18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha

Pontefract Castle Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race) (GBBPlus Race)

1m4f · Flat · Class 1 · Good · 9 runners · £33,612 · Sunday, 21 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 7th
  1. 1st
    Coedana (IRE)
    Connor Beasley·E Bethell
    4/1·5.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Revoir (GB)
    Rossa Ryan·R M Beckett·beaten 0.3 lengths
    11/4·3.75
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Lemsairbat (FR)
    O J Orr·J P O'Brien·beaten 2.25 lengths
    8/1·9.00
    SP
Race time
2m 33.97s−1.83s vs std

Faster than standard — genuine race tempo.

AI top-rated Orionis (score 67.0) finished 7th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Orionis

Orionis was dominant last time at Goodwood, forging clear without fuss in a performance that looked well above handicap level; two wins from five recent outings with an experienced jockey back on board, and a step up in grade looks well deserved. Revoir sets the standard on raw Listed form and was only narrowly beaten last time, while Coedana and Merveilleux Lapin are both capable of running with credit at this trip. Orionis is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Orionis

Tom Marquand · William Haggas · 4yo

Top-rated of 9
score 67.0 · +0.6 clear of next best (66.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    30d since last run (fresh)
  • Form20% weight
    83very strong
    Last 6: 4-2-1-3-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    64average
    OR 96
  • Trainer20% weight
    50average
    William Haggas: 12/60 winners last 14d (20%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Pontefract 1m4f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.50).

Low (1–4)
IV 1.50
Mid (5–7)
IV 0.99
High (8–10)
IV 0.47

Today: Orionis (draw 3) and Revoir (draw 4) get the bias; Ryka (draw 9) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 64 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
14
J: Connor Beasley · T: Edward Bethell · draw 7
4yo · F · b
11323
10366.4
4/1·5.00
SP
210
J: Rossa Ryan · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 4
4yo · F · bp
22372
10161.7
11/4·3.75
SP
36
5yo · M · b
65252
9859.1
8/1·9.00
SP
48
J: Callum Rodriguez · T: Owen Burrows · draw 6
4yo · F · b
21302
9665.8
16/1·17.00
SP
57
J: Ray Dawson · T: Roger Varian · draw 5
4yo · F · b
01548
9654.9
10/1·11.00
SP
62
J: Daniel Tudhope · T: David O'Meara · draw 2
4yo · F · bt
31401
9057.9
33/1·34.00
SP
79
J: Tom Marquand · T: William Haggas · draw 3
4yo · F · b
42131
9667.0
2/1F·3.00
SP
85
J: Jason Hart · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 10
4yo · F · b/br
57124
9258.1
20/1·21.00
SP
93
J: P J McDonald · T: Edward Bethell · draw 1
5yo · M · grp
6545
8351.9
28/1·29.00
SP
J: Daniel Tudhope · T: David O'Meara · draw 9
4yo · F · ch
01216
9759.3

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:05 Pontefract on 21 June 2026?

Coedana (IRE) won the 15:05 Pontefract at SP 5.00. Ridden by Connor Beasley. Trained by E Bethell.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:05 Pontefract?

No — the AI top pick (Orionis) finished 7.

What were the placings in the 15:05 Pontefract?

Top finishers: 1. Coedana (IRE) (5.00), 2. Revoir (GB) (3.75), 3. Lemsairbat (FR) (9.00).

What was the winning time for the 15:05 Pontefract?

The winning time was 2m 33.97s, 1.83s faster than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org