Who won the 18:30 Kempton (AW) on 14 October 2026?
Keithaar (IRE) won the 18:30 Kempton (AW) at SP 4.33. Ridden by Marco Ghiani. Trained by Marco Botti.
18:30 Kempton (AW)
Juddmonte EBF Novice Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands A, B, C And D) (GBB Race)
7f · Flat · Class 2 · Standard / Slow · 10 runners · £15,462 · Wednesday, 14 October 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 4thRace report
- 1stKeithaar (IRE)Marco Ghiani·Marco Botti100/30·4.33SP
- 2ndIsabella Of Aragon (IRE)Ben Ffrench Davis·Dominic Ffrench Davis·beaten .75 lengths33/1·34.00SP
- 3rdSpeed Nation (IRE)Billy Loughnane·Simon & Ed Crisford·beaten 0.2 lengths13/2·7.50SP
Race time
1m 26.46s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Keithaar (IRE))
“Raced just behind the pacesetter - pushed along over 2f out - hit the front over 1f out - stayed on well inside the final furlong to win with a bit in hand”
AI top-rated Iris Olivia (score 61.0) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way61.0/100 rating
Iris Olivia
5.60Matchbook
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Why the model rates this top
Iris Olivia
David Egan · Kevin Philippart de Foy · 2yo
Top-rated of 11
score 61.0 · +6.2 clear of next best (54.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong20d since last run (race-fit window)
- Trainer20% weight75strongKevin Philippart de Foy: 3/10 winners last 14d (30%)
- Form20% weight53averageLast 6: 7-2-3-4
- Ratings50% weight51averageOR 76 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketBest price 5.60 (Matchbook) · 2nd in the market of 11.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Kempton (AW) 7f
full course data →Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.17).
Low (1–4)
IV 1.05
Mid (5–7)
IV 1.17
High (8–10)
IV 0.80
Today: Speed Nation (draw 6) and Keithaar (draw 7) get the bias; Hidden Beyond (draw 8) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 665 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | J: Marco Ghiani · T: Marco Botti · draw 7 2yo · F · b | 2 | — | 33.1 | 100/30·4.33 SP |
| 2 | 10 | J: Ben Ffrench Davis · T: Dominic Ffrench Davis · draw 2 2yo · F · ch | 54 | — | 16.5 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 3 | 3 | J: Billy Loughnane · T: Simon & Ed Crisford · draw 6 2yo · F · b | 7624 | 76 | 54.7 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 4 | 1 | J: David Egan · T: Kevin Philippart de Foy · draw 1 2yo · F · b | 7234 | 76 | 61.0 | 2/1F·3.00 SP |
| 5 | 9 | J: Jason Watson · T: Charles Hills · draw 8 2yo · F · ch | 322 | 68 | 50.7 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 6 | 4 | J: Robert Havlin · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 5 2yo · F · b | 5 | — | 28.5 | 3/1·4.00 SP |
| 7 | 2 | J: Kaiya Fraser · T: Harry Eustace · draw 4 2yo · F · b | 87 | — | 19.7 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 8 | 8 | J: Cieren Fallon · T: S. P. C. Woods · draw 9 2yo · F · b | — | — | 21.5 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 9 | 5 | J: Rossa Ryan · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 10 2yo · F · ch | 548 | 71 | 44.2 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 10 | 7 | J: Ashley Lewis · T: Ed Walker · draw 3 2yo · F · b | 98 | — | 14.2 | 250/1·251.00 SP |
| — | 9 | J: Jason Watson · T: Charles Hills · draw 8 2yo · F · ch | 322 | 68 | 50.7 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:30 Kempton (AW)?
No — the AI top pick (Iris Olivia) finished 4.
What were the placings in the 18:30 Kempton (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. Keithaar (IRE) (4.33), 2. Isabella Of Aragon (IRE) (34.00), 3. Speed Nation (IRE) (7.50).
What was the winning time for the 18:30 Kempton (AW)?
The winning time was 1m 26.46s.
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