16:58 Carlisle

Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap

7f · Flat · Class 6 · Good · 8 runners · £3,402 · Monday, 15 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd

1st
The Gay Blade (GB)
Andrew Mullen·Iain Jardine
5/1·6.00
SP
2nd
Good Karma (GB)AI top pick · 58.6
Sean Kirrane·John David Riches·beaten .75 lengths
6/1·7.00
SP
3rd
El Pinto (GB)
Mark Winn·Christopher Kellett·beaten 2.25 lengths
12/1·13.00
SP

Race time

1m 27.74s+2.94s vs std

Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 6.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Good Karma

Sean Kirrane · John David Riches · 6yo

Top-rated of 8

score 58.6 · +0.0 clear of next best (58.6)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
14d since last run (race-fit window)
Trainer20% weight
83small sample (n=3)
John David Riches: 1/3 winners last 14d (33%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
Form20% weight
60average
Last 6: 5-3-2-7-4-1
Ratings50% weight
40below average
OR 60

MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Carlisle 7f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.16).

Low (1–3)

IV 1.00

Mid (4–6)

IV 0.83

High (7–8)

IV 1.16

Today: The Gay Blade (draw 7) and King Sharja (draw 8) get the bias; Good Karma (draw 6) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 96 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	3	The Gay Blade J: Andrew Mullen · T: Iain Jardine · draw 7 7yo · G · b	141261	9-05	61	—	—	47.6	5/1·6.00 SP
2	6	Good Karma J: Sean Kirrane · T: John David Riches · draw 6 6yo · G · grp	532741	9-04	60	—	—	58.6	6/1·7.00 SP
3	7	El Pinto J: Mark Winn · T: Christopher Kellett · draw 5 4yo · G · b	76704	9-02	58	—	—	43.7	12/1·13.00 SP
4	8	King Sharja J: Joanna Mason · T: Ruth Carr · draw 8 6yo · G · b	03022	9-01	57	—	—	42.0	7/2J·4.50 SP
5	5	Lightning Galaxy J: Connor Beasley · T: Michael Dods · draw 2 4yo · G · btFT T	27099	9-04	60	—	—	35.7	12/1·13.00 SP
6	2	Jamaican Storm J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Bryan Smart · draw 3 4yo · G · b	321493	9-06	62	—	—	45.5	11/2·6.50 SP
7	4	Saisons d'Or J: Jack Garritty · T: Jedd O'Keeffe · draw 1 11yo · G · gr	870415	9-04	60	—	—	58.6	7/2J·4.50 SP
8	1	Lesley's Boy J: Oisin Orr · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 4 4yo · G · brv	46305	9-09	65	—	—	41.7	8/1·9.00 SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:58 Carlisle on 15 June 2026?

The Gay Blade (GB) won the 16:58 Carlisle at SP 6.00. Ridden by Andrew Mullen. Trained by Iain Jardine.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:58 Carlisle?

No — the AI top pick (Good Karma) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 16:58 Carlisle?

Top finishers: 1. The Gay Blade (GB) (6.00), 2. Good Karma (GB) (7.00), 3. El Pinto (GB) (13.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:58 Carlisle?

The winning time was 1m 27.74s, 2.94s slower than standard.

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