Who won the 20:00 Kempton (AW) on 14 October 2026?
War Hawk (IRE) won the 20:00 Kempton (AW) at SP 6.50. Ridden by Jack Mitchell. Trained by Simon & Ed Crisford.
20:00 Kempton (AW)
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1m3f · Flat · Class 4 · Standard / Slow · 13 runners · £6,281 · Wednesday, 14 October 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 6thRace report
- 1stWar Hawk (IRE)Jack Mitchell·Simon & Ed Crisford11/2·6.50SP
- 2ndTryfan (GB)Lewis Edmunds·Harry Charlton·beaten .75 lengths7/1·8.00SP
- 3rdLondoner (IRE)Billy Loughnane·Daniel & Claire Kubler·beaten 0.2 lengths3/1F·4.00SP
Race time
2m 19.10s
Race time recorded.
In-running (War Hawk (IRE))
“Held up behind the main group - pushed along and made ground over 2f out - finished with a powerful run inside the final furlong - went to the front 110yds out and won comfortably”
AI top-rated Wonder (score 60.3) finished 6th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 10.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way60.3/100 rating
Wonder
13.50Matchbook
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Londoner
Londoner heads our ratings on 92, four pounds clear of Charmaine and Assail, who share second place on 88, and that is a meaningful edge in a Class 4 field of 13 over 11 furlongs at Kempton. The ground on the all-weather is described as standard to slow. Charmaine and Assail are the chief dangers, with Metal Merchant a further pound back on 87, but none of them can match Londoner on our figures. Londoner is the selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Wonder
George Wood · James Fanshawe · 5yo
Top-rated of 13
score 60.3 · +0.4 clear of next best (59.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight85very strong59d since last run (fresh)
- Form20% weight62averageLast 6: 2-1-2-2-3-5
- Trainer20% weight60averageJames Fanshawe: 4/17 winners last 14d (24%)
- Ratings50% weight55averageOR 82
MarketBest price 13.50 (Matchbook) · 7th in the market of 13.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Kempton (AW) 1m3f
full course data →Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.21).
Low (1–5)
IV 0.99
Mid (6–9)
IV 1.21
High (10–13)
IV 0.83
Today: Wonder (draw 8) and Carnival Day (draw 9) get the bias; Nicator (draw 11) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 242 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | J: Jack Mitchell · T: Simon & Ed Crisford · draw 6 4yo · G · bt | 36556 | 83 | 51.6 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 2 | 4 | J: Lewis Edmunds · T: Harry Charlton · draw 10 5yo · G · bp | 207153 | 83 | 54.5 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 3 | 1 | J: Billy Loughnane · T: Daniel & Claire Kubler · draw 2 6yo · G · chp | 542424 | 87 | 54.9 | 3/1F·4.00 SP |
| 4 | 2 | J: Kaiya Fraser · T: James Fanshawe · draw 4 5yo · M · b | 244416 | 86 | 59.7 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 5 | 7 | J: Rossa Ryan · T: David Simcock · draw 3 6yo · G · ch | 64328 | 81 | 45.7 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 6 | 6 | J: George Wood · T: James Fanshawe · draw 8 5yo · G · chp | 212235 | 82 | 60.3 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 7 | 9 | J: Sean Levey · T: John Butler · draw 12 6yo · G · b | 004997 | 78 | 41.7 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 8 | 13 | J: Taryn Langley(5) · T: David Simcock · draw 7 6yo · G · b | 327044 | 76 | 39.0 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| 9 | 10 | J: Pat Cosgrave · T: Jim Boyle · draw 9 5yo · G · bp | 745312 | 77 | 53.0 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 10 | 12 | J: David Egan · T: Kevin Philippart de Foy · draw 11 4yo · G · ch | 24274 | 77 | 59.8 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 11 | 11 | J: Jack Dace(5) · T: Luke Dace · draw 5 7yo · G · bh | 88644 | 77 | 38.8 | 80/1·81.00 SP |
| 12 | 5 | J: Cieren Fallon · T: Ian Williams · draw 1 5yo · G · b | 6070 | 83 | 37.0 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| 13 | 8 | J: Roisin Leech(7) · T: Sophie Leech · draw 13 7yo · G · chFirst after wind op | 7009R | 80 | 50.2 | 200/1·201.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 20:00 Kempton (AW)?
No — the AI top pick (Wonder) finished 6.
What were the placings in the 20:00 Kempton (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. War Hawk (IRE) (6.50), 2. Tryfan (GB) (8.00), 3. Londoner (IRE) (4.00).
What was the winning time for the 20:00 Kempton (AW)?
The winning time was 2m 19.10s.
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