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14:40 Brighton

bet365 EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Band D) (GBB Race)

7f · Flat · Class 4 · Good · 12 runners · £5,757 · Thursday, 15 October 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 9 · score 39.5 · +0.4 clear of next best · best 3/1·3.90
Best value vs consensus
9.6·9.60 Smarkets · +15% vs fair (consensus 8.37)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 26 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way37.9/100 rating
Top Cote
9.80Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Jazzy Blue

Paddy Bradley · Charlie Fellowes · 2yo

Top-rated of 12
score 39.5 · +0.4 clear of next best (39.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    65strong
    72d since last run (rusty)
  • Form20% weight
    54average
    Last 6: 6-2-5-2-4
  • Ratings50% weight
    45below average
    OR 67
  • Trainer20% weight
    0weak
    Charlie Fellowes: 0/10 winners last 14d (0%)
MarketBest price 3.90 (Smarkets) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Brighton 7f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)
IV 0.97
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.93
High (9–12)
IV 1.09

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 152 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
9
J: Paddy Bradley · T: Charlie Fellowes · draw 2 · combo 6/80 (8%)
2yo · F · bhFT HOnly runner
62524
6739.54/1·4.883.9·3.90
Smarkets · -20% vs fair
Compare 26 books ▾
1
J: Gina Mangan · T: Dr Richard Newland · draw 8 · combo 0/5 (0%)
2yo · G · bpOnly runner
367527
6639.118/1·18.1419.5·19.50
Matchbook · +8% vs fair
Compare 26 books ▾
7
J: Taryn Langley(5) · T: Jack Morland · draw 6
2yo · G · chpOnly pairing
23470
6837.99/1·9.779.8·9.80
Matchbook
Compare 26 books ▾
6
J: Jack Doughty · T: Rod Millman · draw 4 · combo 3/10 (30%)
2yo · G · bOnly pairing
82
—26.611/2·6.285/1·6.00
Bet365 · -4% vs fair
Compare 26 books ▾
12
J: George Downing · T: Seamus Mullins · draw 10 · combo 1/7 (14%)
2yo · F · chClass dropOnly rideOnly runner
00
—26.5150/1·175.81150/1·151.00
7Bet · -14% vs fair
Compare 26 books ▾
11
J: Kaiya Fraser · T: Harry Eustace · draw 9 · combo 9/63 (14%)
2yo · F · b
——22.015/2·8.379.6·9.60
Smarkets · +15% vs fair
Compare 26 books ▾
2
J: Saffie Osborne · T: Ed Dunlop · draw 11 · combo 0/7 (0%)
2yo · C · bClass dropOnly runner
0
—20.025/1·26.5120/1·21.00
Boyle Sports · -21% vs fair
Compare 26 books ▾
5
J: Ashley Lewis(3) · T: Ed Walker · draw 1 · combo 16/78 (21%)
2yo · C · chOnly runner
65
—19.313/2·7.675/1·6.00
Betfred · -22% vs fair
Compare 26 books ▾
4
J: Pat Cosgrave · T: Jim Boyle · draw 12 · combo 4/38 (11%)
2yo · C · b
——19.050/1·47.4435/1·36.00
7Bet · -24% vs fair
Compare 26 books ▾
8
J: Pat Dobbs · T: Richard Hannon · draw 3 · combo 13/119 (11%)
2yo · F · b
744
—19.09/1·9.7715/2·8.50
Bet365 · -13% vs fair
Compare 26 books ▾
10
J: Rob Hornby · T: Jonathan Portman · draw 7 · combo 8/88 (9%)
2yo · F · bOnly runner
87
—17.266/1·71.1666/1·67.00
Betfair Sportsbook · -6% vs fair
Compare 26 books ▾
3
J: Tom Queally · T: Gary & Josh Moore · draw 5 · combo 7/40 (18%)
2yo · G · b
55
—15.020/1·20.9322·22.00
Matchbook · +5% vs fair
Compare 26 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 26 bookmakers per horse with the 40% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the bet365 EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Band D) (GBB Race)?

The bet365 EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Band D) (GBB Race) is off at 14:40 on 15 October 2026 at Brighton (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 14:40 Brighton?

7f, Class 4, Flat, 12 runners declared.

What is the going for the 14:40 Brighton?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 14:40 Brighton?

The AI top-rated runner is Jazzy Blue (score 39.5, best price 3.90). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 14:40 Brighton?

The market favourite is Jazzy Blue at a best price of 3.90.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org