Who won the 16:14 Nottingham on 14 October 2026?
Mayaada (IRE) won the 16:14 Nottingham at SP 2.00. Ridden by Oisin Murphy. Trained by Ollie Sangster.
16:14 Nottingham
Conference And Events At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap Stakes (Div I)
1m½f · Flat · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 10 runners · £4,449 · Wednesday, 14 October 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 7thRace report
- 1stMayaada (IRE)Oisin Murphy·Ollie Sangster1/1F·2.00SP
- 2ndMagic Box (IRE)Tom Marquand·William Haggas·beaten 2.25 lengths14/1·15.00SP
- 3rdUbetterseethis (GB)Tom Eaves·Craig Lidster·beaten 0.2 lengths33/1·34.00SP
Race time
1m 49.73s
Race time recorded.
AI top-rated Mr Tony (score 57.0) finished 7th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 9.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Magic Box
Magic Box heads our ratings at Nottingham on 79, and that makes her the one to side with in this ten-runner Class 5 over a mile on good to soft. She is only narrowly ahead of Mayaada on 77, with Blue Boy Junior two pounds further back on 75, so this looks a tight contest rather than a one-horse race. Ubetterseethis, rated 71, is the other principal danger, though he has a clear step to find to reach our selection's level. Magic Box gets the nod on the numbers, though not by much.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Mr Tony
David Probert · Owen Burrows · 3yo
Top-rated of 10
score 57.0 · +8.4 clear of next best (48.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight85very strong31d since last run (fresh)
- Form20% weight70strongLast 6: 4-1-3-1-4
- Trainer20% weight68strongOwen Burrows: 3/11 winners last 14d (27%)
- Ratings50% weight42below averageOR 63
MarketBest price 81.00 (Virgin Bet) · 7th in the market of 10.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Nottingham 1m½f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–4)
IV 0.91
Mid (5–7)
IV 0.99
High (8–10)
IV 1.11
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 196 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | J: Oisin Murphy · T: Ollie Sangster · draw 4 3yo · F · b | 424485 | 70 | 48.4 | 1/1F·2.00 SP |
| 2 | 2 | J: Tom Marquand · T: William Haggas · draw 1 3yo · F · bpFT P | 54873 | 70 | 44.6 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 3 | 8 | J: Tom Eaves · T: Craig Lidster · draw 2 3yo · G · bp | 304708 | 64 | 38.3 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 4 | 6 | J: Shay Farmer(5) · T: Michael & David Easterby · draw 7 3yo · F · b | 211462 | 66 | 48.6 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 5 | 5 | J: Jack Nicholls(3) · T: Kevin & Lauren Frost · draw 6 3yo · G · b | 8901 | 67 | 44.3 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 6 | 4 | J: Hector Crouch · T: David & Nicola Barron · draw 5 3yo · G · b | 4456 | 67 | 36.9 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 7 | 9 | J: David Probert · T: Owen Burrows · draw 10 3yo · G · bb | 41314 | 63 | 57.0 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 8 | 10 | J: Olivia Haines(7) · T: Mark Walford · draw 3 3yo · F · br | 47665 | 53 | 31.0 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 9 | 3 | J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Tom Ward · draw 9 3yo · G · bp | 26532 | 69 | 44.2 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 10 | 7 | J: Joanna Mason · T: Gemma Tutty · draw 8 3yo · G · b | 665 | 65 | 36.7 | 125/1·126.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:14 Nottingham?
No — the AI top pick (Mr Tony) finished 7.
What were the placings in the 16:14 Nottingham?
Top finishers: 1. Mayaada (IRE) (2.00), 2. Magic Box (IRE) (15.00), 3. Ubetterseethis (GB) (34.00).
What was the winning time for the 16:14 Nottingham?
The winning time was 1m 49.73s.
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