Who won the 17:07 Haydock on 16 October 2026?
Irish Nectar (GB) won the 17:07 Haydock at SP 2.75. Ridden by Dylan Hogan. Trained by Michael Herrington.
17:07 Haydock
Shape Engineering Handicap Stakes
5f · Flat · Class 5 · Heavy · 14 runners · £4,449 · Friday, 16 October 2026
Result
AI top pick wonat SP 7/4F·2.75Race report
- 1stIrish Nectar (GB)AI top pick · 51.0Dylan Hogan·Michael Herrington7/4F·2.75SP
- 2ndCharlie Mason (GB)Rossa Ryan·Tony Carroll·beaten 3 lengths7/1·8.00SP
- 3rdStirrup Cup (GB)David Allan·Tim Easterby·beaten 1.5 lengths9/1·10.00SP
Race time
1m 5.30s
Race time recorded.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.75 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Moonstone Boy
Moonstone Boy is our selection in a tightly packed Class 5 sprint, and he edges out the top-rated Spoof on his progressive profile, with only a pound separating them on our figures. On heavy ground over five furlongs at Haydock, an upward trajectory counts for plenty, and he sits level with Smart Vision, American Bay and Duran on 78. Spoof is narrowly ahead on 79 and is the chief danger, with Smart Vision and American Bay both capable of turning this around from the same level. This is a competitive 14-runner contest, so confidence is low, but Moonstone Boy is the one most likely to be improving past his rivals, and he is the selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Irish Nectar
Dylan Hogan · Michael Herrington · 5yo
Top-rated of 14
score 51.0 · +0.8 clear of next best (50.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight70strong3d since last run (quick turnaround)
- Form20% weight60averageLast 6: 4-9-4-3-4-1
- Trainer20% weight50averageMichael Herrington: 3/15 winners last 14d (20%)
- Ratings50% weight44below averageOR 66
MarketBest price 3.75 (Midnite) · market favourite.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Haydock 5f
full course data →Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.22).
Low (1–5)
IV 1.22
Mid (6–10)
IV 0.71
High (11–14)
IV 1.02
Today: Vingegaard (draw 2) and American Bay (draw 5) get the bias; Our Absent Friends (draw 9) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 114 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | J: Dylan Hogan · T: Michael Herrington · draw 14 5yo · G · bb | 494341 | 66 | 51.0 | 7/4F·2.75 SP |
| 2 | 3 | J: Rossa Ryan · T: Tony Carroll · draw 3 5yo · G · b | 680636 | 73 | 39.0 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 3 | 9 | J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 1 4yo · G · btb | 150643 | 71 | 42.0 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 4 | 8 | J: Tom Marquand · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 7 5yo · G · bv | 500078 | 72 | 34.1 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 5 | 13 | J: Darragh Keenan · T: Jennie Candlish · draw 12 5yo · G · bp | 477846 | 69 | 43.3 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 6 | 14 | J: Clifford Lee · T: Philip Kirby · draw 4 3yo · G · b | 72499 | 65 | 40.5 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| 7 | 7 | J: Oliver Stammers · T: Jessica Macey · draw 11 5yo · G · bp | 994448 | 73 | 40.2 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 8 | 1 | J: Hector Crouch · T: Heather Main · draw 6 3yo · F · b | 62124 | 75 | 45.0 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 9 | 5 | J: Jack Mitchell · T: Kevin & Lauren Frost · draw 10 6yo · G · cht | 03321 | 73 | 47.7 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 10 | 10 | J: Billy Garritty · T: Michael & David Easterby · draw 13 4yo · F · b | 414464 | 71 | 45.5 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 11 | 2 | J: Billy Loughnane · T: Paul Midgley · draw 2 4yo · G · bv | 361064 | 73 | 50.2 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 12 | 6 | J: Joe Leavy · T: Kevin & Lauren Frost · draw 8 11yo · G · b | 71805 | 73 | 38.1 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 13 | 12 | J: Tom Eaves · T: Paul Midgley · draw 5 5yo · G · chbFT B | 205797 | 70 | 45.1 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| 14 | 4 | J: Jason Hart · T: Tristan Davidson · draw 9 8yo · G · cht | 153392 | 73 | 48.1 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:07 Haydock?
Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Irish Nectar, won the race (AI score 51.0).
What were the placings in the 17:07 Haydock?
Top finishers: 1. Irish Nectar (GB) (2.75), 2. Charlie Mason (GB) (8.00), 3. Stirrup Cup (GB) (10.00).
What was the winning time for the 17:07 Haydock?
The winning time was 1m 5.30s.
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