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RacingAlpha

15:05 Ascot

Queen's Vase (Group 2)

1m6f · Flat · Class 1 · Good To Firm · 11 runners · £150,282 · Wednesday, 17 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd
  1. 1st
    Limestone (IRE)
    Dylan Browne McMonagle·Joseph Patrick O'Brien
    100/30·4.33
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Del Maro (GER)AI top pick · 70.2
    William Buick·Charlie Appleby·beaten 0.05 lengths
    12/1·13.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Ranga Tang (GB)
    Cieren Fallon·James Owen·beaten 1 length
    40/1·41.00
    SP
Race time
3m 2.07s+2.87s vs std

Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 12.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Galiyan

Galiyan heads the market on the back of a taking maiden success at Chester and rates the most interesting runner on these terms, with the step up to fourteen furlongs at a stiff track like Ascot looking very much in his favour as he continues to develop. The ground should suit, and there is every reason to believe he has more to offer as he matures. Asakir and Del Maro are the chief threats on form, while Wareeth merits respect as the handicapper's pick of the rest, though this looks a relatively modest renewal at the top level. **Galiyan** is the selection, albeit one to take with a degree of caution given his limited experience.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Del Maro

William Buick · Charlie Appleby · 3yo

Top-rated of 11
score 70.2 · +1.4 clear of next best (68.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    25d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    71strong
    Last 6: 2-3-1-4-2
  • Ratings50% weight
    68strong
    OR 102
  • Trainer20% weight
    60average
    Charlie Appleby: 4/17 winners last 14d (24%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Ascot 1m6f

full course data →

Sample too small to call at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)
IV 1.18
Mid (5–8)
IV 1.05
High (9–11)
IV 0.77

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 35 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
14
3yo · C · bt
32111
10267.4
100/30·4.33
SP
22
J: William Buick · T: Charlie Appleby · draw 3
3yo · C · br
23142
10270.2
12/1·13.00
SP
39
J: Cieren Fallon · T: James Owen · draw 11
3yo · C · ch
54231
8357.8
40/1·41.00
SP
47
J: James Doyle · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 6
3yo · C · b
21
37.0
7/1·8.00
SP
510
J: Clifford Lee · T: K R Burke · draw 7
3yo · C · b
11
9168.8
10/1·11.00
SP
63
J: Oisin Murphy · T: Andrew Balding · draw 9
3yo · C · ch
41
35.8
2/1F·3.00
SP
71
J: Ben Coen · T: J P Murtagh · draw 2
3yo · G · bpFT P
312
10061.8
12/1·13.00
SP
85
J: Harry Davies · T: James Owen · draw 4
3yo · C · bp
43121
8159.5
100/1·101.00
SP
96
3yo · C · btFT T
22513
9758.5
22/1·23.00
SP
1011
J: Tom Marquand · T: Archie Watson · draw 1
3yo · C · b
161
10058.5
20/1·21.00
SP
118
J: Ryan Moore · T: A P O'Brien · draw 5
3yo · C · bp
15375
10362.7
9/1·10.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:05 Ascot on 17 June 2026?

Limestone (IRE) won the 15:05 Ascot at SP 4.33. Ridden by Dylan Browne McMonagle. Trained by Joseph Patrick O'Brien.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:05 Ascot?

No — the AI top pick (Del Maro) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 15:05 Ascot?

Top finishers: 1. Limestone (IRE) (4.33), 2. Del Maro (GER) (13.00), 3. Ranga Tang (GB) (41.00).

What was the winning time for the 15:05 Ascot?

The winning time was 3m 2.07s, 2.87s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org