15:07 Ripon

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap

6f · Flat · Class 5 · Good · 11 runners · £4,711 · Thursday, 28 May 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 9th

1st
Simba's Pride (GB)
Mark Winn·Michael Dods
9/4F·3.25
SP
2nd
Valor Spirit (IRE)
Paul Mulrennan·Bryan Smart·beaten .75 lengths
9/1·10.00
SP
3rd
Northern Tempest (GB)
Connor Beasley·Michael Dods·beaten 1.75 lengths
14/1·15.00
SP

Race time

1m 12.15s+3.25s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

In-running (Simba's Pride (GB))

“Towards rear - stumbled after 1f - short of room 2f out - headway over 1f out - squeezed through and challenging inside final furlong - led final 110yds - kept on well”

AI top-rated North West Gal (score 49.0) finished 9th.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Simba's Pride

Preference is for SIMBA'S PRIDE (nap), who went close over C&D 11 days ago and is slightly ahead of the handicapper.

Forecast 5/2 Simba's Pride, 7/2 Solar Cooper, 6/1 North West Gal, 7/1 Black Missile, 9/1 Head For Freedom, 10/1 Come On Over, 12/1 Valor Spirit, 14/1 Country Artiste, 16/1 Great Success, Northern Tempest, 33/1 Uncertainty

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

North West Gal

Jason Hart · John & Sean Quinn · 3yo

Top-rated of 11

score 49.0 · +1.5 clear of next best (47.5)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
17d since last run (race-fit window)
Form20% weight
63average
Last 6: 3-2-3-1-5
Ratings50% weight
45below average
OR 69 · RPR 75 · TS 57
Trainer20% weight
20weak
John & Sean Quinn: 1/13 winners last 14d (8%)

MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Ripon 6f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)

IV 0.94

Mid (5–8)

IV 1.15

High (9–11)

IV 0.93

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 162 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	10	Simba's Pride J: Mark Winn · T: Michael Dods · draw 10 3yo · G · ch	45712	9-03	63	80	68	47.5	9/4F·3.25 SP
2	3	Valor Spirit J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Bryan Smart · draw 5 3yo · G · b	33035	9-08	68	76	67	35.5	9/1·10.00 SP
3	11	Northern Tempest J: Connor Beasley · T: Michael Dods · draw 3 3yo · G · bt	95408	9-00	60	75	—	40.4	14/1·15.00 SP
4	8	Head For Freedom J: Joanna Mason · T: Michael & David Easterby · draw 4 3yo · G · b	22049	9-04	64	75	58	41.8	8/1·9.00 SP
5	2	Black Missile J: Ryan Sexton · T: Julie Camacho · draw 6 3yo · G · brpFT P	3445	9-08	68	76	66	43.9	7/1·8.00 SP
6	9	Solar Cooper J: Jack Garritty · T: Mark Walford · draw 2 3yo · G · b	66801	9-04	64	74	55	39.8	7/1·8.00 SP
7	5	Uncertainty J: Tom Eaves · T: Simon Whitaker · draw 7 3yo · F · b	04248	9-07	67	70	60	47.3	50/1·51.00 SP
8	4	Come On Over J: David Nolan · T: David O'Meara · draw 9 3yo · G · b	27670	9-08	68	69	46	35.9	16/1·17.00 SP
9	1	North West Gal J: Jason Hart · T: John & Sean Quinn · draw 8 3yo · F · gr	32315	9-09	69	75	57	49.0	4/1·5.00 SP
10	7	Country Artiste J: Sam James · T: Craig Lidster · draw 11 3yo · F · b	45567	9-05	65	71	66	33.6	28/1·29.00 SP
11	6	Great Success J: Oisin Orr · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 1 3yo · G · b	3840	9-05	65	77	27	37.1	20/1·21.00 SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:07 Ripon on 28 May 2026?

Simba's Pride (GB) won the 15:07 Ripon at SP 3.25. Ridden by Mark Winn. Trained by Michael Dods.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:07 Ripon?

No — the AI top pick (North West Gal) finished 9.

What were the placings in the 15:07 Ripon?

Top finishers: 1. Simba's Pride (GB) (3.25), 2. Valor Spirit (IRE) (10.00), 3. Northern Tempest (GB) (15.00).

What was the winning time for the 15:07 Ripon?

The winning time was 1m 12.15s, 3.25s slower than standard.

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