16:21 Bath

Find My Hospitality Handicap Stakes (Div I)

1m2f · Flat · Class 5 · Good · 10 runners · £4,187 · Thursday, 8 October 2026

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E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (11 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Mathoura

No. 6 · score 51.3 · +1.7 clear of next best · best 28/1·29.00

Best value vs consensus

She's Ideal

25·25.00 Matchbook · +16% vs fair (consensus 21.56)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 29 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way49.6/100 rating

Prodigal Son

8.40Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: DaretobedifferentDiffers from our pick

Daretobedifferent is the pick in a tightly packed Class 5 over ten furlongs at Bath, where only five pounds separate the top nine on our figures. She rates 68, just behind King's Castle and Oman on 71, but her progressive profile and fitness edge are enough to prefer her over the top-rated pair. The main dangers are King's Castle and Oman, narrowly ahead on our figures, along with Crimson Road on 69, so this is no formality and confidence is low. Even so, Daretobedifferent's upward trend and sharper condition make her the call.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Mathoura

Taylor Fisher · Joe Tickle · 3yo

Top-rated of 11

score 51.3 · +1.7 clear of next best (49.6)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
26d since last run (race-fit window)
Form20% weight
49below average
Last 6: 2-3-6-4-3
Ratings50% weight
46below average
OR 69
Trainer20% weight
43small sample (n=6)
Joe Tickle: 1/6 winners last 14d (17%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard

MarketBest price 29.00 (Matchbook) · 10th in the market of 11.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Front-runners(1)
10Daretobedifferent
Prominent(4)
3Prodigal Son 5King's Castle 6Mathoura 11Pangbourne
Mid-division(0)—
Hold-up / closers(4)
1Crimson Road 2Oman 8She's Ideal 9Albus Anne
Unknown(2)
7Condotti Amused

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Bath 1m2f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)

IV 1.06

Mid (5–8)

IV 1.08

High (9–11)

IV 0.87

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 85 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
6	MathouraPick J: Taylor Fisher · T: Joe Tickle · draw 11 · combo 8/52 (15%) 3yo · F · bClass drop	23643	9-09	69	—	—	51.3	25/1·26.64	29·29.00 Matchbook · +9% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook29·29.00Betfair Exchange28·28.00 SmarketsSBK25/1·26.00Smarkets26·26.00SportingIndex22/1·23.00 Paddy Power22/1·23.00 Spreadex22/1·23.00 Ladbrokes20/1·21.00 Midnite20/1·21.00Hollywood Bets20/1·21.00BetMGM20/1·21.00 Coral20/1·21.00 LiveScore Bet20/1·21.00 William Hill20/1·21.00Virgin Bet20/1·21.00Betfair Sportsbook20/1·21.00Quinn Bet18/1·19.00 10 Bet18/1·19.00 7Bet18/1·19.00 BetTom18/1·19.00 BetWright18/1·19.00 Boyle Sports18/1·19.00 Dragon Bet18/1·19.00 Star Sports18/1·19.00 Bet36516/1·17.00 Bet Victor16/1·17.00 Betano16/1·17.00 Betfred16/1·17.00 Unibet16/1·17.00
3	Prodigal Son J: Luke Morris · T: Heather Main · draw 10 · combo 0/7 (0%) 4yo · G · grbClass dropGoing 1/3Only runner	374921	9-11	67	—	—	49.6	17/2·9.51	8.4·8.40 Betfair Exchange · -12% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange8.4·8.40 BetMGM7/1·8.00 Ladbrokes7/1·8.00 LiveScore Bet7/1·8.00 Paddy Power7/1·8.00Hollywood Bets7/1·8.00William Hill7/1·8.00Matchbook8·8.00Virgin Bet7/1·8.00Coral7/1·8.00Smarkets7.8·7.80Quinn Bet13/2·7.50 10 Bet13/2·7.50 Star Sports13/2·7.50Betfair Sportsbook13/2·7.507Bet13/2·7.50 SportingIndex13/2·7.50 SmarketsSBK13/2·7.50 Bet36513/2·7.50 BetTom13/2·7.50 Boyle Sports13/2·7.50 Dragon Bet13/2·7.50 Midnite13/2·7.50 Spreadex13/2·7.50 Betfred13/2·7.50 BetWright6/1·7.00 Bet Victor6/1·7.00 Betano6/1·7.00 Unibet6/1·7.00
8	She's Ideal J: Charlie Tucker(7) · T: Bernard Llewellyn · draw 5 · combo 2/13 (15%) 4yo · F · brpD	711384	9-06	62	—	—	49.4	20/1·21.56	25·25.00 Matchbook · +16% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook25·25.00Smarkets24·24.00Betfair Exchange22·22.00 SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00Betfair Sportsbook18/1·19.00Bet36518/1·19.00 BetMGM18/1·19.00 Paddy Power18/1·19.00 BetTom16/1·17.00 SportingIndex16/1·17.00 Betfred16/1·17.00 Star Sports16/1·17.00 Midnite16/1·17.00 10 Bet16/1·17.00 Ladbrokes16/1·17.00 LiveScore Bet16/1·17.00 Quinn Bet16/1·17.00 Unibet16/1·17.00 William Hill16/1·17.00 Coral16/1·17.00Hollywood Bets16/1·17.00Virgin Bet16/1·17.00Spreadex16/1·17.00 BetWright14/1·15.00 7Bet14/1·15.00 Dragon Bet14/1·15.00 Boyle Sports14/1·15.00 Bet Victor12/1·13.00 Betano12/1·13.00
5	King's Castle J: Taryn Langley(5) · T: David Simcock · draw 6 · combo 0/19 (0%) 9yo · G · b	24234	9-09	65	—	—	48.7	16/1·16.49	18·18.00 Matchbook · +9% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook18·18.00Smarkets17·17.00Betfair Exchange16.5·16.50 SmarketsSBK15/1·16.00 Spreadex12/1·13.00 William Hill12/1·13.00 Bet36512/1·13.00Hollywood Bets12/1·13.00Coral12/1·13.00 Ladbrokes12/1·13.00 Midnite12/1·13.00 LiveScore Bet12/1·13.00Virgin Bet12/1·13.00Paddy Power12/1·13.00 SportingIndex12/1·13.00 BetMGM12/1·13.00 Dragon Bet11/1·12.00 BetWright11/1·12.00 BetTom11/1·12.00 Boyle Sports11/1·12.00 7Bet11/1·12.00 Star Sports11/1·12.00 10 Bet11/1·12.00 Quinn Bet11/1·12.00 Unibet11/1·12.00Betfair Sportsbook11/1·12.00Betano10/1·11.00 Betfred10/1·11.00 Bet Victor10/1·11.00
7	Condotti J: David Probert · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 1 · combo 6/76 (8%) 4yo · G · bpD	932521	9-07	63	—	—	46.5	13/2·7.61	6.6·6.60 Matchbook · -13% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook6.6·6.60Betfair Exchange6.6·6.60Smarkets6.4·6.40Unibet5/1·6.00Hollywood Bets5/1·6.00Ladbrokes5/1·6.00 Spreadex5/1·6.00 SmarketsSBK5/1·6.00 Paddy Power5/1·6.00 Bet3655/1·6.00 10 Bet5/1·6.00 Quinn Bet5/1·6.00 SportingIndex5/1·6.00 Star Sports5/1·6.00 BetTom5/1·6.00 Coral5/1·6.00 LiveScore Bet5/1·6.00 Midnite5/1·6.00Virgin Bet5/1·6.00William Hill5/1·6.00Betfair Sportsbook5/1·6.00Dragon Bet9/2·5.50 Betfred9/2·5.50 BetWright9/2·5.50 BetMGM9/2·5.50 Betano9/2·5.50 7Bet9/2·5.50 Boyle Sports9/2·5.50 Bet Victor4/1·5.00
10	Daretobedifferent J: Kieran O'Neill · T: Des Donovan · draw 3 3yo · F · bOnly runner	369450	9-03	63	—	—	45.3	40/1·43.12	38·38.00 Matchbook · -12% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook38·38.00Smarkets36·36.00Betfred33/1·34.00 LiveScore Bet33/1·34.00 Star Sports33/1·34.00 William Hill33/1·34.00 Ladbrokes33/1·34.00 Quinn Bet33/1·34.00 Unibet33/1·34.00Virgin Bet33/1·34.00Spreadex33/1·34.00 10 Bet33/1·34.00 BetTom33/1·34.00 Coral33/1·34.00 SportingIndex33/1·34.00 SmarketsSBK30/1·31.00 7Bet30/1·31.00 Betfair Exchange30·30.00 Dragon Bet28/1·29.00 Midnite28/1·29.00 Paddy Power28/1·29.00 BetWright28/1·29.00Hollywood Bets28/1·29.00Betfair Sportsbook28/1·29.00Bet36528/1·29.00 Betano25/1·26.00 Boyle Sports25/1·26.00 Bet Victor25/1·26.00 BetMGM20/1·21.00
1	Crimson Road J: William Carson · T: John & Rhys Flint · draw 4 · combo 3/22 (14%) 5yo · G · bDOnly pairing	941114	10-00	70	—	—	45.3	13/2·7.61	7·7.00 Matchbook · -8% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook7·7.00Betfair Exchange6.8·6.80Smarkets6.6·6.60Bet36511/2·6.50 Paddy Power5/1·6.00 LiveScore Bet5/1·6.00 Midnite5/1·6.00 Ladbrokes5/1·6.00Hollywood Bets5/1·6.00William Hill5/1·6.00 Coral5/1·6.00Virgin Bet5/1·6.00Betfred5/1·6.00 Quinn Bet5/1·6.00 SmarketsSBK5/1·6.00 BetMGM9/2·5.50 Boyle Sports9/2·5.50 Dragon Bet9/2·5.50 Spreadex9/2·5.50 7Bet9/2·5.50Betfair Sportsbook9/2·5.50Star Sports9/2·5.50 BetWright9/2·5.50 Betano9/2·5.50 SportingIndex9/2·5.50 10 Bet9/2·5.50 Unibet4/1·5.00 Bet Victor4/1·5.00 BetTom4/1·5.00
—	Amused J: Paddy Bradley · T: Jim Boyle · draw 2 · combo 0/16 (0%) 4yo · G · bOnly runner	022768	9-10	66	—	—	44.8	16/1·16.49	14/1·15.00 BetWright · -9% vs fair Compare 8 books ▾ BetWright14/1·15.00 Dragon Bet14/1·15.00 7Bet12/1·13.00 Star Sports12/1·13.00 Paddy Power12/1·13.00 BetMGM11/1·12.00Betfair Sportsbook11/1·12.00Matchbook5.2·5.20
2	Oman J: Myla Coppins(5) · T: Tony Carroll · draw 7 · combo 13/79 (16%) 8yo · G · chpOn last winning markC&DOnly ride	479651	9-12	68	—	—	44.5	9/2·5.71	5.1·5.10 Matchbook · -11% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook5.1·5.10Smarkets5·5.00Betfair Exchange5·5.00 Bet3657/2·4.50 William Hill7/2·4.50 Ladbrokes7/2·4.50 LiveScore Bet7/2·4.50 Quinn Bet7/2·4.50 BetMGM7/2·4.50 10 Bet7/2·4.50 BetTom7/2·4.50 Coral7/2·4.50 SmarketsSBK7/2·4.50 Star Sports7/2·4.50 SportingIndex7/2·4.50 Spreadex7/2·4.50Betfair Sportsbook7/2·4.50Unibet7/2·4.50 Paddy Power7/2·4.50 Midnite7/2·4.50Virgin Bet7/2·4.50Hollywood Bets10/3·4.33Betfred10/3·4.33 7Bet10/3·4.33 Boyle Sports3/1·4.00 Dragon Bet3/1·4.00 Bet Victor3/1·4.00 Betano3/1·4.00 BetWright3/1·4.00
11	Pangbourne J: Oliver Carmichael(7) · T: Roger Teal · draw 9 3yo · F · bOnly runner	55533	8-10	56	—	—	35.3	20/1·21.56	24·24.00 Matchbook · +11% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook24·24.00Betfair Exchange22·22.00Smarkets22·22.00SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00 Bet36516/1·17.00Hollywood Bets16/1·17.00Ladbrokes16/1·17.00 Spreadex16/1·17.00 Unibet16/1·17.00 Betfred16/1·17.00 10 Bet16/1·17.00 William Hill16/1·17.00Virgin Bet16/1·17.00LiveScore Bet16/1·17.00 Quinn Bet16/1·17.00 SportingIndex16/1·17.00 BetTom16/1·17.00 Coral16/1·17.00 Midnite16/1·17.00 Star Sports16/1·17.00 BetWright14/1·15.00 Paddy Power14/1·15.00Betfair Sportsbook14/1·15.00BetMGM14/1·15.00 7Bet14/1·15.00 Dragon Bet14/1·15.00 Bet Victor12/1·13.00 Betano12/1·13.00 Boyle Sports12/1·13.00
9	Albus Anne J: Olivia Haines(7) · T: Jimmy Fox · draw 8 7yo · M · bhClass dropOnly rideOnly runner	74663	9-06	62	—	—	34.9	9/2·5.49	4.8·4.80 Matchbook · -13% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook4.8·4.80Smarkets4.8·4.80Betfair Exchange4.7·4.70 Spreadex7/2·4.50 SmarketsSBK7/2·4.50 Bet3657/2·4.50 BetMGM7/2·4.50 Coral7/2·4.50 SportingIndex7/2·4.50 William Hill10/3·4.33 Midnite10/3·4.33 BetTom10/3·4.33 7Bet10/3·4.33 Unibet10/3·4.33 Betfred10/3·4.33 Star Sports10/3·4.33Betfair Sportsbook10/3·4.33Paddy Power10/3·4.33 Quinn Bet10/3·4.33 Boyle Sports10/3·4.33 Dragon Bet10/3·4.33 LiveScore Bet10/3·4.33Virgin Bet10/3·4.33Hollywood Bets10/3·4.33Bet Victor3/1·4.00 10 Bet3/1·4.00 BetWright3/1·4.00 Ladbrokes3/1·4.00 Betano11/4·3.75

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 8–29 bookmakers per horse with the 27% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Find My Hospitality Handicap Stakes (Div I)?

The Find My Hospitality Handicap Stakes (Div I) is off at 16:21 on 8 October 2026 at Bath (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 16:21 Bath?

1m2f, Class 5, Flat, 10 runners declared.

What is the going for the 16:21 Bath?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 16:21 Bath?

The AI top-rated runner is Mathoura (score 51.3, best price 29.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 16:21 Bath?

The market favourite is Albus Anne at a best price of 4.80. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Mathoura.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org