Who won the 16:45 Kempton (AW) on 12 October 2026?
Twilight Fox (GB) won the 16:45 Kempton (AW) at SP 101.00. Ridden by Nicola Currie. Trained by Henry Candy.
16:45 Kempton (AW)
Racing TV EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (Div II) (GBB Race)
7f · Flat · Class 4 · Standard / Slow · 11 runners · £5,400 · Monday, 12 October 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 4thRace report
- 1stTwilight Fox (GB)Nicola Currie·Henry Candy100/1·101.00SP
- 2ndAlberich (IRE)Kaiya Fraser·Harry Eustace·beaten 0.2 lengths9/4·3.25SP
- 3rdHarpagoside (GB)Benoit de la Sayette·Marco Botti·beaten 0.2 lengths7/2·4.50SP
Race time
1m 26.42s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Twilight Fox (GB))
“Raced mid-pack - urged over 2f out then moved to the right and quickly gained ground over 1f out - in contention inside final furlong - ran on strongly to hit front final 50yds and won”
AI top-rated Huwa Baree (score 49.8) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 7.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way49.8/100 rating
Huwa Baree
11.00Smarkets
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Why the model rates this top
Huwa Baree
Billy Loughnane · Charlie Johnston · 2yo
Top-rated of 11
score 49.8 · +5.3 clear of next best (44.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight85very strong38d since last run (fresh)
- Form20% weight63averageLast 6: 1-4
- Ratings50% weight49below averageOR 74 — highest combined rating in the field
- Trainer20% weight20weakCharlie Johnston: 4/48 winners last 14d (8%)
MarketBest price 11.00 (Smarkets) · 4th in the market of 11.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Kempton (AW) 7f
full course data →Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.17).
Low (1–4)
IV 1.05
Mid (5–8)
IV 1.17
High (9–11)
IV 0.80
Today: Huwa Baree (draw 5) and Desert Legend (draw 8) get the bias; Tredegar Square (draw 9) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 665 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | J: Nicola Currie · T: Henry Candy · draw 4 2yo · G · b | 7 | — | 13.0 | 100/1·101.00 SP |
| 2 | 3 | J: Kaiya Fraser · T: Harry Eustace · draw 1 2yo · C · br | 2 | — | 35.1 | 9/4·3.25 SP |
| 3 | 5 | J: Benoit de la Sayette · T: Marco Botti · draw 7 2yo · C · b | — | — | 23.5 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 4 | 1 | J: Billy Loughnane · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 5 2yo · C · b | 14 | 74 | 49.8 | 15/2·8.50 SP |
| 5 | 2 | J: Oisin Murphy · T: James Fanshawe · draw 9 2yo · G · b | 1 | — | 44.5 | 11/8F·2.38 SP |
| 6 | 4 | J: Sean Levey · T: Richard Hannon · draw 8 2yo · G · b | 3037 | 71 | 40.7 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 7 | 11 | J: Jason Watson · T: Adam Kirby · draw 11 2yo · F · b | — | — | 33.0 | 100/1·101.00 SP |
| 8 | 9 | J: Rob Hornby · T: Jonathan Portman · draw 3 2yo · G · b | — | — | 19.5 | 66/1·67.00 SP |
| 9 | 10 | J: William Cox · T: Tom Dascombe · draw 6 2yo · F · b | 6 | — | 22.5 | 250/1·251.00 SP |
| 10 | 8 | J: Hope Regan(7) · T: Mark Loughnane · draw 2 2yo · G · b | 8 | — | 10.5 | 500/1·501.00 SP |
| 11 | 6 | J: Luke Morris · T: Sir Mark Prescott Bt · draw 10 2yo · G · b | — | — | 17.0 | 125/1·126.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:45 Kempton (AW)?
No — the AI top pick (Huwa Baree) finished 4.
What were the placings in the 16:45 Kempton (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. Twilight Fox (GB) (101.00), 2. Alberich (IRE) (3.25), 3. Harpagoside (GB) (4.50).
What was the winning time for the 16:45 Kempton (AW)?
The winning time was 1m 26.42s.
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