Who won the 13:54 Nottingham on 14 October 2026?
Adamlyi (GB) won the 13:54 Nottingham at SP 3.50. Ridden by Tom Marquand. Trained by William Haggas.
13:54 Nottingham
EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)
1m½f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 14 runners · £5,400 · Wednesday, 14 October 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 3rdRace report
- 1stAdamlyi (GB)Tom Marquand·William Haggas5/2·3.50SP
- 2ndNascondino (IRE)Alec Voikhansky·Daniel & Claire Kubler·beaten 1.75 lengths40/1·41.00SP
- 3rdLone Warrior (IRE)AI top pick · 57.6Callum Shepherd·George Scott·beaten 2.75 lengths13/8F·2.62SP
Race time
1m 48.50s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Adamlyi (GB))
“Up with the pace early - pushed along 3f out - sent to dispute 1f out - kept finding inside final furlong - went ahead over 110yds out and won comfortably”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.62 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Why the model rates this top
Lone Warrior
Callum Shepherd · George Scott · 4yo
Top-rated of 14
score 57.6 · +8.1 clear of next best (49.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight65strong146d since last run (rusty)
- Trainer20% weight63averageGeorge Scott: 3/12 winners last 14d (25%)
- Form20% weight57averageLast 6: 4-5-2
- Ratings50% weight55averageOR 82 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketBest price 1000.00 (Matchbook) · 9th in the market of 14.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Nottingham 1m½f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–5)
IV 0.91
Mid (6–10)
IV 0.99
High (11–14)
IV 1.11
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 196 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | J: Tom Marquand · T: William Haggas · draw 4 3yo · G · gr | 525 | 79 | 49.5 | 5/2·3.50 SP |
| 2 | 12 | J: Alec Voikhansky · T: Daniel & Claire Kubler · draw 14 3yo · G · b | 74 | — | 18.5 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 3 | 1 | J: Callum Shepherd · T: George Scott · draw 2 4yo · G · btFT T | 452 | 82 | 57.6 | 13/8F·2.62 SP |
| 4 | 2 | J: Saffie Osborne · T: Harry Fry · draw 12 5yo · G · b | — | — | 14.5 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 5 | 10 | J: Oisin Murphy · T: Simon & Ed Crisford · draw 7 3yo · G · chtFT T | — | — | 25.0 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 6 | 13 | J: Kieren Fox · T: Charlie Pike · draw 13 3yo · C · b | 8 | — | 12.0 | 250/1·251.00 SP |
| 7 | 11 | J: Luke Morris · T: James Owen · draw 5 3yo · C · b | 5 | — | 22.5 | 100/1·101.00 SP |
| 8 | 6 | J: Jonny Peate · T: Mark Loughnane · draw 1 3yo · G · b | 78 | — | 12.3 | 200/1·201.00 SP |
| 9 | 7 | J: Hector Crouch · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 8 3yo · G · ch | 53 | — | 27.0 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 10 | 8 | J: Sean Dylan Bowen · T: Roger Varian · draw 11 3yo · G · b | 0 | — | 16.0 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| 11 | 9 | J: James Doyle · T: Hamad Al Jehani · draw 3 3yo · G · b | 4 | — | 26.0 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 12 | 5 | J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Jim Goldie · draw 9 3yo · G · b | 57 | — | 19.0 | 250/1·251.00 SP |
| 13 | 14 | J: Joe Leavy · T: Mrs Ilka Gansera-Leveque · draw 10 3yo · F · b | 03 | — | 16.5 | 250/1·251.00 SP |
| 14 | 4 | J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 6 3yo · G · bhFT H | — | — | 21.5 | 100/1·101.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 13:54 Nottingham?
No — the AI top pick (Lone Warrior) finished 3.
What were the placings in the 13:54 Nottingham?
Top finishers: 1. Adamlyi (GB) (3.50), 2. Nascondino (IRE) (41.00), 3. Lone Warrior (IRE) (2.62).
What was the winning time for the 13:54 Nottingham?
The winning time was 1m 48.50s.
Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org