13:30 Roscommon

Ireland

Roscommon Racecourse (C & G) Maiden

7½f · Flat · Soft · 11 runners · €7,200 · Monday, 12 October 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd

1st
State Of Wyoming (IRE)
W. J. Lee·P. Twomey
7/4F·2.75
SP
2nd
Karrygrant (IRE)AI top pick · 53.3
Ben Coen·J. P. Murtagh·beaten 1.5 lengths
11/4·3.75
SP
3rd
Resurgence (IRE)
Shane Foley·Mrs J. Harrington·beaten 5 lengths
11/4·3.75
SP

Race time

1m 36.25s

Race time recorded.

In-running (State Of Wyoming (IRE))

“Bumped at the start - sixth at the midpoint after sitting just off the pace - gained ground turning for home - fourth with 2f to run - moved to the front 1f out while drifting a touch left - won going on strongly”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.75 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way53.3/100 rating

Karrygrant

4.50Hollywood Bets

Place portion settles at 1.70 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Why the model rates this top

Karrygrant

Ben Coen · J. P. Murtagh · 3yo

Top-rated of 11

score 53.3 · +1.0 clear of next best (52.3)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Form20% weight
71strong
Last 6: 5-3-2-3-2-2
Freshness10% weight
70strong
7d since last run (quick turnaround)
Ratings50% weight
51average
OR 77
Trainer20% weight
33weak
J. P. Murtagh: 6/45 winners last 14d (13%)

MarketBest price 4.50 (Hollywood Bets) · 2nd in the market of 11.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Roscommon 7½f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.26).

Low (1–4)

IV 1.26

Mid (5–8)

IV 1.09

High (9–11)

IV 0.64

Today: Resurgence (draw 3) and Hassaniya (draw 1) get the bias; Karrygrant (draw 10) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 66 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	11	State Of Wyoming J: W. J. Lee · T: P. Twomey · draw 5 3yo · C · chvFT V	06	9-08	—	—	—	32.7	7/4F·2.75 SP
2	7	Karrygrant J: Ben Coen · T: J. P. Murtagh · draw 10 3yo · G · btbFT TB	532322	9-08	77	—	—	53.3	11/4·3.75 SP
3	9	Resurgence J: Shane Foley · T: Mrs J. Harrington · draw 3 3yo · G · bpFT P	2426	9-08	80	—	—	52.3	11/4·3.75 SP
4	5	Hassaniya J: Colin Keane · T: M D O'Callaghan · draw 1 3yo · G · bp	533020	9-08	69	—	—	43.9	14/1·15.00 SP
5	2	A Good Yarn J: W. M. Lordan · T: Aidan Anthony Howard · draw 2 3yo · G · b	63	9-08	—	—	—	35.8	7/2·4.50 SP
6	10	Spider Star J: Adam Browne-Souza(7) · T: David Harry Kelly · draw 9 3yo · G · baybrown	05	9-08	—	—	—	27.5	125/1·126.00 SP
7	6	Howya Pal J: Seamie Heffernan · T: John Andrew Kinsella · draw 6 3yo · C · b	0	9-08	—	—	—	6.5	250/1·251.00 SP
8	8	Mr Mercury J: Leigh Roche · T: J A Nash · draw 4 3yo · C · b	008	9-08	—	—	—	8.0	250/1·251.00 SP
9	4	Caption This J: Robbie Colgan · T: J A Nash · draw 8 3yo · G · br	009	9-08	—	—	—	10.6	250/1·251.00 SP
10	1	California Max J: Rory Mulligan(5) · T: Fergal Birrane · draw 11 4yo · C · b	—	9-11	—	—	—	25.0	250/1·251.00 SP
11	3	Airborne Ranger J: Nathan Crosse · T: David Marnane · draw 7 3yo · G · b	0	9-08	—	—	—	11.0	150/1·151.00 SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 13:30 Roscommon on 12 October 2026?

State Of Wyoming (IRE) won the 13:30 Roscommon at SP 2.75. Ridden by W. J. Lee. Trained by P. Twomey.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 13:30 Roscommon?

No — the AI top pick (Karrygrant) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 13:30 Roscommon?

Top finishers: 1. State Of Wyoming (IRE) (2.75), 2. Karrygrant (IRE) (3.75), 3. Resurgence (IRE) (3.75).

What was the winning time for the 13:30 Roscommon?

The winning time was 1m 36.25s.

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