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RacingAlpha

16:30 Roscommon

Ireland

On-Course Vets Handicap

1m4f · Flat · Soft · 16 runners · €9,000 · Monday, 12 October 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 11/2·6.50
  1. 1st
    Pillar Of Hope (GB)AI top pick · 62.5
    Patrick McGettigan·P Sweeney
    11/2·6.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Adel (GER)
    Jamie Powell·M D O'Callaghan·beaten 1.75 lengths
    20/1·21.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Connecteo (IRE)
    Chris Hayes·A Oliver·beaten 4.75 lengths
    10/1·11.00
    SP
Race time
2m 46.64s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Pillar Of Hope (GB))

“Prominent early - 4th at halfway - pushed along turning in - got into stride over 2f out - moved up to 2nd 1f out - quickly upsides - edged ahead 150 yards out - stayed on strongly to win”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 5.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way62.5/100 rating
Pillar Of Hope
11.00Unibet
Place portion settles at 3.00 · 1/5 odds · 5 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Mocking

Mocking heads our ratings on 86, four pounds clear of Pillar Of Hope and Ehteyat on 82, which is a useful edge in a 16-runner contest over a testing 12 furlongs on soft ground. That gap gives us a sound basis to side with him, even if the margin is not huge. Pillar Of Hope and Ehteyat are the main dangers, with Justenzia a further two pounds back on 80 and capable of making the frame if the principals falter. A big field and rivals bunched closely behind leave little room for error, but Mocking is the one to beat on our figures, and he is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Pillar Of Hope

Patrick McGettigan(5) · P Sweeney · 8yo

Top-rated of 18
score 62.5 · +4.6 clear of next best (57.9)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    14d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    83small sample (n=6)
    P Sweeney: 2/6 winners last 14d (33%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Ratings50% weight
    53average
    OR 80 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Form20% weight
    47below average
    Last 6: 0-4-6-4-8-1
MarketBest price 11.00 (Unibet) · 4th in the market of 18.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Roscommon 1m4f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–6)
IV 0.91
Mid (7–12)
IV 0.96
High (13–18)
IV 1.13

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 64 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
11
J: Patrick McGettigan(5) · T: P Sweeney · draw 1
8yo · G · b
046481
8062.5
11/2·6.50
SP
213
J: Jamie Powell · T: M D O'Callaghan · draw 3
3yo · G · b
87100
7542.0
20/1·21.00
SP
316
J: Chris Hayes · T: A Oliver · draw 16
3yo · G · cht
476201
6948.0
10/1·11.00
SP
47
J: Andrew Slattery · T: A. Slattery · draw 17
4yo · G · b
034511
7357.9
9/4F·3.25
SP
58
J: Reese Holohan(5) · T: Patrick Magee · draw 8
4yo · F · b
03U914
7243.7
8/1·9.00
SP
610
J: J M Sheridan · T: Denis Gerard Hogan · draw 12
4yo · F · btp
007022
7245.6
8/1·9.00
SP
714
J: Colin Keane · T: J P Dempsey · draw 14
6yo · G · bp
07014
6941.7
15/2·8.50
SP
84
5yo · G · ch
0514
7454.5
11/2·6.50
SP
912
J: Luke McAteer · T: A. McCann · draw 5
4yo · G · bhFT H
8215
7247.2
50/1·51.00
SP
102
J: Ben Coen · T: J. P. Murtagh · draw 6
4yo · G · bp
16649
7746.1
11/1·12.00
SP
1111
J: Keithen Kennedy(5) · T: P Cluskey · draw 15
6yo · G · bpFT P
6707
7234.7
100/1·101.00
SP
126
J: Robert Whearty · T: Gavin Cromwell · draw 9
4yo · G · bb
50824
7345.3
20/1·21.00
SP
139
5yo · G · chtbFT TB
09860
7238.6
40/1·41.00
SP
145
J: W. J. Lee · T: W. McCreery · draw 11
4yo · F · btFT T
94518
7342.3
25/1·26.00
SP
1515
J: Diego Lima · T: Oliver McKiernan · draw 18
10yo · G · grtb
04010
6437.9
100/1·101.00
SP
PU3
J: Paddy Harnett(3) · T: M K Flannery · draw 13
7yo · G · bb
23760
7539.3
50/1·51.00
SP
——
J: · T: A. J. Martin · draw 4
6yo · G · bt
07056
6140.2—
——
J: · T: H Rogers · draw 2
6yo · G · bp
7012
6241.7—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:30 Roscommon on 12 October 2026?

Pillar Of Hope (GB) won the 16:30 Roscommon at SP 6.50. Ridden by Patrick McGettigan. Trained by P Sweeney.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:30 Roscommon?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Pillar Of Hope, won the race (AI score 62.5).

What were the placings in the 16:30 Roscommon?

Top finishers: 1. Pillar Of Hope (GB) (6.50), 2. Adel (GER) (21.00), 3. Connecteo (IRE) (11.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:30 Roscommon?

The winning time was 2m 46.64s.

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