16:21 Pontefract

Good Biscuit - Ponte Premiership Champion Handicap Stakes

1m · Flat · Class 5 · Good · 14 runners · £4,187 · Monday, 5 October 2026

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E/W terms3 places at 1/4 odds (14 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Always Blue

No. 10 · score 53.5 · +1.5 clear of next best · best 5/1·5.90

Best value vs consensus

Galba

21·21.00 Matchbook · +20% vs fair (consensus 17.46)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 28 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way53.5/100 rating

Always Blue

5.90Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Swift SalianDiffers from our pick

Swift Salian is our selection, and although our figures put him at 78, a few pounds shy of the top-rated runner on 83, his progressive profile makes him the one to side with in this 14-runner Class 5 over a mile on good ground. A horse still on the upgrade can outrun a rating drawn from earlier form, and he sits only a handful of pounds off the best of these. The principal dangers are Selection, who is narrowly ahead of On The Inlet on 82, and Garden Oasis on 80, so this is a competitive renewal and not a confident call. Even so, Swift Salian's improvement is enough to prefer him, and he is the pick.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Always Blue

Daniel Tudhope · Harriet Bethell · 3yo

Top-rated of 14

score 53.5 · +1.5 clear of next best (52.0)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
21d since last run (race-fit window)
Form20% weight
57average
Last 6: 2-5-4-3-4-2
Ratings50% weight
46below average
OR 69
Trainer20% weight
45below average
Harriet Bethell: 2/11 winners last 14d (18%)

MarketBest price 5.90 (Matchbook) · 2nd in the market of 14.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: 5 confirmed front-runners — expect a pace duel; closers from the rear advantaged.

Front-runners(5)
4Mwafaq 5Swift Salian 7On The Inlet 11Garden Oasis 13Perfidia
Prominent(3)
1Selection 6Regal Desire 10Always Blue
Mid-division(1)
8Arkenstaar
Hold-up / closers(4)
3Amidst The Chaos 9Galba 12Mount King 14Captain Corelli
Unknown(1)
2Phone Tag

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Pontefract 1m

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.29).

Low (1–5)

IV 1.29

Mid (6–10)

IV 0.85

High (11–14)

IV 0.83

Today: Selection (draw 2) and Mount King (draw 3) get the bias; Always Blue (draw 11) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 69 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
10	Always BluePick J: Daniel Tudhope · T: Harriet Bethell · draw 11 3yo · F · chOnly runner	254342	9-05	69	—	—	53.5	11/2·6.72	5.9·5.90 Matchbook · -12% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook5.9·5.90Betfair Exchange5.8·5.80Smarkets5.6·5.60SmarketsSBK9/2·5.50Hollywood Bets9/2·5.50Bet3654/1·5.00 BetWright4/1·5.00 Coral4/1·5.00 Dragon Bet4/1·5.00 Ladbrokes4/1·5.00 LiveScore Bet4/1·5.00 Quinn Bet4/1·5.00 SportingIndex4/1·5.00 Spreadex4/1·5.00Betfair Sportsbook4/1·5.00Paddy Power4/1·5.00 BetMGM4/1·5.00 7Bet4/1·5.00 Bet Victor4/1·5.00 BetTom4/1·5.00 Boyle Sports4/1·5.00 Betfred4/1·5.00 Unibet4/1·5.00 Betano4/1·5.00 Midnite4/1·5.00 Star Sports4/1·5.00Virgin Bet4/1·5.00William Hill4/1·5.00
3	Amidst The Chaos J: Rowan Scott · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 13 4yo · G · chpClass dropC&DGoing 1/4Only runner	250230	9-12	73	—	—	52.0	16/1·16.12	12/1·13.00 BetMGM · -19% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ BetMGM12/1·13.00Matchbook12.5·12.50Betfair Exchange12·12.00 LiveScore Bet11/1·12.00 Betfred11/1·12.00Smarkets12·12.00Midnite11/1·12.00 SportingIndex11/1·12.00 Spreadex11/1·12.00 Coral11/1·12.00 Bet Victor11/1·12.00 Ladbrokes11/1·12.00 Quinn Bet11/1·12.00 7Bet11/1·12.00 BetWright11/1·12.00 BetTom11/1·12.00Hollywood Bets11/1·12.00Betano11/1·12.00 Boyle Sports11/1·12.00 Dragon Bet11/1·12.00Virgin Bet11/1·12.00Unibet11/1·12.00 William Hill11/1·12.00 Star Sports11/1·12.00 Paddy Power11/1·12.00 SmarketsSBK11/1·12.00 Bet36511/1·12.00Betfair Sportsbook10/1·11.00
9	Galba J: William Pyle · T: Kevin & Lauren Frost · draw 8 3yo · C · brOnly pairing	363233	9-07	71	—	—	50.6	16/1·17.46	21·21.00 Matchbook · +20% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook21·21.00Smarkets19.5·19.50Betfair Exchange19.5·19.50 SmarketsSBK18/1·19.00 SportingIndex14/1·15.00Betfair Sportsbook14/1·15.00Spreadex14/1·15.00 Paddy Power14/1·15.00 Bet Victor14/1·15.00 Betano14/1·15.00 Quinn Bet12/1·13.00 Unibet12/1·13.00 LiveScore Bet12/1·13.00 Star Sports12/1·13.00Virgin Bet12/1·13.00William Hill12/1·13.00 Boyle Sports12/1·13.00 BetTom12/1·13.00 BetWright12/1·13.00 Dragon Bet12/1·13.00 Ladbrokes12/1·13.00 BetMGM12/1·13.00 Betfred12/1·13.00 Midnite11/1·12.00 Coral11/1·12.00 Bet36511/1·12.00 7Bet10/1·11.00Hollywood Bets8/1·9.00
4	Mwafaq J: Warren Fentiman(3) · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 12 4yo · G · bpD	211257	9-11	72	—	—	48.3	20/1·20.15	20·20.00 Matchbook Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook20·20.00Betfair Exchange20·20.00Smarkets18·18.00SmarketsSBK16/1·17.00 Betano14/1·15.00 Spreadex14/1·15.00 BetWright14/1·15.00 Star Sports14/1·15.00 William Hill14/1·15.00 Bet36514/1·15.00 Betfred14/1·15.00 Boyle Sports14/1·15.00 Coral14/1·15.00 7Bet14/1·15.00 BetTom14/1·15.00Betfair Sportsbook14/1·15.00Paddy Power14/1·15.00 Ladbrokes14/1·15.00 Unibet14/1·15.00 Bet Victor14/1·15.00 Dragon Bet14/1·15.00 SportingIndex14/1·15.00 Midnite14/1·15.00 Quinn Bet14/1·15.00 BetMGM12/1·13.00 LiveScore Bet12/1·13.00Virgin Bet12/1·13.00Hollywood Bets10/1·11.00
7	On The Inlet J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Dr Richard Newland · draw 9 3yo · G · bOnly runner	053304	9-09	73	—	—	47.5	8/1·9.07	8.4·8.40 Matchbook · -7% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook8.4·8.40Smarkets8.4·8.40SmarketsSBK7/1·8.00 Betfair Exchange7.6·7.60 SportingIndex6/1·7.00 Spreadex6/1·7.00Betfair Sportsbook6/1·7.00Paddy Power6/1·7.00 BetMGM6/1·7.00 Bet Victor6/1·7.00 Betano6/1·7.00 BetWright6/1·7.00 Dragon Bet6/1·7.00 Boyle Sports6/1·7.00 Midnite11/2·6.50 Quinn Bet11/2·6.50 Star Sports11/2·6.50 Unibet11/2·6.50Virgin Bet11/2·6.50William Hill11/2·6.50 BetTom11/2·6.50 Betfred11/2·6.50 Coral11/2·6.50 Ladbrokes11/2·6.50 LiveScore Bet11/2·6.50 Bet3655/1·6.00 7Bet9/2·5.50Hollywood Bets4/1·5.00
1	Selection J: David Nolan · T: Ivan Furtado · draw 2 4yo · F · chpClass dropOnly runner	675254	10-00	75	—	—	45.8	5/1·5.82	4/1·5.00 Hollywood Bets · -14% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Hollywood Bets4/1·5.00Betfair Exchange4.9·4.90Matchbook4.8·4.80Smarkets4.8·4.80SmarketsSBK7/2·4.50 Bet3657/2·4.50 Betfred7/2·4.50 BetMGM7/2·4.50 SportingIndex7/2·4.50 Spreadex7/2·4.50 Dragon Bet10/3·4.33 Star Sports10/3·4.33Betfair Sportsbook10/3·4.33Paddy Power10/3·4.33 Coral10/3·4.33 Quinn Bet10/3·4.33 Betano10/3·4.33 Midnite10/3·4.33 BetWright10/3·4.33 7Bet10/3·4.33 BetTom10/3·4.33 Ladbrokes10/3·4.33 Bet Victor10/3·4.33 Boyle Sports10/3·4.33 Unibet10/3·4.33 William Hill10/3·4.33Virgin Bet3/1·4.00LiveScore Bet3/1·4.00
2	Phone Tag J: Oliver Stammers · T: Kevin & Lauren Frost · draw 14 5yo · G · bOnly pairing	00120	10-00	75	—	—	44.7	66/1·68.50	150·150.00 Matchbook · +119% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook150·150.00Spreadex66/1·67.00Betfair Sportsbook66/1·67.00Paddy Power66/1·67.00 Betano66/1·67.00 SportingIndex66/1·67.00 Bet Victor66/1·67.00 BetWright60/1·61.00 Dragon Bet60/1·61.00 Betfair Exchange60·60.00Smarkets55·55.00Virgin Bet50/1·51.00William Hill50/1·51.00 Boyle Sports50/1·51.00 Bet36550/1·51.00 Betfred50/1·51.00 Coral50/1·51.00 LiveScore Bet50/1·51.00 Midnite50/1·51.00 Quinn Bet50/1·51.00 Star Sports50/1·51.00 BetTom50/1·51.00 Ladbrokes50/1·51.00 Unibet50/1·51.00 SmarketsSBK50/1·51.00 BetMGM50/1·51.00 7Bet40/1·41.00Hollywood Bets33/1·34.00
13	Perfidia J: Duran Fentiman · T: Tim Easterby · draw 7 4yo · G · bpD	227309	8-12	59	—	—	44.0	40/1·45.66	50·50.00 Matchbook · +10% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook50·50.00Smarkets38·38.00Quinn Bet33/1·34.00 SportingIndex33/1·34.00 Spreadex33/1·34.00 Unibet33/1·34.00 William Hill33/1·34.00Betfair Sportsbook33/1·34.00Paddy Power33/1·34.00 Bet36533/1·34.00 Bet Victor33/1·34.00 BetWright33/1·34.00 BetMGM33/1·34.00 BetTom33/1·34.00 Betano33/1·34.00 Betfred33/1·34.00 Boyle Sports33/1·34.00 Coral33/1·34.00 Dragon Bet33/1·34.00 Ladbrokes33/1·34.00 Midnite33/1·34.00 Star Sports33/1·34.00 SmarketsSBK33/1·34.00 7Bet30/1·31.00 LiveScore Bet28/1·29.00Virgin Bet28/1·29.00Hollywood Bets28/1·29.00Betfair Exchange18·18.00
6	Regal Desire J: Jason Hart · T: Brian Ellison · draw 6 3yo · F · chhFT HClass dropOnly pairing	229	9-11	75	—	—	43.9	28/1·30.89	42·42.00 Matchbook · +36% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook42·42.00Smarkets29·29.00Betfair Exchange28·28.00 Spreadex25/1·26.00 SportingIndex25/1·26.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00Betfair Sportsbook25/1·26.00SmarketsSBK25/1·26.00 Star Sports22/1·23.00 Unibet22/1·23.00 Betano22/1·23.00 Dragon Bet22/1·23.00 BetWright22/1·23.00 Betfred22/1·23.00 Boyle Sports22/1·23.00 Coral22/1·23.00 Ladbrokes22/1·23.00 LiveScore Bet22/1·23.00 Midnite22/1·23.00 Quinn Bet22/1·23.00 Bet Victor22/1·23.00 BetTom22/1·23.00 Paddy Power22/1·23.00 William Hill22/1·23.00Virgin Bet22/1·23.007Bet20/1·21.00 Bet36520/1·21.00Hollywood Bets12/1·13.00
11	Garden Oasis J: Jake Dickson(5) · T: Tim Easterby · draw 10 11yo · G · bvOnly ride	233750	9-05	66	—	—	43.6	14/1·14.77	14·14.00 Matchbook · -5% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook14·14.00Betfair Exchange14·14.00Smarkets13.5·13.50Hollywood Bets12/1·13.00SmarketsSBK12/1·13.00 BetMGM11/1·12.00 Bet36511/1·12.00 Betfred10/1·11.00 Ladbrokes10/1·11.00Betfair Sportsbook10/1·11.00Paddy Power10/1·11.00 Star Sports10/1·11.00 7Bet10/1·11.00 BetTom10/1·11.00 BetWright10/1·11.00 Boyle Sports10/1·11.00 Betano10/1·11.00 Midnite10/1·11.00 SportingIndex10/1·11.00 LiveScore Bet10/1·11.00 Dragon Bet10/1·11.00Virgin Bet10/1·11.00William Hill10/1·11.00 Quinn Bet10/1·11.00 Spreadex10/1·11.00 Unibet10/1·11.00 Bet Victor10/1·11.00 Coral10/1·11.00
12	Mount King J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 3 6yo · G · chtbClass dropOn last winning markC&D	294659	9-01	62	—	—	41.3	7/1·8.06	7/1·8.00 Hollywood Bets Compare 28 books ▾ Hollywood Bets7/1·8.00Betfair Exchange7.2·7.20Matchbook7.2·7.20Smarkets7.2·7.20SmarketsSBK6/1·7.00 Bet36511/2·6.50 BetTom5/1·6.00 BetWright5/1·6.00 Coral5/1·6.00 Star Sports5/1·6.00 7Bet5/1·6.00 LiveScore Bet5/1·6.00 Quinn Bet5/1·6.00Virgin Bet5/1·6.00Paddy Power5/1·6.00 Dragon Bet5/1·6.00 Midnite5/1·6.00 William Hill5/1·6.00Betfair Sportsbook5/1·6.00Unibet5/1·6.00 Betfred5/1·6.00 Boyle Sports5/1·6.00 Ladbrokes5/1·6.00 SportingIndex5/1·6.00 Spreadex5/1·6.00 BetMGM9/2·5.50 Bet Victor9/2·5.50 Betano9/2·5.50
5	Swift Salian J: Kevin Stott · T: David & Nicola Barron · draw 5 5yo · G · bOnly pairing	220845	9-11	72	—	—	37.5	14/1·14.77	12·12.00 Matchbook · -19% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook12·12.00Betfair Exchange11.5·11.50Smarkets11.5·11.50BetMGM10/1·11.00 7Bet10/1·11.00 Bet36510/1·11.00 Ladbrokes10/1·11.00 Midnite10/1·11.00 SmarketsSBK10/1·11.00 LiveScore Bet10/1·11.00Hollywood Bets10/1·11.00Quinn Bet10/1·11.00 William Hill10/1·11.00Virgin Bet10/1·11.00BetTom10/1·11.00 Paddy Power10/1·11.00 Bet Victor10/1·11.00 Betano10/1·11.00 Boyle Sports10/1·11.00 BetWright10/1·11.00 Betfred10/1·11.00 Coral10/1·11.00 Dragon Bet10/1·11.00 Star Sports10/1·11.00 Unibet10/1·11.00Betfair Sportsbook9/1·10.00SportingIndex9/1·10.00 Spreadex9/1·10.00
8	Arkenstaar J: Connor Beasley · T: Michael Dods · draw 1 6yo · G · bp	43068	9-08	69	—	—	33.9	20/1·20.15	26·26.00 Matchbook · +29% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook26·26.00Smarkets20·20.00Betfair Exchange20·20.00 SmarketsSBK18/1·19.00 Bet Victor14/1·15.00 Betano14/1·15.00 Boyle Sports14/1·15.00 7Bet14/1·15.00 BetWright14/1·15.00 Betfred14/1·15.00 Bet36514/1·15.00 Dragon Bet14/1·15.00 SportingIndex14/1·15.00 Spreadex14/1·15.00Betfair Sportsbook14/1·15.00Coral14/1·15.00 Ladbrokes14/1·15.00 Midnite14/1·15.00 Quinn Bet14/1·15.00 Star Sports14/1·15.00 Unibet14/1·15.00 William Hill14/1·15.00 Paddy Power14/1·15.00 BetMGM12/1·13.00 BetTom12/1·13.00 LiveScore Bet12/1·13.00Virgin Bet12/1·13.00Hollywood Bets11/1·12.00
14	Captain Corelli J: Tom Kiely-Marshall(3) · T: Julie Camacho · draw 4 9yo · G · chpOnly ride	90009	8-09	52	—	—	29.8	40/1·45.66	60·60.00 Matchbook · +31% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook60·60.00Smarkets50·50.00SmarketsSBK45/1·46.00 Betfair Exchange40·40.00 BetTom33/1·34.00 Unibet33/1·34.00Betfair Sportsbook33/1·34.00Paddy Power33/1·34.00 Bet Victor33/1·34.00 BetWright33/1·34.00 Betano33/1·34.00 Quinn Bet33/1·34.00 SportingIndex33/1·34.00 Spreadex33/1·34.00 William Hill33/1·34.00 Bet36533/1·34.00 Betfred33/1·34.00 BetMGM33/1·34.00 Boyle Sports33/1·34.00 Coral33/1·34.00 Dragon Bet33/1·34.00 Ladbrokes33/1·34.00 Midnite33/1·34.00 Star Sports33/1·34.00 7Bet30/1·31.00Virgin Bet28/1·29.00LiveScore Bet28/1·29.00Hollywood Bets28/1·29.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 28 bookmakers per horse with the 34% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Good Biscuit - Ponte Premiership Champion Handicap Stakes?

The Good Biscuit - Ponte Premiership Champion Handicap Stakes is off at 16:21 on 5 October 2026 at Pontefract (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 16:21 Pontefract?

1m, Class 5, Flat, 14 runners declared.

What is the going for the 16:21 Pontefract?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 16:21 Pontefract?

The AI top-rated runner is Always Blue (score 53.5, best price 5.90). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 16:21 Pontefract?

The market favourite is Selection at a best price of 5.00. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Always Blue.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org