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16:35 Curragh

IrelandFeature

Juddmonte Irish Oaks (Group 1)

1m4f · Flat · Class 1 · Good To Firm · 10 runners · €289,999 · Saturday, 18 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick was a non-runner
  1. 1st
    Johanna Walsh (IRE)
    Dylan Browne McMonagle·Joseph Patrick O'Brien
    7/2·4.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Inis Mor (FR)
    Oisin Murphy·David Menuisier·beaten 4 lengths
    11/2·6.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Sparan Nua (IRE)
    Declan McDonogh·J S Bolger·beaten .75 lengths
    8/1·9.00
    SP
Race time
2m 28.49s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Johanna Walsh (IRE))

“handy early and soon sitting behind the front group - 5th at halfway - made ground in good order early in the straight and went in front 2f out - driven and took control soon after - given a squeeze and three lengths clear 1f out - ran out an easy winner”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Thundering On

Thundering On is our selection, leading these Curragh figures on 115 at today's middle-distance trip and rated four pounds up on Composing in second. Composing, Beautify and Earth Shot are the leading dangers, with Composing the closest on the figures despite being without a win in her recent sequence. Confidence is high that the selection's superior figure and solid recent form see her through.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Thundering On

Dylan Browne McMonagle · Joseph Patrick O'Brien · 3yo

Top-rated of 10
score 83.1 · +0.8 clear of next best (82.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    21d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    90very strong
    Joseph Patrick O'Brien: 21/59 winners last 14d (36%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    79strong
    OR 119 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Form20% weight
    77strong
    Last 6: 2-2-1-1-4
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Curragh 1m4f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.13).

Low (1–4)
IV 1.10
Mid (5–8)
IV 1.13
High (9–11)
IV 0.78

Today: Thundering On (draw 5) and Johanna Walsh (draw 7) get the bias; Rebel Moon (draw 10) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 126 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
17
3yo · F · bt
3312
10878.3
7/2·4.50
SP
26
J: Oisin Murphy · T: David Menuisier · draw 4
3yo · F · b
24013
11056.7
11/2·6.50
SP
39
J: Declan McDonogh · T: J S Bolger · draw 3
3yo · F · ch
111
10362.8
8/1·9.00
SP
48
3yo · F · b
11
10382.3
12/1·13.00
SP
51
J: Ryan Moore · T: A P O'Brien · draw 8
3yo · F · bpFT P
24116
10563.4
5/1·6.00
SP
65
J: James Doyle · T: William Haggas · draw 2
3yo · F · b
2121
10970.6
9/4F·3.25
SP
72
J: Ronan Whelan · T: A P O'Brien · draw 6
3yo · F · b
28866
10455.8
28/1·29.00
SP
83
J: Chris Hayes · T: A P O'Brien · draw 1
3yo · F · b
45153
10262.0
25/1·26.00
SP
94
J: Gavin Ryan · T: A P O'Brien · draw 9
3yo · F · bb
36565
10154.8
66/1·67.00
SP
1010
J: Wayne Lordan · T: A P O'Brien · draw 11
3yo · F · bpFT P
39143
10461.5
20/1·21.00
SP
——
3yo · F · ch
22114
11983.1—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:35 Curragh on 18 July 2026?

Johanna Walsh (IRE) won the 16:35 Curragh at SP 4.50. Ridden by Dylan Browne McMonagle. Trained by Joseph Patrick O'Brien.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:35 Curragh?

No — the AI top pick (Thundering On) was a non-runner or unplaced.

What were the placings in the 16:35 Curragh?

Top finishers: 1. Johanna Walsh (IRE) (4.50), 2. Inis Mor (FR) (6.50), 3. Sparan Nua (IRE) (9.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:35 Curragh?

The winning time was 2m 28.49s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org