Who won the 15:40 Ascot on 20 June 2026?
Almeraq (GB) won the 15:40 Ascot at SP 26.00. Ridden by Tom Marquand. Trained by William Haggas.
15:40 Ascot
FeatureQueen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes (Group 1)
6f · Flat · Class 1 · Good To Firm · 18 runners · £567,100 · Saturday, 20 June 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 16thRace report
- 1stAlmeraq (GB)Tom Marquand·William Haggas25/1·26.00SP
- 2ndSatono Reve (JPN)Ryan Moore·Noriyuki Hori·beaten 0.05 lengths5/2·3.50SP
- 3rdJoliestar (AUS)James McDonald·Chris Waller·beaten 0.1 lengths15/8F·2.88SP
Race time
1m 11.82s−0.18s vs std
On standard — typical pace for the course/distance.
AI top-rated Sajir (score 79.1) finished 16th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 20.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Joliestar
Joliestar arrives at Ascot as a multiple Group 1 winner in Australia, unbeaten in three starts this season including a top-level double at Randwick in April, and her rating of 137 puts her clear of every rival in this 19-runner field. The form has already been franked on this very card, with Overpass — a horse she beat in that Randwick victory — finishing a close third earlier in the week, and she has demonstrated she stays further than six furlongs, which matters on this stiff straight track in good-to-firm conditions. Satono Reve is the obvious threat with a strong pilot booked and a luckless run in this race last year behind him, while Lake Forest showed plenty on his seasonal return and Powerful Glory must also be respected. **Joliestar** is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Sajir
Oisin Murphy · A Fabre · 5yo
Top-rated of 18
score 79.1 · +5.4 clear of next best (73.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong20d since last run (race-fit window)
- Trainer20% weight78strongA Fabre: 8/26 winners last 14d (31%)
- Ratings50% weight77strongOR 115
- Form20% weight76strongLast 6: 1-0-2-2-1
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Ascot 6f
full course data →Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.19).
Low (1–7)
IV 1.07
Mid (8–13)
IV 0.72
High (14–19)
IV 1.19
Today: Satono Reve (draw 18) and Stolen Kiss (draw 15) get the bias; Almeraq (draw 11) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 107 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | J: Tom Marquand · T: William Haggas · draw 11 4yo · C · b | 21F1 | 109 | 71.9 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 2 | 14 | J: Ryan Moore · T: Noriyuki Hori · draw 18 7yo · H · bt | 24912 | 119 | 73.7 | 5/2·3.50 SP |
| 3 | 17 | J: James McDonald · T: Chris Waller · draw 9 5yo · M · b | 53111 | 115 | 67.8 | 15/8F·2.88 SP |
| 4 | 15 | J: Alexis Pouchin · T: P Cottier · draw 15 4yo · C · bt | 47111 | 107 | 73.7 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 5 | 8 | J: Cieren Fallon · T: William Haggas · draw 1 5yo · G · ch | 22071 | 119 | 70.8 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 6 | 4 | J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Bent Olsen · draw 8 5yo · H · ch | 15147 | 109 | 62.4 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| 7 | 3 | J: Pierre-Charles Boudot · T: Donnacha Aidan O'Brien · draw 12 4yo · C · br | 33351 | 113 | 63.2 | 15/2·8.50 SP |
| 8 | 9 | J: Katsuma Sameshima · T: Haruki Sugiyama · draw 4 6yo · H · b/br | 02132 | 114 | 71.5 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 9 | 18 | J: Billy Loughnane · T: Richard Hughes · draw 19 4yo · F · b | 41703 | 107 | 54.5 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 10 | 12 | J: Callum Rodriguez · T: Edward Bethell · draw 2 8yo · G · bt | 33493 | 112 | 62.9 | 80/1·81.00 SP |
| 11 | 7 | J: William Buick · T: James Fanshawe · draw 5 5yo · H · b | 83202 | 114 | 70.5 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 12 | 19 | J: Richard Kingscote · T: Harry Eustace · draw 16 4yo · F · b | 37580 | 109 | 50.8 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| 13 | 10 | J: Joshua Parr · T: Bjorn Baker · draw 7 7yo · G · b | 42343 | 116 | 63.6 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 14 | 6 | J: Christophe Soumillon · T: Charles Hills · draw 14 10yo · G · b/br | 13090 | 109 | 54.6 | 66/1·67.00 SP |
| 15 | 2 | J: Sean Levey · T: Richard Hannon · draw 3 5yo · H · b | 71125 | 110 | 64.7 | 100/1·101.00 SP |
| 16 | 13 | J: Oisin Murphy · T: A Fabre · draw 6 5yo · H · b | 10221 | 115 | 79.1 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 17 | 5 | J: Rossa Ryan · T: Clive Cox · draw 17 5yo · H · grt | 66266 | 107 | 55.0 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| 18 | 16 | J: James Doyle · T: Andrew Balding · draw 13 5yo · M · ro | 30391 | 111 | 64.7 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Jamie Spencer · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 10 4yo · C · b | 8517 | 115 | 61.4 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:40 Ascot?
No — the AI top pick (Sajir) finished 16.
What were the placings in the 15:40 Ascot?
Top finishers: 1. Almeraq (GB) (26.00), 2. Satono Reve (JPN) (3.50), 3. Joliestar (AUS) (2.88).
What was the winning time for the 15:40 Ascot?
The winning time was 1m 11.82s, on standard time.
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