Who won the 20:30 Kempton (AW) on 14 October 2026?
Ablon (FR) won the 20:30 Kempton (AW) at SP 5.00. Ridden by Sean Levey. Trained by Richard Hannon.
20:30 Kempton (AW)
Bet £20 Get £20 With Unibet Fillies' Handicap Stakes (London Middle Distance Series Qualifier)
1m3f · Flat · Class 5 · Standard / Slow · 9 runners · £4,187 · Wednesday, 14 October 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 9thRace report
- 1stAblon (FR)Sean Levey·Richard Hannon4/1·5.00SP
- 2ndGlenna (IRE)Rossa Ryan·Tom Ward·beaten 2.25 lengths11/4F·3.75SP
- 3rdSpinney (GB)David Egan·Tom Clover·beaten 0.2 lengths6/1·7.00SP
Race time
2m 19.83s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Ablon (FR))
“Prominent early - pushed along over 2f out - edged ahead over 1f out - stretched two lengths away inside final furlong with ease - won”
AI top-rated Tenison (score 59.5) finished 9th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 6.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way59.5/100 rating
Tenison
8.60Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Royale Goodnight
Royale Goodnight is our selection at Kempton, and she gets the nod over the top-rated Ablon on her progressive profile and a fitness edge that can count over this 11f trip on standard-to-slow ground. She sits just two pounds behind Ablon on our figures, so there is little to separate them, and an improving type with a fitness edge looks the one to side with. Ablon is the obvious danger as the highest-rated runner, while Glenna (78) and Kashel Spring (77) are closely bunched and could easily play a part in a tight contest, which keeps confidence modest. Royale Goodnight is the selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Tenison
Billy Loughnane · Peter Chapple-Hyam · 3yo
Top-rated of 10
score 59.5 · +1.2 clear of next best (58.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight100small sample (n=4)Peter Chapple-Hyam: 2/4 winners last 14d (50%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Freshness10% weight85very strong34d since last run (fresh)
- Form20% weight50averageLast 6: 0-4-1-7-3
- Ratings50% weight42below averageOR 63
MarketBest price 8.60 (Betfair Exchange) · 5th in the market of 10.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Kempton (AW) 1m3f
full course data →Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.21).
Low (1–4)
IV 0.99
Mid (5–7)
IV 1.21
High (8–10)
IV 0.83
Today: Spinney (draw 6) and Thunder Goddess (draw 5) get the bias; Dinah Myte (draw 8) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 242 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | J: Sean Levey · T: Richard Hannon · draw 9 4yo · F · b | 21563 | 70 | 44.3 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 2 | 4 | J: Rossa Ryan · T: Tom Ward · draw 3 3yo · F · b | 521337 | 69 | 43.6 | 11/4F·3.75 SP |
| 3 | 6 | J: David Egan · T: Tom Clover · draw 6 3yo · F · b | 84731 | 66 | 58.3 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 4 | 5 | J: Jason Watson · T: Andrew Balding · draw 5 3yo · F · b | 452215 | 69 | 51.7 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 5 | 1 | J: Lewis Edmunds · T: Harry Charlton · draw 7 4yo · F · b | 2094 | 70 | 42.9 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 6 | 9 | J: Ashley Lewis(3) · T: John O'Shea · draw 4 4yo · F · bp | 335859 | 53 | 32.4 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 7 | 8 | J: William Pyle · T: John Gallagher · draw 8 4yo · F · b | 366175 | 53 | 44.9 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 8 | 3 | J: Finley Marsh · T: Gary Brown · draw 10 4yo · F · b | 45670 | 65 | 33.2 | 80/1·81.00 SP |
| 9 | 7 | J: Billy Loughnane · T: Peter Chapple-Hyam · draw 1 3yo · F · b | 04173 | 63 | 59.5 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Jack Dace(5) · T: David Simcock · draw 2 3yo · F · ch | 460 | 53 | 27.0 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 20:30 Kempton (AW)?
No — the AI top pick (Tenison) finished 9.
What were the placings in the 20:30 Kempton (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. Ablon (FR) (5.00), 2. Glenna (IRE) (3.75), 3. Spinney (GB) (7.00).
What was the winning time for the 20:30 Kempton (AW)?
The winning time was 2m 19.83s.
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