Who won the 17:00 Kempton (AW) on 14 October 2026?
Arctic Tsar (IRE) won the 17:00 Kempton (AW) at SP 3.00. Ridden by Rossa Ryan. Trained by Clive Cox.
17:00 Kempton (AW)
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1m · Flat · Class 4 · Standard / Slow · 7 runners · £6,281 · Wednesday, 14 October 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 3rdRace report
- 1stArctic Tsar (IRE)Rossa Ryan·Clive Cox2/1·3.00SP
- 2ndRupert The Brave (IRE)Marco Ghiani·Oliver Cole·beaten 0.05 lengths4/1·5.00SP
- 3rdNoble Prince (GB)AI top pick · 65.8Billy Loughnane·Charlie Appleby·beaten 5 lengths13/8F·2.62SP
Race time
1m 38.46s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Arctic Tsar (IRE))
“Made all the running - challenged after 2f - drifted left and went well ahead 2f out - strongly challenged inside final furlong - narrowly prevailed to win”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.62 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way62.6/100 rating
Arctic Tsar
7.00Midnite
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Noble Prince
Noble Prince is our selection at Kempton, and he heads the field on our figures with a rating of 96, five pounds better than Lady Caroline Lamb and My A'Ali Baba, who share 91. That is a worthwhile edge in a seven-runner Class 4 over a mile on the all-weather, and he should be hard to beat against rivals who look to have a bit to find. Lady Caroline Lamb and My A'Ali Baba are the chief dangers, with Arctic Tsar a little further back on 86 but still capable of making the frame. Noble Prince is the one to side with.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Noble Prince
Billy Loughnane · Charlie Appleby · 2yo
Top-rated of 7
score 65.8 · +3.2 clear of next best (62.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong19d since last run (race-fit window)
- Trainer20% weight75strongCharlie Appleby: 6/20 winners last 14d (30%)
- Form20% weight68strongLast 6: 4-2-2-3
- Ratings50% weight55averageOR 82
MarketBest price 1000.00 (Matchbook) · 5th in the market of 7.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Kempton (AW) 1m
full course data →Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.17).
Low (1–3)
IV 1.05
Mid (4–5)
IV 1.17
High (6–7)
IV 0.80
Today: Algaihabane (draw 5) and Lady Caroline Lamb (draw 4) get the bias; Noble Prince (draw 6) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 665 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | J: Rossa Ryan · T: Clive Cox · draw 1 2yo · C · b | 86611 | 83 | 62.6 | 2/1·3.00 SP |
| 2 | 3 | J: Marco Ghiani · T: Oliver Cole · draw 3 2yo · C · b | 933 | 82 | 50.5 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 3 | 4 | J: Billy Loughnane · T: Charlie Appleby · draw 6 2yo · C · bp | 4223 | 82 | 65.8 | 13/8F·2.62 SP |
| 4 | 5 | J: Finley Marsh · T: David Evans · draw 2 2yo · G · ch | 153059 | 80 | 40.2 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 5 | 6 | J: Jack Mitchell · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 4 2yo · F · b | 317 | 78 | 48.7 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 6 | 1 | J: Robert Havlin · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 5 2yo · C · bhFT H | 718 | 85 | 60.5 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 7 | 7 | J: Isobelle Chalmers(7) · T: J. S. Moore · draw 7 2yo · F · b | 314366 | 56 | 36.8 | 100/1·101.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:00 Kempton (AW)?
No — the AI top pick (Noble Prince) finished 3.
What were the placings in the 17:00 Kempton (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. Arctic Tsar (IRE) (3.00), 2. Rupert The Brave (IRE) (5.00), 3. Noble Prince (GB) (2.62).
What was the winning time for the 17:00 Kempton (AW)?
The winning time was 1m 38.46s.
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