Who won the 15:47 Musselburgh on 12 October 2026?
Ice Sovereigns (IRE) won the 15:47 Musselburgh at SP 13.00. Ridden by Shane Gray. Trained by Richard & Peter Fahey.
15:47 Musselburgh
British Stallion Stud EBF Fillies' Handicap Stakes
7f · Flat · Class 3 · Good To Soft · 7 runners · £13,085 · Monday, 12 October 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 5thRace report
- 1stIce Sovereigns (IRE)Shane Gray·Richard & Peter Fahey12/1·13.00SP
- 2ndCarnival Of Light (GB)Sam James·Charlie Johnston·beaten .5 lengths7/2·4.50SP
- 3rdDandy Magic (IRE)Paul Mulrennan·Jim Goldie·beaten .75 lengths15/8F·2.88SP
Race time
1m 27.49s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Ice Sovereigns (IRE))
“Led from the start - nudged for more over 2f out - urged over 1f out and kept finding - held rivals at bay to win”
AI top-rated Samra Green (score 50.1) finished 5th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 6.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way50.1/100 rating
Samra Green
9.20Matchbook
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Brazilian Rose
Brazilian Rose heads the list on our ratings at 95, level with Aspiral and just a pound clear of Carnival of Light, so this looks a tight top three rather than a one-horse affair. Even so, she is the one we want on side in a seven-runner field, with a gap of eight points back to Samra Green, the next best, meaning the race should be fought out between the leading trio. Aspiral shares her rating and Carnival of Light is only a pound adrift, so both must be respected, while Samra Green is the one to chase them home if anything underperforms. Brazilian Rose gets the nod to prevail on the good to soft ground at Musselburgh.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Samra Green
Clifford Lee · K. R. Burke · 3yo
Top-rated of 7
score 50.1 · +0.1 clear of next best (50.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight85very strong29d since last run (fresh)
- Ratings50% weight57averageOR 85
- Form20% weight36below averageLast 6: 1-7-2-0
- Trainer20% weight30weakK. R. Burke: 4/34 winners last 14d (12%)
MarketBest price 9.20 (Matchbook) · 4th in the market of 7.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Musselburgh 7f
full course data →Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.20).
Low (1–3)
IV 0.85
Mid (4–5)
IV 0.97
High (6–7)
IV 1.20
Today: Aspiral (draw 6) and Ice Sovereigns (draw 7) get the bias; Samra Green (draw 1) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 126 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | J: Shane Gray · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 7 3yo · F · br | 11008 | 82 | 48.0 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 2 | 2 | J: Sam James · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 4 4yo · F · ch | 441100 | 83 | 48.1 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 3 | 7 | J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Jim Goldie · draw 3 4yo · F · ch | 313245 | 77 | 47.7 | 15/8F·2.88 SP |
| 4 | 6 | J: Billy Garritty · T: Brian Ellison · draw 5 3yo · F · bp | 461238 | 79 | 47.4 | 100/30·4.33 SP |
| 5 | 3 | J: Clifford Lee · T: K. R. Burke · draw 1 3yo · F · b | 1720 | 85 | 50.1 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 6 | 4 | J: Pierre-Louis Jamin · T: K. R. Burke · draw 6 3yo · F · b | 13180 | 84 | 50.0 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 7 | 1 | J: David Allan · T: Rebecca Menzies · draw 2 5yo · M · bh | 569070 | 88 | 40.9 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:47 Musselburgh?
No — the AI top pick (Samra Green) finished 5.
What were the placings in the 15:47 Musselburgh?
Top finishers: 1. Ice Sovereigns (IRE) (13.00), 2. Carnival Of Light (GB) (4.50), 3. Dandy Magic (IRE) (2.88).
What was the winning time for the 15:47 Musselburgh?
The winning time was 1m 27.49s.
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