Who won the 3:30 Newcastle (AW) on 19 May 2026?
Big Cigar (IRE) won the 3:30 Newcastle (AW) at SP 3.00. Ridden by Oisin Orr. Trained by Richard & Peter Fahey.
← All racecards3:30
Newcastle (AW)
Great BritainSunday Lunch At The Border Minstrel Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)
Tuesday, 19 May 2026
6f·Flat·Class 4·Standard·7 runners·£5,400
Result
AI top pick finished 4thRace report
- 1stBig Cigar (IRE)Oisin Orr·Richard & Peter Fahey3.00SP
- 2ndDorigo (IRE)Kevin Stott·Kevin Ryan·beaten 1 length10.00SP
- 3rdCapilano (IRE)Connor Beasley·Michael Dods·beaten .5 lengths8.00SP
Race time
1m 13.36s+2.66s vs std
Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.
In-running (Big Cigar (IRE))
“Prominent - led 1f out - soon ridden and edged left - ran on”
AI top-rated Caeruleus (score 26.5) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 12.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Selections by model
Head-to-head dashboard →v1.026.5/100 rating
Caeruleus
12.00Betfair Exchange· informational only
Top-rated, but filter rejects this race
v1.1
No pick
Race outside the segment-edge filter
Each-way26.5/100 rating
Caeruleus
12.00Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Racing Alpha pick
Caeruleus
Paul Mulrennan · John Butler · 2yo
26.5/100
+4.0 vs next best (22.5)
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight58averageJohn Butler: 3/13 winners last 14d (23%)
- Form20% weight50averageLast 6: first run
- Freshness10% weight50averageno recent-run data
- Ratings50% weight0weakno Racing Post ratings on file
MarketBest price 12.00 (Betfair Exchange) — 6th pick of 7 in market. AI is contrarian here.
v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Runners
| Pos | # | Dr | Horse | Jockey / Trainer | Form | Wt | OR | RPR | TS | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 6 | 2yo · C · b | — | 9-07 | — | — | — | 22.5 | 2/1F SP | |
| 4 | 2 | 4 | 2yo · C · b | — | 9-07 | — | — | — | 26.5 | 12/1 SP | |
| 3 | 3 | 2 | 2yo · G · b | — | 9-07 | — | — | — | 16.5 | 7/1 SP | |
| 2 | 4 | 3 | 2yo · C · b | — | 9-07 | — | — | — | 21.0 | 9/1 SP | |
| 7 | 5 | 5 | 2yo · C · b | — | 9-07 | — | — | — | 22.0 | 100/30 SP | |
| 6 | 6 | 7 | 2yo · C · b | — | 9-07 | — | — | — | 21.5 | 11/2 SP | |
| 5 | 7 | 1 | 2yo · G · b | — | 9-07 | — | — | — | 21.0 | 5/1 SP |
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 3:30 Newcastle (AW)?
No — the AI top pick (Caeruleus) finished 4.
What were the placings in the 3:30 Newcastle (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. Big Cigar (IRE) (3.00), 2. Dorigo (IRE) (10.00), 3. Capilano (IRE) (8.00).
What was the winning time for the 3:30 Newcastle (AW)?
The winning time was 1m 13.36s, 2.66s slower than standard.
Racing Post verdict
Third-partyLehbab Prince is a likely type, as is MARTIAL ORDER, whose yard is 2-3 with 2yos on the AW this spring.
Racing Post pick: Martial Order
Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.
Betting forecast
Formbook3/1 Real Trouble, Martial Order, 7/2 Lehbab Prince, 6/1 Big Cigar, 8/1 Dorigo, 10/1 Capilano, 14/1 Caeruleus
Formbook's pre-race odds estimate — not market prices.
Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org