17:07 Roscommon

Ireland

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1m4f · Flat · Soft · 16 runners · €6,000 · Monday, 12 October 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick was a non-runner

1st
Inver Bay (IRE)
Robbie Colgan·Aidan Anthony Howard
11/2·6.50
SP
2nd
Rio Doce (IRE)
Leigh Roche·John Andrew Kinsella·beaten 1.75 lengths
80/1·81.00
SP
3rd
Acanto (IRE)
Adam Caffrey·Noel Meade·beaten .5 lengths
12/1·13.00
SP

Race time

2m 52.71s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Inver Bay (IRE))

“Settled in the pack's midst - made ground turning for home to hold 3rd - moved out left 2f out and soon upsides - edged ahead 1f out when pushed - stayed on strongly to win”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 5.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way51.6/100 rating

Deluca Chop

10.00Star Sports

Place portion settles at 3.25 · 1/4 odds · 4 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Acanto

Acanto is the one to side with at Roscommon, heading the field on our rating of 68, four pounds better than Among The Pines on 64 and a full ten clear of the 58-rated group behind. That is a meaningful edge in a big 16-runner field, and the selection comes with high confidence. Among The Pines is the main danger as the next best on the figures, while Rio Doce and Calamint, both on 58, are the others to keep onside if Acanto doesn't deliver. Acanto looks the right choice and gets the vote.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Calamint

Top-rated of 19

score 52.3 · +0.6 clear of next best (51.6)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Trainer20% weight
100small sample (n=3)
Adrian Murray: 2/3 winners last 14d (67%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
Freshness10% weight
100very strong
18d since last run (race-fit window)
Ratings50% weight
33weak
OR 49
Form20% weight
30weak
Last 6: 6-2-8-3-0

MarketBest price 19.00 (Midnite) · 4th in the market of 19.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Roscommon 1m4f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–7)

IV 0.91

Mid (8–13)

IV 0.96

High (14–19)

IV 1.13

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 64 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	12	Inver Bay J: Robbie Colgan · T: Aidan Anthony Howard · draw 6 7yo · M · b	080	9-02	45	—	—	42.2	11/2·6.50 SP
2	17	Rio Doce J: Leigh Roche · T: John Andrew Kinsella · draw 8 6yo · G · btpFT TP	06490	9-08	51	—	—	26.1	80/1·81.00 SP
3	3	Acanto J: Adam Caffrey · T: Noel Meade · draw 19 4yo · F · bpFT P	54934	9-11	54	—	—	34.5	12/1·13.00 SP
4	5	Anightaway J: Jimmy Dalton(7) · T: Sean Davis · draw 1 5yo · G · cht	08102	9-10	53	—	—	34.1	11/2·6.50 SP
5	16	Piatra Neamt J: Patrick McGettigan(5) · T: S M Duffy · draw 3 5yo · M · bp	00585	8-12	41	—	—	37.4	15/2·8.50 SP
6	2	Royal Belief J: Colin Keane · T: Cian Collins · draw 2 4yo · G · b	00502	9-12	55	—	—	34.2	5/1·6.00 SP
7	8	Zesty Belle J: Seamie Heffernan · T: M O Quigley · draw 4 5yo · M · bpFT P	48060	9-09	52	—	—	26.3	50/1·51.00 SP
8	9	Burlington House J: Diego Lima · T: Oliver McKiernan · draw 12 5yo · G · grtv	57670	9-04	47	—	—	28.1	33/1·34.00 SP
9	1	Ballaghkeen J: Shane Foley · T: J S Bolger · draw 11 3yo · F · bt	00601	10-00	56	—	—	45.6	7/2F·4.50 SP
10	4	Among The Pines J: Rory Mulligan(5) · T: Kieran Callaghan · draw 15 5yo · G · b	00062	9-10	53	—	—	30.9	14/1·15.00 SP
11	10	Queen Of Astolat J: J M Sheridan · T: Denis Gerard Hogan · draw 7 3yo · F · btp	386073	9-04	53	—	—	33.1	14/1·15.00 SP
12	15	Duleek Street J: Reese Holohan(5) · T: John McConnell · draw 18 8yo · G · btp	8977	8-12	41	—	—	20.2	28/1·29.00 SP
13	14	Thegooseiscooked J: Jack Kearney(3) · T: Gerard Keane · draw 17 9yo · M · btp	003044	9-01	44	—	—	42.1	25/1·26.00 SP
14	13	James Henry J: Julian Pietropaolo(7) · T: Eoin Christopher McCarthy · draw 9 7yo · G · b	300080	9-01	44	—	—	33.2	25/1·26.00 SP
15	11	Autocrat J: Luke McAteer · T: P Sweeney · draw 10 6yo · G · btv	098631	9-03	46	—	—	48.6	9/1·10.00 SP
16	7	Vervain J: W. J. Lee · T: David Harry Kelly · draw 5 4yo · F · bt	442549	9-10	53	—	—	48.3	14/1·15.00 SP
—	—	Calamint J: · T: Adrian Murray · draw 16 6yo · M · b	62830	9-06	49	—	—	52.3	—
—	—	Walls Cross J: · T: Timothy Doyle · draw 13 4yo · F · baybrown	08000	9-05	48	—	—	29.8	—
—	—	Deluca Chop J: Paddy Harnett(3) · T: S M Duffy · draw 14 7yo · G · chp	211532	9-10	53	—	—	51.6	—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 17:07 Roscommon on 12 October 2026?

Inver Bay (IRE) won the 17:07 Roscommon at SP 6.50. Ridden by Robbie Colgan. Trained by Aidan Anthony Howard.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:07 Roscommon?

No — the AI top pick (Calamint) was a non-runner or unplaced.

What were the placings in the 17:07 Roscommon?

Top finishers: 1. Inver Bay (IRE) (6.50), 2. Rio Doce (IRE) (81.00), 3. Acanto (IRE) (13.00).

What was the winning time for the 17:07 Roscommon?

The winning time was 2m 52.71s.

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