Who won the 16:15 Ascot on 18 June 2026?
Scandinavia (USA) won the 16:15 Ascot at SP 2.38. Ridden by Ryan Moore. Trained by A P O'Brien.
16:15 Ascot
FeatureGold Cup (Group 1)
2m4f · Flat · Class 1 · Good To Firm · 11 runners · £396,970 · Thursday, 18 June 2026
Result
AI top pick wonat SP 11/8F·2.38Race report
- 1stScandinavia (USA)AI top pick · 79.5Ryan Moore·A P O'Brien11/8F·2.38SP
- 2ndTrawlerman (IRE)William Buick·John & Thady Gosden·beaten 0.2 lengths100/30·4.33SP
- 3rdSweet William (IRE)Robert Havlin·John & Thady Gosden·beaten 9 lengths11/1·12.00SP
Race time
4m 18.53s−1.97s vs std
Faster than standard — genuine race tempo.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.38 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Trawlerman
Trawlerman showed last year that he can boss a race of this nature over the full two-and-a-half miles at Ascot, and his record when fresh and at this venue gives genuine confidence that a lack of a preparatory run need not be a concern. The ground conditions suit, and with a number of his rivals carrying at least a question mark over their ability to see out this trip fully, he looks well placed to dictate terms and lay bare any weakness late on. Sweet William, Scandinavia — whose five-race winning streak is formidable — and the progressive Rahiebb are the chief dangers, though all have something to prove against a proven course-and-distance performer. **Trawlerman** is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Scandinavia
Ryan Moore · A P O'Brien · 4yo
Top-rated of 11
score 79.5 · +1.6 clear of next best (77.9)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Form20% weight100very strongLast 6: 1-1-1-1-1
- Freshness10% weight85very strong34d since last run (fresh)
- Ratings50% weight78strongOR 117
- Trainer20% weight60averageA P O'Brien: 9/37 winners last 14d (24%)
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Ascot 2m4f
full course data →Sample too small to call at this course and trip.
Low (1–4)
IV 1.18
Mid (5–8)
IV 1.05
High (9–11)
IV 0.77
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 35 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | J: Ryan Moore · T: A P O'Brien · draw 3 4yo · C · b/brp | 11111 | 117 | 79.5 | 11/8F·2.38 SP |
| 2 | 6 | J: William Buick · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 2 8yo · G · bh | 51111 | 121 | 73.4 | 100/30·4.33 SP |
| 3 | 5 | J: Robert Havlin · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 9 7yo · G · bv | 21212 | 117 | 75.9 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 4 | 2 | J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 8 6yo · H · bp | 17463 | 120 | 66.1 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 5 | 11 | J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Ed Walker · draw 7 5yo · M · b | 21132 | 100 | 68.9 | 80/1·81.00 SP |
| 6 | 7 | 4yo · C · bv | 12551 | 112 | 64.2 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 7 | 1 | J: James Doyle · T: Tom Clover · draw 1 8yo · G · bp | 23132 | 113 | 61.2 | 125/1·126.00 SP |
| 8 | 9 | J: Ray Dawson · T: Roger Varian · draw 10 4yo · C · b | 23421 | 116 | 77.9 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 9 | 4 | J: David Probert · T: Saeed bin Suroor · draw 5 10yo · G · bp | 66841 | 113 | 57.9 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 10 | 8 | J: Colin Keane · T: Andrew Balding · draw 6 4yo · G · gr | 16046 | 109 | 62.4 | 100/1·101.00 SP |
| 11 | 3 | J: Oisin Murphy · T: George Scott · draw 11 5yo · G · bp | 17221 | 115 | 71.0 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:15 Ascot?
Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Scandinavia, won the race (AI score 79.5).
What were the placings in the 16:15 Ascot?
Top finishers: 1. Scandinavia (USA) (2.38), 2. Trawlerman (IRE) (4.33), 3. Sweet William (IRE) (12.00).
What was the winning time for the 16:15 Ascot?
The winning time was 4m 18.53s, 1.97s faster than standard.
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