Who won the 14:00 Carlisle on 24 June 2026?
In The Black (GB) won the 14:00 Carlisle at SP 7.50. Ridden by P J McDonald. Trained by Geoff Oldroyd.
14:00 Carlisle
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5f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 4 runners · £5,400 · Wednesday, 24 June 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 4thRace report
- 1stIn The Black (GB)P J McDonald·Geoff Oldroyd13/2·7.50SP
- 2ndBy Jove Grace (IRE)Oisin Orr·Richard & Peter Fahey·beaten 1.5 lengths18/1·19.00SP
- 3rdLouis The Fifth (IRE)Callum Rodriguez·Michael Bell·beaten 1.5 lengths7/4·2.75SP
Race time
1m 3.21s+3.51s vs std
Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.
In-running (In The Black (GB))
“In touch on the outside in third - dropped back over 2f out when green - made progress despite drifting left over 1f out - led 1f out and stayed on well”
AI top-rated Queen Of Christmas (score 23.0) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.83 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Queen Of Christmas
Queen Of Christmas has a debut run to her credit — fifth at Nottingham behind a subsequent high-class juvenile — and steps into what looks a gentler opportunity; the stable has an outstanding record with its juveniles at this venue and she should improve with that experience banked. In The Black is the most compelling newcomer on breeding — a Havana Grey filly closely related to a high-class sprinter — and Louis The Fifth, an expensive breeze-up purchase, is another respected on debut. Queen Of Christmas is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Queen Of Christmas
C Lee · K R Burke · 2yo
Top-rated of 4
score 23.0 · +3.0 clear of next best (20.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong21d since last run (race-fit window)
- Trainer20% weight35below averageK R Burke: 8/56 winners last 14d (14%)
- Form20% weight30weakLast 6: 5
- Ratings50% weight0weakno Racing Post ratings on file
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Carlisle 5f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–2)
IV 0.99
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.10
High (5–5)
IV 0.91
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 99 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | J: P J McDonald · T: G R Oldroyd · draw 4 2yo · F · gr | — | — | 15.0 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 2 | 3 | 2yo · F · b | — | — | 20.0 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 3 | 1 | J: Callum Rodriguez · T: M L W Bell · draw 2 2yo · C · b | — | — | 19.5 | 7/4·2.75 SP |
| 4 | 5 | 2yo · F · b | 5 | — | 23.0 | 5/6F·1.83 SP |
| — | — | J: Zak Wheatley · T: D Carroll · draw 3 2yo · C · b | — | — | 18.0 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:00 Carlisle?
No — the AI top pick (Queen Of Christmas) finished 4.
What were the placings in the 14:00 Carlisle?
Top finishers: 1. In The Black (GB) (7.50), 2. By Jove Grace (IRE) (19.00), 3. Louis The Fifth (IRE) (2.75).
What was the winning time for the 14:00 Carlisle?
The winning time was 1m 3.21s, 3.51s slower than standard.
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