16:55 Brighton

Position Payout At bet365 Handicap Stakes

7f · Flat · Class 6 · Good · 14 runners · £3,454 · Thursday, 15 October 2026

Compare all prices

E/W terms3 places at 1/4 odds (14 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Balon d'Or

No. 3 · score 48.5 · +3.3 clear of next best · best 16/1·17.50

Best value vs consensus

Dakota Power

18.5·18.50 Matchbook · +7% vs fair (consensus 17.30)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 25 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way45.2/100 rating

Sun of Dolly

12.00Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Noble GuestDiffers from our pick

Noble Guest heads our ratings at 72 and looks the best fit for this Class 6 seven-furlong contest on good ground at Brighton. He is two pounds ahead of Dakota Power, so the edge is narrow, but it is enough to make him the one to beat in a competitive field of 14. Dakota Power is the chief danger, with The Organiser and Balon d'Or, both on 66, the others to keep an eye on. Noble Guest gets the nod.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Balon d'Or

Paddy Bradley · Simon Dow · 5yo

Top-rated of 14

score 48.5 · +3.3 clear of next best (45.2)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
85very strong
31d since last run (fresh)
Trainer20% weight
63small sample (n=4)
Simon Dow: 1/4 winners last 14d (25%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
Ratings50% weight
40below average
OR 60 — highest combined rating in the field
Form20% weight
37below average
Last 6: 4-8-4-1-5-9

MarketBest price 17.50 (Matchbook) · 7th in the market of 14.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Front-runners(2)
9Who Is Alice 11Rainbow Sign
Prominent(4)
2Noble Guest 5Nutcracker 10Blue Collar Lad 12Rock Master
Mid-division(0)—
Hold-up / closers(7)
3Balon d'Or 4Berning Hot 6Sun of Dolly 7The Organiser 8King David 13Mokata 14Music And Song
Unknown(1)
1Dakota Power

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Brighton 7f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–5)

IV 0.97

Mid (6–10)

IV 0.93

High (11–14)

IV 1.09

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 152 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
3	Balon d'OrPick J: Paddy Bradley · T: Simon Dow · draw 2 · combo 5/26 (19%) 5yo · G · bpOnly pairing	484159	9-09	60	—	—	48.5	18/1·18.74	17.5·17.50 Matchbook · -7% vs fair Compare 25 books ▾ Matchbook17.5·17.50Smarkets17.5·17.50SmarketsSBK16/1·17.00 Bet36514/1·15.00 Betfred12/1·13.00 Boyle Sports12/1·13.00 Coral12/1·13.00 Ladbrokes12/1·13.00 Midnite12/1·13.00 Quinn Bet12/1·13.00 SportingIndex12/1·13.00 Spreadex12/1·13.00 Star Sports12/1·13.00 William Hill12/1·13.00 Paddy Power12/1·13.00 Unibet12/1·13.00 7Bet11/1·12.00 Bet Victor11/1·12.00 BetMGM11/1·12.00 BetTom11/1·12.00 BetWright11/1·12.00 Betano11/1·12.00 Dragon Bet11/1·12.00Betfair Sportsbook11/1·12.00Betfair Exchange9·9.00
6	Sun of Dolly J: Finley Marsh · T: John Gallagher · draw 7 3yo · G · chpFT POnly pairing	485270	9-04	57	—	—	45.2	11/1·12.26	12·12.00 Matchbook · -2% vs fair Compare 25 books ▾ Matchbook12·12.00Bet36517/2·9.50 Betfred15/2·8.50 Coral15/2·8.50 Ladbrokes15/2·8.50 Midnite15/2·8.50 Quinn Bet15/2·8.50 SportingIndex15/2·8.50 Spreadex15/2·8.50 Star Sports15/2·8.50 William Hill15/2·8.50Betfair Sportsbook15/2·8.50Unibet15/2·8.50 7Bet7/1·8.00 Bet Victor7/1·8.00 BetMGM7/1·8.00 BetTom7/1·8.00 BetWright7/1·8.00 Betano7/1·8.00 Boyle Sports7/1·8.00 Dragon Bet7/1·8.00 Paddy Power7/1·8.00 Betfair Exchange7.2·7.20 SmarketsSBK11/5·3.20Smarkets3.2·3.20
5	Nutcracker J: Tom Marquand · T: Tony Carroll · draw 5 · combo 3/7 (43%) 4yo · G · gr	332125	9-05	56	—	—	43.4	6/1·7.21	6·6.00 Matchbook · -17% vs fair Compare 25 books ▾ Matchbook6·6.00Smarkets6·6.00Betfair Exchange5.9·5.90 SmarketsSBK9/2·5.50 Bet Victor4/1·5.00 Bet3654/1·5.00 BetMGM4/1·5.00 BetTom4/1·5.00 BetWright4/1·5.00 Betano4/1·5.00 Betfred4/1·5.00 Boyle Sports4/1·5.00 Coral4/1·5.00 Dragon Bet4/1·5.00 Ladbrokes4/1·5.00 Midnite4/1·5.00 Quinn Bet4/1·5.00 SportingIndex4/1·5.00 Spreadex4/1·5.00 Star Sports4/1·5.00 William Hill4/1·5.00Betfair Sportsbook4/1·5.00Paddy Power4/1·5.00 Unibet4/1·5.00 7Bet7/2·4.50
8	King David J: Sean Kirrane · T: Gay Kelleway · draw 11 5yo · G · grOnly ride	952250	9-02	53	—	—	41.9	16/1·17.30	18.5·18.50 Matchbook · +7% vs fair Compare 25 books ▾ Matchbook18.5·18.50Smarkets14.5·14.50SmarketsSBK13/1·14.00 Bet36512/1·13.00 BetTom11/1·12.00 Betfred11/1·12.00 Boyle Sports11/1·12.00 Coral11/1·12.00 Ladbrokes11/1·12.00 Midnite11/1·12.00 Quinn Bet11/1·12.00 SportingIndex11/1·12.00 Spreadex11/1·12.00 Star Sports11/1·12.00 William Hill11/1·12.00Betfair Sportsbook11/1·12.00Paddy Power11/1·12.00 Unibet11/1·12.00 7Bet10/1·11.00 Bet Victor10/1·11.00 BetMGM10/1·11.00 BetWright10/1·11.00 Betano10/1·11.00 Dragon Bet10/1·11.00 Betfair Exchange9·9.00
9	Who Is Alice J: George Bass · T: Grace Harris · draw 13 3yo · F · bhOnly runner	655305	9-00	53	—	—	37.8	20/1·21.63	18.5·18.50 Matchbook · -14% vs fair Compare 25 books ▾ Matchbook18.5·18.50Smarkets18·18.00SmarketsSBK16/1·17.00 7Bet14/1·15.00 BetTom14/1·15.00 BetWright14/1·15.00 Betfred14/1·15.00 Boyle Sports14/1·15.00 Coral14/1·15.00 Dragon Bet14/1·15.00 Ladbrokes14/1·15.00 Midnite14/1·15.00 Quinn Bet14/1·15.00 SportingIndex14/1·15.00 Spreadex14/1·15.00 Star Sports14/1·15.00 William Hill14/1·15.00Betfair Sportsbook14/1·15.00Paddy Power14/1·15.00 Bet36514/1·15.00 Unibet14/1·15.00 Bet Victor12/1·13.00 BetMGM12/1·13.00 Betano12/1·13.00 Betfair Exchange9.8·9.80
13	Mokata J: Laura Coughlan(3) · T: Adam Kirby · draw 12 3yo · F · btOnly ride	597677	8-07	43	—	—	37.0	33/1·33.16	25/1·26.00 Betfair Sportsbook · -22% vs fair Compare 25 books ▾ Betfair Sportsbook25/1·26.00Paddy Power25/1·26.00 Midnite25/1·26.00 Boyle Sports25/1·26.00Matchbook25·25.00Bet36522/1·23.00 BetTom22/1·23.00 BetWright22/1·23.00 Betfred22/1·23.00 Coral22/1·23.00 Dragon Bet22/1·23.00 Ladbrokes22/1·23.00 Quinn Bet22/1·23.00 SportingIndex22/1·23.00 Spreadex22/1·23.00 Star Sports22/1·23.00 William Hill22/1·23.00 Unibet22/1·23.00 Betano22/1·23.00 Bet Victor22/1·23.00 7Bet20/1·21.00 BetMGM20/1·21.00 Betfair Exchange20·20.00Smarkets20·20.00SmarketsSBK18/1·19.00
4	Berning Hot J: William Carson · T: Michael Attwater · draw 6 · combo 1/12 (8%) 4yo · F · grC&DOnly ride	605125	9-07	58	—	—	36.6	6/1·7.21	5.9·5.90 Betfair Exchange · -18% vs fair Compare 25 books ▾ Betfair Exchange5.9·5.90Matchbook5.8·5.80Smarkets5.7·5.70Bet3659/2·5.50 SmarketsSBK9/2·5.50 Bet Victor4/1·5.00 BetMGM4/1·5.00 BetTom4/1·5.00 Betano4/1·5.00 Betfred4/1·5.00 Boyle Sports4/1·5.00 Coral4/1·5.00 Ladbrokes4/1·5.00 Midnite4/1·5.00 Quinn Bet4/1·5.00 SportingIndex4/1·5.00 Spreadex4/1·5.00 Star Sports4/1·5.00 Paddy Power4/1·5.00 Unibet4/1·5.00 7Bet7/2·4.50 BetWright7/2·4.50 Dragon Bet7/2·4.50 William Hill7/2·4.50Betfair Sportsbook7/2·4.50
2	Noble Guest J: Callum Shepherd · T: George Margarson · draw 9 · combo 0/5 (0%) 4yo · G · brOnly pairing	637489	9-09	60	—	—	34.3	9/1·10.09	13/2·7.50 Bet365 · -26% vs fair Compare 25 books ▾ Bet36513/2·7.50 BetTom6/1·7.00 Betfred6/1·7.00 Boyle Sports6/1·7.00 Coral6/1·7.00 Ladbrokes6/1·7.00 Midnite6/1·7.00 Quinn Bet6/1·7.00 SportingIndex6/1·7.00 Spreadex6/1·7.00 Star Sports6/1·7.00 William Hill6/1·7.00Betfair Sportsbook6/1·7.00Paddy Power6/1·7.00 Unibet6/1·7.00Matchbook6.8·6.80Smarkets6.8·6.807Bet11/2·6.50 Bet Victor11/2·6.50 BetMGM11/2·6.50 BetWright11/2·6.50 Betano11/2·6.50 Dragon Bet11/2·6.50 SmarketsSBK11/2·6.50 Betfair Exchange5.8·5.80
11	Rainbow Sign J: Kieran O'Neill · T: Mark Pattinson · draw 3 8yo · G · btOnly pairing	427343	8-10	47	—	—	32.9	9/1·10.09	6/1·7.00 BetTom · -31% vs fair Compare 25 books ▾ BetTom6/1·7.00 Betfred6/1·7.00 Boyle Sports6/1·7.00 Coral6/1·7.00 Ladbrokes6/1·7.00 Midnite6/1·7.00 Quinn Bet6/1·7.00 SportingIndex6/1·7.00 Spreadex6/1·7.00 Star Sports6/1·7.00 William Hill6/1·7.00Betfair Sportsbook6/1·7.00Paddy Power6/1·7.00 Bet3656/1·7.00 Unibet6/1·7.00Matchbook6.6·6.607Bet11/2·6.50 Bet Victor11/2·6.50 BetMGM11/2·6.50 BetWright11/2·6.50 Betano11/2·6.50 Dragon Bet11/2·6.50 Betfair Exchange6.4·6.40Smarkets3.95·3.95SmarketsSBK11/4·3.75
7	The Organiser J: Kieren Fox · T: Mark Pattinson · draw 14 · combo 0/9 (0%) 7yo · G · btOnly pairing	245357	9-04	55	—	—	32.4	25/1·24.51	18/1·19.00 Bet365 · -22% vs fair Compare 25 books ▾ Bet36518/1·19.00Matchbook18.5·18.50Smarkets18·18.00BetTom16/1·17.00 Betfred16/1·17.00 Boyle Sports16/1·17.00 Coral16/1·17.00 Ladbrokes16/1·17.00 Midnite16/1·17.00 Quinn Bet16/1·17.00 SportingIndex16/1·17.00 Spreadex16/1·17.00 Star Sports16/1·17.00 William Hill16/1·17.00Betfair Sportsbook16/1·17.00Paddy Power16/1·17.00 SmarketsSBK16/1·17.00 Unibet16/1·17.00 7Bet16/1·17.00 Bet Victor14/1·15.00 Betano14/1·15.00 Dragon Bet14/1·15.00 BetMGM14/1·15.00 BetWright14/1·15.00 Betfair Exchange10.5·10.50
10	Blue Collar Lad J: Alec Voikhansky · T: Daniel Steele · draw 1 7yo · G · bp	27043	8-11	48	—	—	30.8	17/2·9.37	15/2·8.50 Bet365 · -9% vs fair Compare 25 books ▾ Bet36515/2·8.50 Boyle Sports13/2·7.50 Midnite6/1·7.00 Unibet6/1·7.00 SportingIndex11/2·6.50Betfair Sportsbook11/2·6.50Spreadex11/2·6.50 Coral11/2·6.50 Ladbrokes11/2·6.50 William Hill11/2·6.50 Dragon Bet11/2·6.50 Quinn Bet11/2·6.50 7Bet11/2·6.50 BetWright11/2·6.50 Star Sports11/2·6.50 Paddy Power11/2·6.50 BetTom5/1·6.00 Bet Victor5/1·6.00 Betfair Exchange6·6.00Matchbook6·6.00Betfred5/1·6.00Smarkets6·6.00Betano5/1·6.00 BetMGM5/1·6.00 SmarketsSBK9/2·5.50
12	Rock Master J: Jack Doughty · T: Tony Carroll · draw 4 · combo 2/44 (5%) 4yo · G · b	066456	8-09	41	—	—	30.4	28/1·30.28	22/1·23.00 Bet365 · -24% vs fair Compare 25 books ▾ Bet36522/1·23.00Matchbook22·22.00BetTom20/1·21.00 Betfred20/1·21.00 Boyle Sports20/1·21.00 Coral20/1·21.00 Ladbrokes20/1·21.00 Midnite20/1·21.00 Quinn Bet20/1·21.00 SportingIndex20/1·21.00 Spreadex20/1·21.00 Star Sports20/1·21.00 William Hill20/1·21.00Betfair Sportsbook20/1·21.00Paddy Power20/1·21.00 Unibet20/1·21.00Smarkets19.5·19.50SmarketsSBK18/1·19.00 7Bet18/1·19.00 Bet Victor18/1·19.00 BetMGM18/1·19.00 BetWright18/1·19.00 Betano18/1·19.00 Dragon Bet18/1·19.00 Betfair Exchange18·18.00
1	Dakota Power J: Owen Lewis(5) · T: Roger Teal · draw 10 · combo 3/32 (9%) 7yo · G · bOnly rideOnly runner	54876	9-09	60	—	—	28.6	16/1·17.30	18.5·18.50 Matchbook · +7% vs fair Compare 25 books ▾ Matchbook18.5·18.50Smarkets18·18.00SmarketsSBK16/1·17.00 Boyle Sports12/1·13.00 Midnite12/1·13.00Betfair Sportsbook12/1·13.00Paddy Power12/1·13.00 Bet Victor11/1·12.00 BetTom11/1·12.00 Ladbrokes11/1·12.00 SportingIndex11/1·12.00 Unibet11/1·12.00 Spreadex11/1·12.00 7Bet11/1·12.00 Betano11/1·12.00 Dragon Bet11/1·12.00 Bet36511/1·12.00 Betfred11/1·12.00 Coral11/1·12.00 Quinn Bet11/1·12.00 William Hill11/1·12.00 Star Sports11/1·12.00 BetWright11/1·12.00 BetMGM10/1·11.00 Betfair Exchange8·8.00
14	Music And Song J: Olivia Haines(7) · T: David Flood · draw 8 3yo · F · bOnly ride	896660	8-07	40	—	—	25.8	66/1·59.11	50/1·51.00 Bet365 · -14% vs fair Compare 25 books ▾ Bet36550/1·51.00 7Bet40/1·41.00 BetTom40/1·41.00 BetWright40/1·41.00 Betfred40/1·41.00 Boyle Sports40/1·41.00 Coral40/1·41.00 Dragon Bet40/1·41.00 Ladbrokes40/1·41.00 Midnite40/1·41.00 Quinn Bet40/1·41.00 SportingIndex40/1·41.00 Spreadex40/1·41.00 Star Sports40/1·41.00 William Hill40/1·41.00Betfair Sportsbook40/1·41.00Paddy Power40/1·41.00 Unibet40/1·41.00 Bet Victor33/1·34.00 BetMGM33/1·34.00 Betano33/1·34.00Matchbook30·30.00Smarkets26·26.00SmarketsSBK25/1·26.00 Betfair Exchange14·14.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 25 bookmakers per horse with the 44% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Position Payout At bet365 Handicap Stakes?

The Position Payout At bet365 Handicap Stakes is off at 16:55 on 15 October 2026 at Brighton (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 16:55 Brighton?

7f, Class 6, Flat, 14 runners declared.

What is the going for the 16:55 Brighton?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 16:55 Brighton?

The AI top-rated runner is Balon d'Or (score 48.5, best price 17.50). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 16:55 Brighton?

The market favourite is Berning Hot at a best price of 5.90. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Balon d'Or.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org