet Victor4/1·5.00 BetWright4/1·5.00 Betfred4/1·5.00 Betano4/1·5.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 28 bookmakers per horse with the 20% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Market Rasen Racecourse Caravan Park Mares' Handicap Hurdle Race?

The Market Rasen Racecourse Caravan Park Mares' Handicap Hurdle Race is off at 16:16 on 8 October 2026 at Market Rasen (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 16:16 Market Rasen?

2m7f, Class 5, Hurdle, 8 runners declared.

What is the going for the 16:16 Market Rasen?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 16:16 Market Rasen?

The AI top-rated runner is Leave Her To Me (score 64.2, best price 14.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 16:16 Market Rasen?

The market favourite is Spot On Soph at a best price of 3.45. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Leave Her To Me.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org