13:02 Curragh

Ireland

Irish EBF Median Sires Series Maiden

6f · Flat · Yielding · 12 runners · €15,000 · Thursday, 15 October 2026

Compare all prices

E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (12 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Captain James Cook

No. 1 · score 43.0 · +18.5 clear of next best · best 6/1·7.00

Best value vs consensus

Arizona Storm

100/1·101.00 Betfair Sportsbook · +12% vs fair (consensus 90.34)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 24 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way43.0/100 rating

Captain James Cook

7.00Bet365

Place portion settles at 2.20 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Captain James Cook

W. M. Lordan · Aidan O'Brien · 2yo

Top-rated of 12

score 43.0 · +18.5 clear of next best (24.5)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
16d since last run (race-fit window)
Ratings50% weight
41below average
OR 61 — highest combined rating in the field
Form20% weight
36below average
Last 6: 0-7-6-6-4-3
Trainer20% weight
28weak
Aidan O'Brien: 7/62 winners last 14d (11%)

MarketBest price 7.00 (Bet365) · 3rd in the market of 12.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Front-runners(1)
1Captain James Cook
Prominent(1)
2Champion Basma
Mid-division(0)—
Hold-up / closers(4)
5Alfredo Delgado 9Tavernise 10Jade Fox 11Maxims Of Equity
Unknown(6)
3Jabreen 4Aztec Chief 6Arizona Storm 7Bajan Bambi 8Kindacan 12Rockfleet

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Curragh 6f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.12).

Low (1–4)

IV 1.03

Mid (5–8)

IV 0.84

High (9–12)

IV 1.12

Today: Champion Basma (draw 12) and Rockfleet (draw 9) get the bias; Captain James Cook (draw 5) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 182 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
1	Captain James CookPick J: W. M. Lordan · T: Aidan O'Brien · draw 5 · combo 27/161 (17%) 2yo · C · b	076643	9-08	61	—	—	43.0	8/1·8.76	6/1·7.00 Bet365 · -20% vs fair Compare 24 books ▾ Bet3656/1·7.00Matchbook7·7.00Bet Victor11/2·6.50 BetMGM11/2·6.50 BetTom11/2·6.50 BetWright11/2·6.50 Betano11/2·6.50 Betfred11/2·6.50 Boyle Sports11/2·6.50 Coral11/2·6.50 Dragon Bet11/2·6.50 Ladbrokes11/2·6.50 Midnite11/2·6.50 Quinn Bet11/2·6.50 SportingIndex11/2·6.50 Spreadex11/2·6.50 William Hill11/2·6.50 Paddy Power11/2·6.50 Unibet11/2·6.50 Betfair Exchange6.2·6.20 LiveScore Bet5/1·6.00 Star Sports5/1·6.00Virgin Bet5/1·6.00Betfair Sportsbook5/1·6.00
3	Jabreen J: Andrew Slattery · T: A. Slattery · draw 1 · combo 10/144 (7%) 2yo · C · chOnly pairing	—	9-04	—	—	—	24.5	16/1·16.18	12.5·12.50 Smarkets · -23% vs fair Compare 25 books ▾ Smarkets12.5·12.50BetTom11/1·12.00 Betfred11/1·12.00 LiveScore Bet11/1·12.00 Quinn Bet11/1·12.00 SportingIndex11/1·12.00Virgin Bet11/1·12.00Bet Victor11/1·12.00 Bet36511/1·12.00 BetMGM11/1·12.00 BetWright11/1·12.00 Betano11/1·12.00 Coral11/1·12.00 Dragon Bet11/1·12.00 Ladbrokes11/1·12.00 William Hill11/1·12.00 Unibet11/1·12.00 Spreadex11/1·12.00 Midnite11/1·12.00 Boyle Sports10/1·11.00 Star Sports10/1·11.00Betfair Sportsbook10/1·11.00Paddy Power10/1·11.00Matchbook11·11.00Betfair Exchange9.2·9.20
2	Champion Basma J: Chris Hayes · T: E J O'Neill · draw 12 2yo · G · bOnly runner	72	9-08	—	—	—	21.4	3/1·3.88	3.2·3.20 Betfair Exchange · -18% vs fair Compare 24 books ▾ Betfair Exchange3.2·3.20Matchbook3.1·3.10Bet Victor15/8·2.88 BetMGM15/8·2.88 BetTom15/8·2.88 BetWright15/8·2.88 Betano15/8·2.88 Betfred15/8·2.88 Boyle Sports15/8·2.88 Dragon Bet15/8·2.88 Quinn Bet15/8·2.88 SportingIndex15/8·2.88 Spreadex15/8·2.88 William Hill15/8·2.88Betfair Sportsbook15/8·2.88Paddy Power15/8·2.88 Unibet15/8·2.88 Coral15/8·2.88 Ladbrokes15/8·2.88 Bet3657/4·2.75 LiveScore Bet7/4·2.75 Midnite7/4·2.75 Star Sports7/4·2.75Virgin Bet7/4·2.75
8	Kindacan J: Ben Coen · T: J. P. Murtagh · draw 8 · combo 22/201 (11%) 2yo · F · b	30	8-11	—	—	—	20.5	9/2·5.39	7/2·4.50 Bet365 · -17% vs fair Compare 23 books ▾ Bet3657/2·4.50Matchbook4.5·4.50Betfair Exchange4.2·4.20 Bet Victor3/1·4.00 BetMGM3/1·4.00 BetTom3/1·4.00 BetWright3/1·4.00 Betano3/1·4.00 Boyle Sports3/1·4.00 Coral3/1·4.00 Dragon Bet3/1·4.00 Ladbrokes3/1·4.00 Midnite3/1·4.00 Quinn Bet3/1·4.00 SportingIndex3/1·4.00 Spreadex3/1·4.00 William Hill3/1·4.00 Unibet3/1·4.00 LiveScore Bet11/4·3.75 Star Sports11/4·3.75Virgin Bet11/4·3.75Betfair Sportsbook11/4·3.75Paddy Power11/4·3.75
7	Bajan Bambi J: Shane Foley · T: Mrs J. Harrington · draw 7 · combo 24/220 (11%) 2yo · F · b	—	8-11	—	—	—	20.0	11/1·12.13	9/1·10.00 Bet365 · -18% vs fair Compare 24 books ▾ Bet3659/1·10.00 Betfair Exchange9.8·9.80 Betfred17/2·9.50 Coral17/2·9.50 Ladbrokes17/2·9.50 Midnite17/2·9.50 William Hill17/2·9.50 Unibet17/2·9.50 SportingIndex17/2·9.50 Spreadex17/2·9.50 Bet Victor8/1·9.00 BetMGM8/1·9.00 BetTom8/1·9.00 BetWright8/1·9.00 Betano8/1·9.00 Boyle Sports8/1·9.00 Dragon Bet8/1·9.00 LiveScore Bet8/1·9.00 Quinn Bet8/1·9.00Virgin Bet8/1·9.00Matchbook9·9.00Paddy Power8/1·9.00 Star Sports8/1·9.00Betfair Sportsbook15/2·8.50
12	Rockfleet J: Nathan Crosse · T: Mrs J. Harrington · draw 9 · combo 0/31 (0%) 2yo · F · brOnly pairing	—	8-09	—	—	—	20.0	22/1·22.92	18.5·18.50 Matchbook · -19% vs fair Compare 23 books ▾ Matchbook18.5·18.50Bet Victor16/1·17.00 Bet36516/1·17.00 BetMGM16/1·17.00 BetTom16/1·17.00 BetWright16/1·17.00 Betano16/1·17.00 Boyle Sports16/1·17.00 Coral16/1·17.00 Dragon Bet16/1·17.00 Ladbrokes16/1·17.00 Midnite16/1·17.00 Quinn Bet16/1·17.00 SportingIndex16/1·17.00 Spreadex16/1·17.00 William Hill16/1·17.00Betfair Sportsbook16/1·17.00Paddy Power16/1·17.00 Unibet16/1·17.00 LiveScore Bet14/1·15.00 Star Sports14/1·15.00Virgin Bet14/1·15.00Betfair Exchange11·11.00
4	Aztec Chief J: W. J. Lee · T: John Joseph Murphy · draw 11 2yo · C · ch	—	9-02	—	—	—	15.0	20/1·20.22	14/1·15.00 Bet Victor · -26% vs fair Compare 24 books ▾ Bet Victor14/1·15.00 Bet36514/1·15.00 BetMGM14/1·15.00 BetTom14/1·15.00 BetWright14/1·15.00 Betano14/1·15.00 Betfred14/1·15.00 Boyle Sports14/1·15.00 Coral14/1·15.00 Dragon Bet14/1·15.00 Ladbrokes14/1·15.00 Midnite14/1·15.00 Quinn Bet14/1·15.00 SportingIndex14/1·15.00 Spreadex14/1·15.00 William Hill14/1·15.00 Paddy Power14/1·15.00 Unibet14/1·15.00Matchbook14.5·14.50LiveScore Bet12/1·13.00 Star Sports12/1·13.00Virgin Bet12/1·13.00Betfair Sportsbook12/1·13.00Betfair Exchange13·13.00
10	Jade Fox J: Reese Holohan(5) · T: Gavin Cromwell · draw 3 2yo · F · bOnly pairing	0	8-09	—	—	—	14.0	40/1·45.84	33/1·34.00 Bet Victor · -26% vs fair Compare 23 books ▾ Bet Victor33/1·34.00 Bet36533/1·34.00 BetMGM33/1·34.00 BetTom33/1·34.00 BetWright33/1·34.00 Betano33/1·34.00 Boyle Sports33/1·34.00 Coral33/1·34.00 Dragon Bet33/1·34.00 Ladbrokes33/1·34.00 Midnite33/1·34.00 Quinn Bet33/1·34.00 SportingIndex33/1·34.00 Spreadex33/1·34.00 William Hill33/1·34.00Betfair Sportsbook33/1·34.00Paddy Power33/1·34.00 Unibet33/1·34.00 LiveScore Bet28/1·29.00 Star Sports28/1·29.00Virgin Bet28/1·29.00Matchbook29·29.00Betfair Exchange14·14.00
11	Maxims Of Equity J: Jamie Powell · T: M D O'Callaghan · draw 10 · combo 4/49 (8%) 2yo · F · btOnly pairing	0	8-09	—	—	—	13.5	50/1·55.28	50/1·51.00 Betfair Sportsbook · -8% vs fair Compare 24 books ▾ Betfair Sportsbook50/1·51.00Paddy Power50/1·51.00 Bet Victor40/1·41.00 Bet36540/1·41.00 BetMGM40/1·41.00 BetTom40/1·41.00 BetWright40/1·41.00 Betano40/1·41.00 Betfred40/1·41.00 Boyle Sports40/1·41.00 Coral40/1·41.00 Dragon Bet40/1·41.00 Ladbrokes40/1·41.00 LiveScore Bet40/1·41.00 Midnite40/1·41.00 Quinn Bet40/1·41.00 SportingIndex40/1·41.00 Spreadex40/1·41.00Virgin Bet40/1·41.00William Hill40/1·41.00 Unibet40/1·41.00 Star Sports33/1·34.00Matchbook18.5·18.50Betfair Exchange14·14.00
9	Tavernise J: Siobhan Rutledge · T: Ross O'Sullivan · draw 2 · combo 1/15 (7%) 2yo · F · bOnly pairing	59	8-11	—	—	—	12.8	10/1·11.46	10.5·10.50 Matchbook · -8% vs fair Compare 24 books ▾ Matchbook10.5·10.50Bet3658/1·9.00 BetMGM15/2·8.50 BetWright15/2·8.50 Betfred15/2·8.50 Coral15/2·8.50 Dragon Bet15/2·8.50 Ladbrokes15/2·8.50 Midnite15/2·8.50 SportingIndex15/2·8.50 William Hill15/2·8.50 Unibet15/2·8.50 Boyle Sports15/2·8.50 Quinn Bet15/2·8.50 Spreadex15/2·8.50 Bet Victor15/2·8.50 BetTom15/2·8.50 Betano15/2·8.50 LiveScore Bet7/1·8.00Virgin Bet7/1·8.00Betfair Sportsbook7/1·8.00Paddy Power7/1·8.00 Star Sports7/1·8.00 Betfair Exchange6.4·6.40
5	Alfredo Delgado J: Colin Keane · T: E McNamara · draw 6 2yo · G · bOnly pairing	8	9-00	—	—	—	12.0	14/1·14.83	12/1·13.00 Paddy Power · -12% vs fair Compare 24 books ▾ Paddy Power12/1·13.00Matchbook12.5·12.50Betfair Sportsbook11/1·12.00Bet Victor10/1·11.00 BetMGM10/1·11.00 BetTom10/1·11.00 BetWright10/1·11.00 Betano10/1·11.00 Betfred10/1·11.00 Boyle Sports10/1·11.00 Coral10/1·11.00 Dragon Bet10/1·11.00 Ladbrokes10/1·11.00 LiveScore Bet10/1·11.00 Midnite10/1·11.00 Quinn Bet10/1·11.00 SportingIndex10/1·11.00 Spreadex10/1·11.00Virgin Bet10/1·11.00William Hill10/1·11.00 Unibet10/1·11.00 Star Sports9/1·10.00 Bet36517/2·9.50 Betfair Exchange8.2·8.20
6	Arizona Storm J: Leigh Roche · T: J A Nash · draw 4 2yo · G · bOnly runner	0	9-00	—	—	—	10.0	80/1·90.34	100/1·101.00 Betfair Sportsbook · +12% vs fair Compare 24 books ▾ Betfair Sportsbook100/1·101.00Paddy Power100/1·101.00 Bet36580/1·81.00 BetMGM66/1·67.00 BetWright66/1·67.00 BetTom66/1·67.00 Dragon Bet66/1·67.00 LiveScore Bet66/1·67.00Virgin Bet66/1·67.00William Hill66/1·67.00 Betfred66/1·67.00 Unibet66/1·67.00 Boyle Sports66/1·67.00 Quinn Bet66/1·67.00 Midnite66/1·67.00 SportingIndex66/1·67.00 Spreadex66/1·67.00 Bet Victor50/1·51.00 Betano50/1·51.00 Coral50/1·51.00 Ladbrokes50/1·51.00 Star Sports50/1·51.00Matchbook32·32.00Betfair Exchange14·14.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 23–25 bookmakers per horse with the 35% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Irish EBF Median Sires Series Maiden?

The Irish EBF Median Sires Series Maiden is off at 13:02 on 15 October 2026 at Curragh (Ireland).

What is the field size and distance of the 13:02 Curragh?

6f, Flat, 12 runners declared.

What is the going for the 13:02 Curragh?

Going is reported as Yielding on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 13:02 Curragh?

The AI top-rated runner is Captain James Cook (score 43.0, best price 7.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 13:02 Curragh?

The market favourite is Champion Basma at a best price of 3.20. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Captain James Cook.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org