Who won the 14:24 Yarmouth on 12 October 2026?
Quintillion (GB) won the 14:24 Yarmouth at SP 4.50. Ridden by Callum Shepherd. Trained by Charlie Johnston.
14:24 Yarmouth
British Ebf Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)
1m2f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 10 runners · £5,940 · Monday, 12 October 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 5thRace report
- 1stQuintillion (GB)Callum Shepherd·Charlie Johnston7/2·4.50SP
- 2ndDeira Moon (IRE)Daniel Muscutt·Harry Eustace·beaten 2.25 lengths2/1F·3.00SP
- 3rdGilder Roy (GB)Robert Havlin·James Owen·beaten 0.3 lengths33/1·34.00SP
Race time
2m 9.45s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Quintillion (GB))
“Prominent behind the pacesetter - nudged along over 2f out then went to the front - stretched two lengths ahead approaching 1f out - stayed on strongly inside final furlong - comfortably held rivals to win”
AI top-rated Able Tasman (score 61.8) finished 5th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.75 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way25.4/100 rating
Quintillion
5.90Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Why the model rates this top
Able Tasman
James Doyle · Archie Watson · 2yo
Top-rated of 10
score 61.8 · +2.8 clear of next best (59.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Form20% weight87very strongLast 6: 3-1
- Freshness10% weight85very strong30d since last run (fresh)
- Ratings50% weight52averageOR 78 — highest combined rating in the field
- Trainer20% weight50small sample (n=5)Archie Watson: 1/5 winners last 14d (20%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
MarketBest price 4.30 (Smarkets) · 2nd in the market of 10.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Yarmouth 1m2f
full course data →Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.18).
Low (1–4)
IV 1.18
Mid (5–7)
IV 1.09
High (8–10)
IV 0.72
Today: Able Tasman (draw 4) and Good Job (draw 2) get the bias; Deira Moon (draw 10) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 100 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | J: Callum Shepherd · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 6 2yo · C · b | 72 | — | 25.4 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 2 | 6 | J: Daniel Muscutt · T: Harry Eustace · draw 10 2yo · G · b | 722 | 78 | 59.0 | 2/1F·3.00 SP |
| 3 | 2 | J: Robert Havlin · T: James Owen · draw 8 2yo · C · ch | 7 | — | 20.5 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 4 | 8 | J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Ed Walker · draw 7 2yo · C · b | 4 | — | 23.5 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 5 | 1 | J: James Doyle · T: Archie Watson · draw 4 2yo · C · b | 31 | 78 | 61.8 | 11/4·3.75 SP |
| 6 | 3 | J: Lewis Edmunds · T: Harry Charlton · draw 2 2yo · C · b | — | — | 25.5 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 7 | 4 | J: Rhys Clutterbuck · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 3 2yo · C · ch | 57 | — | 21.5 | 66/1·67.00 SP |
| 8 | 7 | J: Jack Callan · T: Patrick Owens · draw 1 2yo · G · chvFT V | 80 | — | 9.2 | 400/1·401.00 SP |
| 9 | 10 | J: Marco Ghiani · T: Marco Botti · draw 9 2yo · F · b | — | — | 23.5 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 10 | 9 | J: Darragh Keenan · T: Marco Botti · draw 5 2yo · F · ch | 9 | — | 16.7 | 200/1·201.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:24 Yarmouth?
No — the AI top pick (Able Tasman) finished 5.
What were the placings in the 14:24 Yarmouth?
Top finishers: 1. Quintillion (GB) (4.50), 2. Deira Moon (IRE) (3.00), 3. Gilder Roy (GB) (34.00).
What was the winning time for the 14:24 Yarmouth?
The winning time was 2m 9.45s.
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