Who won the 14:47 Musselburgh on 12 October 2026?
Donna Beauty (IRE) won the 14:47 Musselburgh at SP 2.62. Ridden by Ryan Sexton. Trained by Charlie Johnston.
14:47 Musselburgh
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7f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 9 runners · £6,480 · Monday, 12 October 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 2ndRace report
- 1stDonna Beauty (IRE)Ryan Sexton·Charlie Johnston13/8F·2.62SP
- 2ndFern Clyde (GB)AI top pick · 44.5David Allan·Tim Easterby·beaten 0.2 lengths6/1·7.00SP
- 3rdLiveadream (GB)Sam James·Phillip Makin·beaten .75 lengths22/1·23.00SP
Race time
1m 29.27s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Donna Beauty (IRE))
“In mid-pack - pulling hard early - progressed towards middle of track from 2f out - drifted off a true line inside final furlong - moved into second inside final furlong - strong finish to get up near the line - won”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 6.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way44.5/100 rating
Fern Clyde
10.00Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Possessive
Possessive looks the one to beat at Musselburgh, with our rating of 87 putting him 16 lb clear of the next best, Fern Clyde on 71, which is a sizeable gap in a Class 4 seven-furlong contest. That margin gives him plenty of scope to cope with the good to soft ground and still come out on top. Fern Clyde is the chief danger, with Donna Beauty and Mick's The Boy both on 70 and capable of making it competitive if Possessive is below his best. Possessive is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Fern Clyde
David Allan · Tim Easterby · 2yo
Top-rated of 9
score 44.5 · +0.7 clear of next best (43.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong14d since last run (race-fit window)
- Ratings50% weight43below averageOR 64
- Form20% weight39below averageLast 6: 3-4-6-4-5-4
- Trainer20% weight28weakTim Easterby: 9/80 winners last 14d (11%)
MarketBest price 10.00 (Betfair Exchange) · 2nd in the market of 9.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Musselburgh 7f
full course data →Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.20).
Low (1–3)
IV 0.85
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.97
High (7–9)
IV 1.20
Today: Possessive (draw 8) and Donna Beauty (draw 7) get the bias; Peggy's Lad (draw 2) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 126 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | J: Ryan Sexton · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 7 2yo · F · bh | 6719 | 74 | 43.1 | 13/8F·2.62 SP |
| 2 | 7 | J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 4 2yo · F · chht | 346454 | 64 | 44.5 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 3 | 9 | J: Sam James · T: Phillip Makin · draw 1 2yo · F · b | 420579 | 53 | 31.8 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 4 | 1 | J: Jack Nicholls(3) · T: Iain Jardine · draw 2 2yo · C · b | 08150 | 64 | 43.2 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 5 | 3 | J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Brian Ellison · draw 3 2yo · F · b | 335147 | 58 | 42.7 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 6 | 4 | J: Billy Garritty · T: Michael & David Easterby · draw 9 2yo · G · b | 826554 | 62 | 43.0 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 7 | 8 | J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Brian Ellison · draw 5 2yo · F · ch | 704643 | 49 | 38.1 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 8 | 2 | J: Clifford Lee · T: R. Mike Smith · draw 8 2yo · G · b | 173 | 81 | 43.8 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 9 | 5 | J: Pierre-Louis Jamin · T: K. R. Burke · draw 6 2yo · G · b | 93 | — | 24.4 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:47 Musselburgh?
No — the AI top pick (Fern Clyde) finished 2.
What were the placings in the 14:47 Musselburgh?
Top finishers: 1. Donna Beauty (IRE) (2.62), 2. Fern Clyde (GB) (7.00), 3. Liveadream (GB) (23.00).
What was the winning time for the 14:47 Musselburgh?
The winning time was 1m 29.27s.
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