15:40 Ascot

Feature

King Charles III Stakes (Group 1)

5f · Flat · Class 1 · Good To Firm · 26 runners · £396,970 · Tuesday, 16 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 14/1·15.00

1st
Mission Central (IRE)AI top pick · 71.6
Ryan Moore·A P O'Brien
14/1·15.00
SP
2nd
Rayevka (IRE)
Mickael Barzalona·F-H Graffard·beaten 0.2 lengths
7/1·8.00
SP
3rd
Overpass (AUS)
Joshua Parr·Bjorn Baker·beaten .75 lengths
100/30F·4.33
SP

Race time

58.72s−0.78s vs std

Faster than standard — genuine race tempo.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 14.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Overpass

Overpass arrives at Ascot as a multiple Group 1 winner whose near-miss in Australia's richest sprint last autumn — where he briefly looked the winner before tiring close home — underlines both his elite credentials and the fact that he remains far from the finished article over five furlongs. That run sets a lofty standard, and dropping back to the minimum trip on this stiff track, where holding a prominent position is such an advantage, plays to his strengths rather than against them. Night Raider is the most dangerous of the home contingent, arriving unbeaten this season and with tactical versatility to cope with a hot pace, while Big Mojo and Time For Sandals will also be in the mix. **Overpass** is the call.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Mission Central

Ryan Moore · A P O'Brien · 3yo

Top-rated of 26

score 71.6 · +0.4 clear of next best (71.2)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
85very strong
30d since last run (fresh)
Form20% weight
75strong
Last 6: 6-1-0-1-1
Ratings50% weight
73strong
OR 110
Trainer20% weight
58average
A P O'Brien: 7/31 winners last 14d (23%)

MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Ascot 5f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.19).

Low (1–9)

IV 1.07

Mid (10–18)

IV 0.72

High (19–26)

IV 1.19

Today: Mission Central (draw 24) and Heavenly Heather (draw 22) get the bias; American Affair (draw 18) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 107 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	26	Mission Central J: Ryan Moore · T: A P O'Brien · draw 24 3yo · G · b	61011	9-01	110	—	—	71.6	14/1·15.00 SP
2	21	Rayevka J: Mickael Barzalona · T: F-H Graffard · draw 15 4yo · F · b	26561	9-04	108	—	—	63.0	7/1·8.00 SP
3	9	Overpass J: Joshua Parr · T: Bjorn Baker · draw 19 7yo · G · b	94234	9-07	116	—	—	67.3	100/30F·4.33 SP
4	22	Rosy Affair J: Billy Loughnane · T: George Boughey · draw 11 5yo · M · b	41121	9-04	108	—	—	64.1	18/1·19.00 SP
5	6	Jakajaro J: Jamie Spencer · T: Robert Cowell · draw 23 5yo · G · b	57114	9-07	108	—	—	59.1	33/1·34.00 SP
6	17	Heavenly Heather J: Barry McHugh · T: Tracy Waggott · draw 22 5yo · M · ch	152542	9-04	92	—	—	70.7	40/1·41.00 SP
7	13	Asfoora J: Oisin Murphy · T: Henry Dwyer · draw 26 7yo · M · btb	17100	9-04	113	—	—	61.9	12/1·13.00 SP
8	3	Big Mojo J: Tom Marquand · T: Michael Appleby · draw 17 4yo · C · b/br	25107	9-07	117	—	—	61.3	11/1·12.00 SP
8	19	Miss Attitude J: Ronan Whelan · T: Jack Channon · draw 16 6yo · M · btp	10745	9-04	101	—	—	59.0	80/1·81.00 SP
10	8	Night Raider J: James Doyle · T: K R Burke · draw 6 5yo · G · br	45011	9-07	112	—	—	71.2	4/1·5.00 SP
11	7	Jm Jungle J: Jason Hart · T: John & Sean Quinn · draw 14 6yo · G · b	16049	9-07	108	—	—	50.7	80/1·81.00 SP
12	14	Azure Angel J: Daniel Tudhope · T: Edward Bethell · draw 25 6yo · M · chtb	81615	9-04	98	—	—	60.1	125/1·126.00 SP
13	4	Cover Up J: James McDonald · T: Simon & Ed Crisford · draw 21 6yo · G · bt	41138	9-07	109	—	—	62.0	25/1·26.00 SP
14	18	Mgheera J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Ed Walker · draw 2 6yo · M · b	86565	9-04	104	—	—	60.1	80/1·81.00 SP
15	1	Ain't Nobody J: Kevin Stott · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 12 4yo · C · bp	00709	9-07	106	—	—	48.3	80/1·81.00 SP
16	24	Aspect Island J: Silvestre De Sousa · T: James Owen · draw 20 3yo · C · chvFT V	13373	9-01	106	—	—	61.5	40/1·41.00 SP
17	11	Shagraan J: Hector Crouch · T: Clive Cox · draw 10 5yo · G · ch	12130	9-07	107	—	—	65.8	66/1·67.00 SP
18	25	Behike J: David Egan · T: George Scott · draw 8 3yo · C · b	311	9-01	100	—	—	68.0	33/1·34.00 SP
19	23	Time For Sandals J: Richard Kingscote · T: Harry Eustace · draw 9 4yo · F · b	13758	9-04	109	—	—	59.1	16/1·17.00 SP
20	16	Frost At Dawn J: William Buick · T: William Knight · draw 3 5yo · M · gr/rov	43008	9-04	106	—	—	57.2	50/1·51.00 SP
21	5	Getreadytorumble J: Callum Rodriguez · T: Jack Channon · draw 1 4yo · G · gr	21337	9-07	101	—	—	64.5	66/1·67.00 SP
22	15	First Instinct J: Cieren Fallon · T: William Haggas · draw 7 4yo · F · br	54109	9-04	106	—	—	60.3	66/1·67.00 SP
23	12	Starlust J: Rossa Ryan · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 5 5yo · H · b/br	0746	9-07	109	—	—	61.2	50/1·51.00 SP
24	20	Monteille J: Cristian Demuro · T: Mario Baratti · draw 13 5yo · M · b	81675	9-04	109	—	—	49.2	66/1·67.00 SP
25	10	Rumstar J: Rob Hornby · T: Jonathan Portman · draw 4 6yo · G · b	55602	9-07	110	—	—	52.4	25/1·26.00 SP
26	2	American Affair J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Jim Goldie · draw 18 6yo · G · b	15102	9-07	111	—	—	67.8	15/2·8.50 SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:40 Ascot on 16 June 2026?

Mission Central (IRE) won the 15:40 Ascot at SP 15.00. Ridden by Ryan Moore. Trained by A P O'Brien.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:40 Ascot?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Mission Central, won the race (AI score 71.6).

What were the placings in the 15:40 Ascot?

Top finishers: 1. Mission Central (IRE) (15.00), 2. Rayevka (IRE) (8.00), 3. Overpass (AUS) (4.33).

What was the winning time for the 15:40 Ascot?

The winning time was 58.72s, 0.78s faster than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org