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15:00 Doncaster

Hilton Garden Inn Doncaster "Confined" Novice Stakes (Two Runs Or Less) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)

1m4f · Flat · Class 3 · Good To Soft · 5 runners · £6,480 · Sunday, 14 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 4th
  1. 1st
    Nochebuena (GB)
    Edward Greatrex·Ralph Beckett
    5/6F·1.83
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Kenneth (GB)
    Robert Havlin·John & Thady Gosden·beaten .5 lengths
    7/2·4.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Jumpingthegun (IRE)
    Oisin Orr·Gordon Elliott·beaten 2.5 lengths
    28/1·29.00
    SP
Race time
2m 36.40s+6.70s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

AI top-rated Eben Al Khawaneej (score 34.8) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.33 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Eben Al Khawaneej

Daniel Muscutt · Owen Burrows · 3yo

Top-rated of 5
score 34.8 · +2.2 clear of next best (32.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    95small sample (n=8)
    Owen Burrows: 3/8 winners last 14d (38%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    37d since last run (fresh)
  • Form20% weight
    37below average
    Last 6: 6-4
  • Ratings50% weight
    0weak
    no Racing Post ratings on file
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Doncaster 1m4f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.20).

Low (1–2)
IV 1.20
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.05
High (5–6)
IV 0.73

Today: Eben Al Khawaneej (draw 1) and Nochebuena (draw 2) get the bias; Jumpingthegun (draw 5) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 100 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
16
J: Edward Greatrex · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 2
3yo · F · b
42
—31.9
5/6F·1.83
SP
21
4yo · G · btFT T
24
—30.7
7/2·4.50
SP
33
J: Oisin Orr · T: Gordon Elliott · draw 5
3yo · C · bh
74
—24.5
28/1·29.00
SP
42
J: Daniel Muscutt · T: Owen Burrows · draw 1
3yo · C · b
64
—34.8
100/30·4.33
SP
55
3yo · G · gr
2
—32.6
11/1·12.00
SP
——
J: Sean D Bowen · T: David Simcock · draw 6
3yo · C · b
0
—15.5—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:00 Doncaster on 14 June 2026?

Nochebuena (GB) won the 15:00 Doncaster at SP 1.83. Ridden by Edward Greatrex. Trained by Ralph Beckett.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:00 Doncaster?

No — the AI top pick (Eben Al Khawaneej) finished 4.

What were the placings in the 15:00 Doncaster?

Top finishers: 1. Nochebuena (GB) (1.83), 2. Kenneth (GB) (4.50), 3. Jumpingthegun (IRE) (29.00).

What was the winning time for the 15:00 Doncaster?

The winning time was 2m 36.40s, 6.70s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org