18:45 Kempton (AW)

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1m · Flat · Class 3 · Standard / Slow · 14 runners · £8,246 · Monday, 12 October 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 14th

1st
Organ (GB)
Callum Rodriguez·Owen Burrows
9/2·5.50
SP
2nd
Aqpan (IRE)
Jack Mitchell·Roger Varian·beaten 7.5 lengths
4/1F·5.00
SP
3rd
I'm Workin On It (GB)
Finley Marsh·Rod Millman·beaten 0.1 lengths
14/1·15.00
SP

Race time

1m 35.80s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Organ (GB))

“Up with the pace early - went to the front 2f out and quickly pulled away - kept up the effort to the line for a commanding win”

AI top-rated One More (score 61.9) finished 14th.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 125.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way49.8/100 rating

Organ

6.80Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Aqpan

Aqpan heads our ratings on 99, narrowly ahead of Witch Hunter and Yorkshire on 97, and that modest edge is enough to make him the pick in a competitive 14-runner Class 3 over a mile at Kempton. Those two are the obvious dangers, with First Principle a few pounds further back on 94 and also feared. The margins here are fine and the contest looks open, but Aqpan's superior rating gives him the best credentials on what we have. Our selection is Aqpan.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

One More

Joey Haynes · Chelsea Banham · 4yo

Top-rated of 14

score 61.9 · +6.2 clear of next best (55.7)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Trainer20% weight
100small sample (n=1)
Chelsea Banham: 1/1 winners last 14d (100%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
Ratings50% weight
57average
OR 86
Freshness10% weight
45below average
189d since last run (long absence)
Form20% weight
44below average
Last 6: 2-0-8-1-5

MarketBest price 220.00 (Smarkets) · 8th in the market of 14.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Kempton (AW) 1m

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.17).

Low (1–5)

IV 1.05

Mid (6–10)

IV 1.17

High (11–14)

IV 0.80

Today: One More (draw 7) and Crack On Boys (draw 9) get the bias; I'm Workin On It (draw 14) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 665 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	12	Organ J: Callum Rodriguez · T: Owen Burrows · draw 2 4yo · G · ch	00423	9-04	85	—	—	49.8	9/2·5.50 SP
2	6	Aqpan J: Jack Mitchell · T: Roger Varian · draw 6 3yo · G · br	687908	9-06	90	—	—	51.6	4/1F·5.00 SP
3	8	I'm Workin On It J: Finley Marsh · T: Rod Millman · draw 14 4yo · G · bp	412044	9-05	86	—	—	52.4	14/1·15.00 SP
4	11	Fantastic Fox J: Ross Coakley · T: Roger Varian · draw 4 8yo · G · ch	57001	9-05	86	—	—	52.6	20/1·21.00 SP
5	10	Star Anthem J: Rossa Ryan · T: Clive Cox · draw 1 4yo · G · b	08007	9-05	86	—	—	48.9	11/1·12.00 SP
6	5	Spell Master J: Harry Vigors(5) · T: Oli Rix · draw 11 4yo · G · b	836730	9-07	88	—	—	44.6	15/2·8.50 SP
7	4	Caromb J: Oisin Murphy · T: David O'Meara · draw 13 4yo · G · btFT TFirst after wind op	30549	9-08	89	—	—	47.0	33/1·34.00 SP
8	13	Crack On Boys J: Hector Crouch · T: Tom Clover · draw 9 4yo · G · b	15689	9-04	85	—	—	55.7	22/1·23.00 SP
9	2	Witch Hunter J: Ben Pollard(7) · T: Richard Hannon · draw 8 7yo · G · b	010600	9-09	90	—	—	47.2	22/1·23.00 SP
10	3	Yorkshire J: Billy Loughnane · T: Edward Bethell · draw 12 6yo · G · bt	092307	9-09	90	—	—	49.0	5/1·6.00 SP
11	1	First Principle J: Cieren Fallon · T: William Haggas · draw 10 4yo · G · bp	210060	9-09	90	—	—	46.1	15/2·8.50 SP
12	7	Racingbreaks Ryder J: Rob Hornby · T: Charles Hills · draw 3 6yo · G · b	81183	9-05	86	—	—	51.5	25/1·26.00 SP
13	14	Archer Royal J: Benoit de la Sayette · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 5 3yo · G · bvFT V	77085	9-04	88	—	—	55.5	6/1·7.00 SP
14	9	One More J: Joey Haynes · T: Chelsea Banham · draw 7 4yo · G · b	20815	9-05	86	—	—	61.9	125/1·126.00 SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 18:45 Kempton (AW) on 12 October 2026?

Organ (GB) won the 18:45 Kempton (AW) at SP 5.50. Ridden by Callum Rodriguez. Trained by Owen Burrows.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:45 Kempton (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (One More) finished 14.

What were the placings in the 18:45 Kempton (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Organ (GB) (5.50), 2. Aqpan (IRE) (5.00), 3. I'm Workin On It (GB) (15.00).

What was the winning time for the 18:45 Kempton (AW)?

The winning time was 1m 35.80s.

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