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Racing TV Handicap Stakes

7f · Flat · Class 4 · Standard / Slow · 12 runners · £6,281 · Wednesday, 14 October 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 4th
  1. 1st
    Siwa Oasis (IRE)
    Jason Watson·Charles Hills
    9/2·5.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Marengo Storm (GB)
    Finley Marsh·Richard Hughes·beaten 1.25 lengths
    9/2·5.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Blue Prince (IRE)
    Rossa Ryan·David Evans·beaten 1.25 lengths
    6/1·7.00
    SP
Race time
1m 24.23s

Race time recorded.

AI top-rated Philanthropist (score 58.7) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 5.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way58.7/100 rating
Philanthropist
7.60Smarkets

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Philanthropist

Philanthropist heads our ratings on 90, and while that is only a pound clear of Blue Prince and Dr Strangelove, it is enough to make him the one to beat in a tightly packed Class 4 over 7f at Kempton. The three horses on 88 (Marengo Storm, Do Bronxs and Chalk Mountain) are all within two pounds of him, so this is no formality, and Blue Prince, Dr Strangelove and Marengo Storm look the biggest dangers. With a field of 13 and the surface likely to play standard to slow, Philanthropist's narrow edge at the top of the ratings gives him the best credentials on balance. Philanthropist is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Philanthropist

George Wood · James Fanshawe · 4yo

Top-rated of 14
score 58.7 · +2.0 clear of next best (56.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    33d since last run (fresh)
  • Trainer20% weight
    60average
    James Fanshawe: 4/17 winners last 14d (24%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    55average
    OR 83
  • Form20% weight
    53average
    Last 6: 1-3-4-0-2-3
MarketBest price 7.60 (Smarkets) · 6th in the market of 14.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Kempton (AW) 7f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.17).

Low (1–5)
IV 1.05
Mid (6–10)
IV 1.17
High (11–14)
IV 0.80

Today: Philanthropist (draw 8) and Dr Strangelove (draw 9) get the bias; Rogue Messiah (draw 14) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 665 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
112
J: Jason Watson · T: Charles Hills · draw 6
3yo · C · b
75415
7745.8
9/2·5.50
SP
26
J: Finley Marsh · T: Richard Hughes · draw 3
3yo · G · brp
512155
8352.0
9/2·5.50
SP
31
J: Rossa Ryan · T: David Evans · draw 1
5yo · G · b
317732
8549.1
6/1·7.00
SP
43
J: George Wood · T: James Fanshawe · draw 8
4yo · G · bp
134023
8358.7
5/1·6.00
SP
511
4yo · G · b
513524
7548.3
7/2F·4.50
SP
613
3yo · G · b
51099
7545.8
50/1·51.00
SP
77
J: Jack Mitchell · T: Ross Burdon · draw 2
5yo · G · cht
190165
7949.4
20/1·21.00
SP
89
J: Marco Ghiani · T: Zoe Hawkins · draw 7
6yo · G · grt
274634
7944.8
4/1·5.00
SP
914
J: William Cox · T: Jim & Suzi Best · draw 10
3yo · G · b
076569
7237.3
200/1·201.00
SP
1010
J: Paddy Bradley · T: Simon Dow · draw 13
4yo · F · b
586328
7856.1
80/1·81.00
SP
118
J: Charles Bishop · T: Adam Kirby · draw 12
4yo · G · b
1450P
7952.6
100/1·101.00
SP
124
J: David Egan · T: David Loughnane · draw 11
3yo · G · gr
725824
8549.5
14/1·15.00
SP
——
J: Harry Davies · T: James Owen · draw 14
3yo · G · b
21982
8756.7—
——
J: Mason Paetel(3) · T: Oliver Cole · draw 9
4yo · G · bp
322507
8248.1—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 19:00 Kempton (AW) on 14 October 2026?

Siwa Oasis (IRE) won the 19:00 Kempton (AW) at SP 5.50. Ridden by Jason Watson. Trained by Charles Hills.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:00 Kempton (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Philanthropist) finished 4.

What were the placings in the 19:00 Kempton (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Siwa Oasis (IRE) (5.50), 2. Marengo Storm (GB) (5.50), 3. Blue Prince (IRE) (7.00).

What was the winning time for the 19:00 Kempton (AW)?

The winning time was 1m 24.23s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org