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16:35 Newmarket

Feature

Al Basti Equiworld, Dubai July Cup Stakes (Group 1)

6f · Flat · Class 1 · Good To Firm · 11 runners · £453,680 · Saturday, 11 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd
  1. 1st
    Comanche Brave (IRE)
    Billy Loughnane·Donnacha Aidan O'Brien
    11/1·12.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Venetian Sun (IRE)
    Clifford Lee·K. R. Burke·beaten 1 length
    6/1·7.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Satono Reve (JPN)AI top pick · 76.3
    Christophe-Patrice Lemaire·Noriyuki Hori·beaten 0.3 lengths
    2/1F·3.00
    SP
Race time
1m 9.99s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Comanche Brave (IRE))

settled down the middle of the track early - handy with the pace - moved to the front strongly 1f out - driven out and stayed on strongly inside the final furlong

Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way75.9/100 rating
Almeraq
7.60Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Almeraq

Almeraq is our selection, preferred ahead of the higher-rated Satono Reve on the strength of a more progressive profile. His recent form, fitness and fit with today's conditions all support his claims in a competitive Class 1 sprint. Satono Reve, Big Mojo and Venetian Sun all pose danger, with Big Mojo matching our selection on figures. Confidence in the pick is only medium given the strength and depth of this field.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Satono Reve

Christophe-Patrice Lemaire · Noriyuki Hori · 7yo

Top-rated of 11
score 76.3 · +0.4 clear of next best (75.9)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    21d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Ratings50% weight
    79strong
    OR 119 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Form20% weight
    71strong
    Last 6: 4-9-1-2-2
  • Trainer20% weight
    63small sample (n=4)
    Noriyuki Hori: 1/4 winners last 14d (25%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
MarketBest price 4.33 (Bet365) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Newmarket 6f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.24).

Low (1–4)
IV 0.95
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.80
High (9–11)
IV 1.24

Today: Double Rush (draw 11) and Venetian Sun (draw 9) get the bias; Satono Reve (draw 8) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 92 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
13
4yo · C · br
33517
11357.6
11/1·12.00
SP
211
J: Clifford Lee · T: K. R. Burke · draw 9
3yo · F · b
13011
11569.8
6/1·7.00
SP
37
7yo · H · bt
49122
11976.3
2/1F·3.00
SP
48
J: Saffie Osborne · T: Clive Cox · draw 6
3yo · C · b
15318
11064.2
28/1·29.00
SP
59
J: James Doyle · T: William Haggas · draw 1
3yo · C · b
15323
11370.9
11/1·12.00
SP
65
J: Pat Dobbs · T: Marco Botti · draw 5
4yo · C · btbFT TB
85024
10256.1
80/1·81.00
SP
710
J: Ryan Moore · T: A P O'Brien · draw 7
3yo · G · b
10111
11575.2
13/2·7.50
SP
84
J: Oisin Murphy · T: Andrew Balding · draw 11
4yo · C · b
20111
11074.2
8/1·9.00
SP
91
J: Tom Marquand · T: William Haggas · draw 4
4yo · C · b
21F11
11975.9
11/2·6.50
SP
102
J: William Buick · T: Michael Appleby · draw 2
4yo · C · b/br
51078
11555.4
12/1·13.00
SP
116
J: Marco Ghiani · T: Stuart Williams · draw 3
6yo · G · bht
21360
10952.0
66/1·67.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:35 Newmarket on 11 July 2026?

Comanche Brave (IRE) won the 16:35 Newmarket at SP 12.00. Ridden by Billy Loughnane. Trained by Donnacha Aidan O'Brien.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:35 Newmarket?

No — the AI top pick (Satono Reve) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 16:35 Newmarket?

Top finishers: 1. Comanche Brave (IRE) (12.00), 2. Venetian Sun (IRE) (7.00), 3. Satono Reve (JPN) (3.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:35 Newmarket?

The winning time was 1m 9.99s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org