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16:00 Epsom

Feature

Betfred Derby (Group 1) (No Geldings)

1m4f · Flat · Class 1 · Soft · 14 runners · £1,000,000 · Saturday, 6 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd
  1. 1st
    Christmas Day (IRE)
    Ronan Whelan·A P O'Brien
    7/1·8.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Maltese Cross (FR)AI top pick · 81.3
    Tom Marquand·William Haggas·beaten 2.75 lengths
    12/1·13.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    James J Braddock (GB)
    Dylan Browne McMonagle·Joseph Patrick O'Brien·beaten 2.5 lengths
    9/1·10.00
    SP
Race time
2m 43.75s+8.15s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

In-running (Christmas Day (IRE))

“Raced in second - pressed leader after 5f - led over 3f out - soon pushed along - drifted right over 1f out - kept on well”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 12.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Benvenuto Cellini

Soft ground would ask a question but BENVENUTO CELLINI (nap), with his stamina in no doubt, is selected ahead of Pierre Bonnard.

Forecast 2/1 Benvenuto Cellini, 9/2 Item, 6/1 Pierre Bonnard, 8/1 James J Braddock, 9/1 Maltese Cross, 14/1 Action, Bay Of Brilliance, 16/1 Ancient Egypt, Christmas Day, 100/1 Alderman, Balzac, Rebel Rocker, 200/1 A Taste Of Glory, Poker

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Maltese Cross

Tom Marquand · William Haggas · 3yo

Top-rated of 14
score 81.3 · +1.1 clear of next best (80.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    28d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    98very strong
    Last 6: 2-1-1-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    74strong
    OR 108 · RPR 122 · TS 105
  • Trainer20% weight
    73strong
    William Haggas: 10/34 winners last 14d (29%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Epsom 1m4f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.14).

Low (1–5)
IV 0.99
Mid (6–10)
IV 0.87
High (11–14)
IV 1.14

Today: Benvenuto Cellini (draw 12) and Action (draw 11) get the bias; Pierre Bonnard (draw 8) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 119 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
18
Christmas Day
J: Ronan Whelan · T: A P O'Brien · draw 5
3yo · C · b
51113
10976.6
7/1·8.00
SP
211
Maltese Cross
J: Tom Marquand · T: William Haggas · draw 1
3yo · C · b
2111
10881.3
12/1·13.00
SP
310
James J Braddock
J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 13
3yo · C · b
2151
10870.1
9/1·10.00
SP
46
Bay Of Brilliance
J: Hector Crouch · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 9
3yo · C · ch
5112
10767.9
9/1·10.00
SP
52
Alderman
J: Pat Dobbs · T: Richard Hannon · draw 6
3yo · C · b
732
8362.5
100/1·101.00
SP
614
Rebel Rocker
J: Rob Hornby · T: Faye Bramley · draw 14
3yo · C · b
12
9966.5
66/1·67.00
SP
712
Pierre Bonnard
J: Christophe Soumillon · T: A P O'Brien · draw 8
3yo · C · b
11172
10975.0
7/2·4.50
SP
83
Ancient Egypt
J: David Egan · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 10
3yo · C · b
1171
10064.8
28/1·29.00
SP
99
Item
J: Colin Keane · T: Andrew Balding · draw 3
3yo · C · ch
111
11776.5
11/2·6.50
SP
107
Benvenuto Cellini
J: Ryan Moore · T: A P O'Brien · draw 12
3yo · C · ch
21131
11280.2—
114
A Taste Of Glory
J: Jamie Spencer · T: Andrew Balding · draw 7
3yo · C · b
41016
8457.0
100/1·101.00
SP
125
Balzac
J: Silvestre De Sousa · T: Jane Chapple-Hyam · draw 2
3yo · C · b
3133
9759.8
66/1·67.00
SP
131
Action
J: Wayne Lordan · T: A P O'Brien · draw 11
3yo · C · chpFT P
13242
11375.3
16/1·17.00
SP
1413
Poker
J: Rowan Scott · T: K R Burke · draw 4
3yo · C · b/brp
622
8060.7
80/1·81.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:00 Epsom on 6 June 2026?

Christmas Day (IRE) won the 16:00 Epsom at SP 8.00. Ridden by Ronan Whelan. Trained by A P O'Brien.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:00 Epsom?

No — the AI top pick (Maltese Cross) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 16:00 Epsom?

Top finishers: 1. Christmas Day (IRE) (8.00), 2. Maltese Cross (FR) (13.00), 3. James J Braddock (GB) (10.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:00 Epsom?

The winning time was 2m 43.75s, 8.15s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org