18:55 Doncaster

Ian "Festa" Smithurst Memorial Handicap

7f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 13 runners · £5,653 · Saturday, 20 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 2/1F·3.00

1st
Toastmaster (IRE)AI top pick · 53.9
Edward Greatrex·Michael Herrington
2/1F·3.00
SP
2nd
Flight Control (IRE)
William Pyle·Kevin & Lauren Frost·beaten .5 lengths
9/2·5.50
SP
3rd
Three Non Blondes (GB)
Alexandra Egan·Hayley Burton·beaten 0.2 lengths
22/1·23.00
SP

Race time

1m 23.70s+0.60s vs std

Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Toastmaster

Edward Greatrex · Michael Herrington · 3yo

Top-rated of 13

score 53.9 · +0.9 clear of next best (53.0)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
15d since last run (race-fit window)
Form20% weight
55average
Last 6: 2-3-5-3-3
Ratings50% weight
49below average
OR 73
Trainer20% weight
43below average
Michael Herrington: 3/18 winners last 14d (17%)

MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Doncaster 7f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–5)

IV 1.10

Mid (6–9)

IV 0.92

High (10–13)

IV 0.97

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 224 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	10	Toastmaster J: Edward Greatrex · T: Michael Herrington · draw 7 3yo · G · b	23533	9-02	73	—	—	53.9	2/1F·3.00 SP
2	3	Flight Control J: William Pyle · T: Kevin & Lauren Frost · draw 2 3yo · G · br	135	9-09	80	—	—	47.0	9/2·5.50 SP
3	1	Three Non Blondes J: Alexandra Egan(7) · T: Hayley Burton · draw 1 3yo · F · b	1215	9-11	82	—	—	47.4	22/1·23.00 SP
4	8	Cotai Eye Joe J: David Nolan · T: Ivan Furtado · draw 6 3yo · G · ch	3310	9-04	75	—	—	46.1	22/1·23.00 SP
5	12	Harswell Angel J: Oisin McSweeney · T: Roger Fell · draw 10 3yo · G · gr	74888	8-12	69	—	—	50.5	11/1·12.00 SP
6	7	French Affair J: Alec Voikhansky · T: Richard Hannon · draw 5 3yo · G · b	25424	9-05	76	—	—	52.6	5/2·3.50 SP
7	6	Gesayed J: Clifford Lee · T: K R Burke · draw 4 3yo · F · b	135	9-06	77	—	—	53.0	12/1·13.00 SP
8	2	Galileo Island J: P J McDonald · T: Marco Botti · draw 9 3yo · C · bpFT P	11324	9-09	80	—	—	50.7	22/1·23.00 SP
9	4	Chale Chalo J: William Cox · T: Tom Dascombe · draw 11 3yo · G · bp	09312	9-07	78	—	—	50.1	40/1·41.00 SP
10	13	Vega Storm J: Ryan Sexton · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 12 3yo · G · b	335	8-10	67	—	—	44.3	14/1·15.00 SP
11	11	Comprador J: Cam Hardie · T: Antony Brittain · draw 13 3yo · C · btpFT TP	33353	9-00	71	—	—	44.1	80/1·81.00 SP
12	9	Mighty Vega J: Christian Howarth(3) · T: Scott Dixon · draw 8 3yo · G · btp	182213	9-04	75	—	—	52.5	18/1·19.00 SP
13	5	Watcha Snoop J: Luke Morris · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 3 3yo · G · bpFT P	80000	9-06	77	—	—	41.3	33/1·34.00 SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 18:55 Doncaster on 20 June 2026?

Toastmaster (IRE) won the 18:55 Doncaster at SP 3.00. Ridden by Edward Greatrex. Trained by Michael Herrington.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:55 Doncaster?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Toastmaster, won the race (AI score 53.9).

What were the placings in the 18:55 Doncaster?

Top finishers: 1. Toastmaster (IRE) (3.00), 2. Flight Control (IRE) (5.50), 3. Three Non Blondes (GB) (23.00).

What was the winning time for the 18:55 Doncaster?

The winning time was 1m 23.70s, 0.60s slower than standard.

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