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Next · 8m16:02Haydock

16:02 Haydock

Off in 8m

Jill Wilcox Jones Memorial EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)

6f · Flat · Class 4 · Heavy · 3 runners · £5,400 · Friday, 16 October 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 1 · score 60.4 · +8.5 clear of next best · best 9/4·3.25

Drawn 1, inside the favoured low third at this course and trip.

Best value vs consensus

No book currently stands out from the market consensus in this race. Prices refresh every few minutes.

Model testThis race is on v1.0's public test card: Asheyra advised 9/4·3.15 (Betfair Exchange), frozen at publication — win or lose, it stays on the ledger.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Asheyra

Jack Mitchell · Roger Varian · 2yo

Top-rated of 4
score 60.4 · +8.5 clear of next best (51.9)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    14d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    66strong
    Last 6: 3-2-3
  • Ratings50% weight
    53average
    OR 80 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    53average
    Roger Varian: 6/29 winners last 14d (21%)
MarketBest price 3.25 (Matchbook) · 2nd in the market of 4.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Haydock 6f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.22).

Low (1–2)
IV 1.22
Mid (3–3)
IV 0.71
High (4–4)
IV 1.02

Today: Asheyra (draw 1) and Faith In Florence (draw 2) get the bias; Show And Tell (draw 3) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 114 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

No.HorseFormORAIBestAdd to betslip
1
J: Jack Mitchell · T: Roger Varian · draw 1 · combo 12/52 (23%)
2yo · F · bh
323
8060.43.25·3.25
Matchbook
Compare 29 books ▾
2
J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Ed Walker · draw 2 · combo 30/206 (15%)
2yo · F · b
4232
7851.910/11·1.91
LiveScore Bet
Compare 29 books ▾
4
2yo · F · chtOnly runner
3
—20.55.9·5.90
Matchbook
Compare 29 books ▾
—
J: Clifford Lee · T: K. R. Burke · draw 4 · combo 35/160 (22%)
2yo · F · b
——20.04.6·4.60
Betfair Exchange
Compare 20 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Jill Wilcox Jones Memorial EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)?

The Jill Wilcox Jones Memorial EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race) is off at 16:02 on 16 October 2026 at Haydock (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 16:02 Haydock?

6f, Class 4, Flat, 3 runners declared.

What is the going for the 16:02 Haydock?

Going is reported as Heavy on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 16:02 Haydock?

The AI top-rated runner is Asheyra (score 60.4, best price 3.25). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 16:02 Haydock?

The market favourite is Faith In Florence at a best price of 1.91. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Asheyra.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org