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Unibet More Extra Place Races EBF Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)

1m · Flat · Class 3 · Standard To Slow · 8 runners · £7,020 · Monday, 5 October 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 6 · score 30.5 · +4.8 clear of next best · best 5/2·3.50
Best value vs consensus
75·75.00 Matchbook · +21% vs fair (consensus 61.80)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 28 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way25.7/100 rating
Berkshire Regal
5.10Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Spartan

William Buick · John & Thady Gosden · 2yo

Top-rated of 8
score 30.5 · +4.8 clear of next best (25.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    78strong
    John & Thady Gosden: 10/32 winners last 14d (31%)
  • Form20% weight
    50average
    Last 6: first run
  • Freshness10% weight
    50average
    no recent-run data
  • Ratings50% weight
    0weak
    no Racing Post ratings on file
MarketBest price 3.50 (Bet365) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Kempton (AW) 1m

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.17).

Low (1–3)
IV 1.05
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.17
High (7–8)
IV 0.80

Today: Masai Land (draw 4) and Dark Supremacy (draw 6) get the bias; Spartan (draw 7) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 665 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
6
J: William Buick · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 7 · combo 17/63 (27%)
2yo · C · bOnly runner
——30.53/1·3.945/2·3.50
Bet365 · -11% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
2
J: Jason Watson · T: Andrew Balding · draw 2 · combo 6/76 (8%)
2yo · C · bClass drop
25
—25.79/2·5.455.1·5.10
Matchbook · -6% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
1
2yo · C · bOnly runner
——25.013/2·7.277.2·7.20
Betfair Exchange
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4
J: Cieren Fallon · T: William Haggas · draw 4 · combo 26/124 (21%)
2yo · C · b
——24.011/2·6.6711/2·6.50
Bet Victor · -2% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
8
J: James Doyle · T: James Tate · draw 8 · combo 0/7 (0%)
2yo · C · bOnly runner
——22.59/1·10.3010·10.00
Matchbook · -3% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
3
J: Benoit de la Sayette · T: George Baker · draw 6 · combo 4/37 (11%)
2yo · C · bOnly runner
4
—19.012/1·13.3319.5·19.50
Matchbook · +46% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
7
2yo · C · ch
——18.066/1·61.8075·75.00
Matchbook · +21% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
5
J: Callum Rodriguez · T: Owen Burrows · draw 5 · combo 9/51 (18%)
2yo · C · bOnly runner
——15.011/1·11.5111·11.00
Matchbook · -4% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 28 bookmakers per horse with the 21% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Unibet More Extra Place Races EBF Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)?

The Unibet More Extra Place Races EBF Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) is off at 16:10 on 5 October 2026 at Kempton (AW) (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 16:10 Kempton (AW)?

1m, Class 3, Flat, 8 runners declared.

What is the going for the 16:10 Kempton (AW)?

Going is reported as Standard To Slow on AW.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 16:10 Kempton (AW)?

The AI top-rated runner is Spartan (score 30.5, best price 3.50). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 16:10 Kempton (AW)?

The market favourite is Spartan at a best price of 3.50.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org