15:45 York

Feature

John Smith's Cup (Heritage Handicap) (GBBPlus Race)

1m2½f · Flat · Class 2 · Good To Firm · 22 runners · £103,080 · Saturday, 11 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 9th

1st
Raammee (GB)
Ray Dawson·Roger Varian
5/1·6.00
SP
2nd
Hand Of God (GB)
Lewis Edmunds·Harry Charlton·beaten .75 lengths
11/2·6.50
SP
3rd
Castle Stuart (IRE)
Barry McHugh·Richard & Peter Fahey·beaten .5 lengths
12/1·13.00
SP

Race time

2m 9.35s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Raammee (GB))

“Racing among the pack - was shaken up with 3f to go and made headway shifting left - moved to the front with over a furlong to run - wandered left when driven over 1f out - veered right inside the final furlong - kept finding more with real resolve - prevailed without being fully tested”

AI top-rated Respond (score 70.6) finished 9th.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 18.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way68.7/100 rating

Warrant Holder

4.90Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Warrant Holder

Warrant Holder is the pick on our figures, the best of this red-hot York field with a 113 and two wins and three places from his last five starts. Hand Of God, Thunder Run and Respond all sit close behind on the figures and are the biggest dangers, Hand Of God especially with the second-highest figure in the race. Warrant Holder remains the selection, though with the form this tight, confidence is only medium.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Respond

P J McDonald · Andrew Balding · 4yo

Top-rated of 22

score 70.6 · +2.0 clear of next best (68.7)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
85very strong
36d since last run (fresh)
Form20% weight
83very strong
Last 6: 2-1-3-1-2
Ratings50% weight
70strong
OR 105 — highest combined rating in the field
Trainer20% weight
53average
Andrew Balding: 14/68 winners last 14d (21%)

MarketBest price 17.50 (Betfair Exchange) · 8th in the market of 22.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — York 1m2½f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.38).

Low (1–8)

IV 1.38

Mid (9–15)

IV 0.71

High (16–22)

IV 0.87

Today: Will Scarlet (draw 2) and Danger Bay (draw 3) get the bias; Warrant Holder (draw 9) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 83 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	11	Raammee J: Ray Dawson · T: Roger Varian · draw 14 4yo · G · chh	1142	9-02	95	—	—	64.6	5/1·6.00 SP
2	7	Hand Of God J: Lewis Edmunds · T: Harry Charlton · draw 1 5yo · G · ch	96071	9-08	101	—	—	59.8	11/2·6.50 SP
3	17	Castle Stuart J: Barry McHugh · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 7 4yo · C · bh	76602	8-09	88	—	—	49.6	12/1·13.00 SP
4	5	Danger Bay J: Daniel Tudhope · T: Edward Bethell · draw 3 4yo · C · ch	31191	9-09	102	—	—	61.5	11/2·6.50 SP
5	20	Salam Dubawi J: Andrew Mullen · T: Jim Goldie · draw 16 4yo · G · b	10103	8-08	87	—	—	51.3	80/1·81.00 SP
6	16	Spell Master J: Jonny Peate · T: Oli Rix · draw 15 4yo · G · b	30183	8-10	89	—	—	49.0	40/1·41.00 SP
7	4	Thunder Run J: Shane Gray · T: K. R. Burke · draw 8 5yo · G · ch	40720	9-10	103	—	—	56.2	22/1·23.00 SP
8	10	Auld Toon Loon J: Pierre-Louis Jamin · T: Tom Dascombe · draw 17 7yo · G · bt	01837	9-04	97	—	—	58.6	66/1·67.00 SP
9	1	Respond J: P J McDonald · T: Andrew Balding · draw 20 4yo · G · bh	21312	9-12	105	—	—	70.6	18/1·19.00 SP
10	2	Warrant Holder J: Robert Havlin · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 9 4yo · G · bt	23112	9-12	105	—	—	68.7	3/1F·4.00 SP
11	14	Fantasy Believer J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Ed Walker · draw 22 9yo · G · b	71605	9-00	93	—	—	49.2	100/1·101.00 SP
12	19	Rainbow Nebula J: Warren Fentiman(3) · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 10 4yo · G · b	01565	8-08	87	—	—	50.9	66/1·67.00 SP
13	8	Quai De Bethune J: Rob Hornby · T: Hamad Al Jehani · draw 6 4yo · G · bhFT H	46316	9-07	100	—	—	52.0	16/1·17.00 SP
14	13	Have Secret J: Billy Garritty · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 19 6yo · G · chv	45150	9-01	94	—	—	51.8	100/1·101.00 SP
15	22	Pearl River J: Cam Hardie · T: Richard Hannon · draw 5 3yo · C · b	15812	8-02	88	—	—	51.9	33/1·34.00 SP
16	6	Will Scarlet J: Mason Paetel(5) · T: Simon & Ed Crisford · draw 2 5yo · G · bp	425191	9-09	97	—	—	61.9	40/1·41.00 SP
17	3	Yabher J: Jason Hart · T: William Haggas · draw 13 4yo · G · b	21011	9-11	104	—	—	67.4	7/1·8.00 SP
18	9	Dain Ma Nut In J: Tom Eaves · T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore · draw 21 5yo · G · b	18017	9-06	99	—	—	47.4	50/1·51.00 SP
19	18	Altareq J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 18 4yo · G · b	33031	8-09	83	—	—	52.9	25/1·26.00 SP
20	21	Per Contra J: Duran Fentiman · T: Tim Easterby · draw 4 5yo · G · bp	970348	8-06	85	—	—	50.2	66/1·67.00 SP
21	15	Sportingsilvermine J: Rossa Ryan · T: James Owen · draw 12 5yo · G · br	007131	8-12	86	—	—	58.5	22/1·23.00 SP
22	12	Iron Fist J: Oisin Orr · T: Mrs John Harrington · draw 11 4yo · G · br	61023	9-02	95	—	—	58.8	22/1·23.00 SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:45 York on 11 July 2026?

Raammee (GB) won the 15:45 York at SP 6.00. Ridden by Ray Dawson. Trained by Roger Varian.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:45 York?

No — the AI top pick (Respond) finished 9.

What were the placings in the 15:45 York?

Top finishers: 1. Raammee (GB) (6.00), 2. Hand Of God (GB) (6.50), 3. Castle Stuart (IRE) (13.00).

What was the winning time for the 15:45 York?

The winning time was 2m 9.35s.

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