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16:39 Fontwell

tigerbet.co.uk Extra Place Races Handicap Hurdle Race

2m1½f · Hurdle · Class 5 · 9 runners · £3,697 · Thursday, 15 October 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 4 · score 67.8 · +6.6 clear of next best · best 9/2·5.60
Best value vs consensus
16.5·16.50 Smarkets · +25% vs fair (consensus 13.24)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 28 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way67.8/100 rating
Lord of The Glance
5.60Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Chief SundayDiffers from our pick

Chief Sunday heads our ratings on 106, a full seven pounds clear of Brave Jen on 99, in a nine-runner Class 5 over 18 furlongs at Fontwell. Brave Jen is the chief danger, with Western Soldier on 94 and For Old Times Sake on 92 best of the rest, while the remainder are tightly bunched in the low 90s and below. Confidence is only low given how open these contests can be, but Chief Sunday has the best figures on our ratings and gets the nod.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Lord of The Glance

Bryan Carver · Alex Hales · 7yo

Top-rated of 9
score 67.8 · +6.6 clear of next best (61.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    40d since last run (fresh)
  • Trainer20% weight
    83small sample (n=6)
    Alex Hales: 2/6 winners last 14d (33%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Form20% weight
    64average
    Last 6: 1-U-2-3-2
  • Ratings50% weight
    60average
    OR 90
MarketBest price 5.60 (Matchbook) · 2nd in the market of 9.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
4
J: Bryan Carver · T: Alex Hales · draw 0 · combo 2/17 (12%)
7yo · G · bOnly runner
1U232
9067.89/2·5.735.6·5.60
Matchbook · -2% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
2
J: Jonjo O'Neill Jr. · T: Jonjo & A.J. O'Neill · draw 0 · combo 15/81 (19%)
8yo · G · bb
521106
9261.312/1·13.2416·16.00
Matchbook · +21% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
7
J: Callum Pritchard · T: Seamus Mullins · draw 0
8yo · G · bOnly runner
U45P4
8458.414/1·15.8912/1·13.00
Bet365 · -18% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
3
J: Sam Twiston-Davies · T: Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies · draw 0 · combo 10/48 (21%)
6yo · G · b
56P97
9156.64/1·4.977/2·4.50
Bet365 · -9% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
5
J: Brendan Powell · T: Henrietta C Knight · draw 0 · combo 5/14 (36%)
5yo · G · br
98P512
8954.35/1·5.855.9·5.90
Betfair Exchange
Compare 28 books ▾
9
J: Richie McLernon · T: Neil Mulholland · draw 0 · combo 0/12 (0%)
10yo · G · bv
75302
8248.912/1·13.2416.5·16.50
Smarkets · +25% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
6
J: Freddie Gingell · T: Joe Tizzard · draw 0 · combo 0/10 (0%)
6yo · G · brpOnly ride
3455P
8546.115/2·8.6113/2·7.50
Bet365 · -13% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
1
J: Rian Corcoran(5) · T: Cynthia Woods · draw 0
8yo · M · btOnly rideOnly runner
1855
9540.840/1·45.0246·46.00
Matchbook · +2% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
8
J: Harry Cobden · T: Neil Mulholland · draw 0
5yo · G · bh
7869P
8437.19/1·9.937/1·8.00
Bet365 · -19% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 28 bookmakers per horse with the 32% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the tigerbet.co.uk Extra Place Races Handicap Hurdle Race?

The tigerbet.co.uk Extra Place Races Handicap Hurdle Race is off at 16:39 on 15 October 2026 at Fontwell (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 16:39 Fontwell?

2m1½f, Class 5, Hurdle, 9 runners declared.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 16:39 Fontwell?

The AI top-rated runner is Lord of The Glance (score 67.8, best price 5.60). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 16:39 Fontwell?

The market favourite is Chief Sunday at a best price of 4.50. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Lord of The Glance.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org