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RacingAlpha

19:18 Dundalk (AW)

Ireland

Sunday 12th July Ladies Day At Dundalk Stadium Maiden

1m4f · Flat · Standard · 10 runners · €10,013 · Tuesday, 26 May 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick was a non-runner
  1. 1st
    Believed (IRE)
    Ben Coen·J P Murtagh
    5/4F·2.25
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Cite Florale (FR)
    W J Lee·Henry De Bromhead·beaten 8.5 lengths
    4/1·5.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Police Gazette (USA)
    Gavin Ryan·Donnacha Aidan O'Brien·beaten .5 lengths
    22/1·23.00
    SP
Race time
2m 34.95s+4.95s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

In-running (Believed (IRE))

Prominent on outer - went second over 6f out - switched to centre and led over 2f out - ridden over 1f out - went further clear inside final furlong - easily

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.25 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Cite Florale

Sent off big prices for both starts, CITE FLORALE shaped well at Naas and might be one who reserves her best for the racecourse

Forecast 2/1 Believed, 9/2 Yogini, 5/1 Cite Florale, 11/2 Diligo, 13/2 Minella Rockett, 8/1 Werifesteria, 16/1 Teoest, 20/1 Tanzanite Diamond, 25/1 Police Gazette, 100/1 Avoca Woods, 250/1 Nosmokewithoutfire

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Diligo

Declan McDonogh · Joseph Patrick O'Brien · 3yo

Top-rated of 10
score 54.5 · +2.1 clear of next best (52.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    18d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Ratings50% weight
    56average
    RPR 84 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Form20% weight
    55average
    Last 6: 4-3
  • Trainer20% weight
    28weak
    Joseph Patrick O'Brien: 7/66 winners last 14d (11%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Dundalk (AW) 1m4f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)
IV 0.89
Mid (5–8)
IV 1.09
High (9–11)
IV 1.04

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 270 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
19
J: Ben Coen · T: J P Murtagh · draw 6
3yo · F · bh
42
52.4
5/4F·2.25
SP
210
J: W J Lee · T: Henry De Bromhead · draw 10
3yo · F · gr
63
46.3
4/1·5.00
SP
35
3yo · C · b
9
35.7
22/1·23.00
SP
47
J: Andrew Slattery · T: J S Bolger · draw 2
3yo · G · b
20.0
22/1·23.00
SP
53
J: Seamie Heffernan · T: John J Nallen · draw 4
3yo · G · ch
04324
8244.6
9/4·3.25
SP
68
3yo · C · btFT T
22.5
14/1·15.00
SP
711
J: Shane Foley · T: Mrs John Harrington · draw 1
3yo · F · bpFT P
20.5
14/1·15.00
SP
86
J: Adam Caffrey · T: Adrian McGuinness · draw 8
3yo · G · b
5
42.8
50/1·51.00
SP
91
J: Luke McAteer · T: Jack Foley · draw 5
3yo · C · ch
80
29.7
100/1·101.00
SP
104
J: Sadhbh Tormey(7) · T: T G McCourt · draw 9
3yo · G · b
07
29.7
250/1·251.00
SP
3yo · C · btpFT TP
43
54.5

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 19:18 Dundalk (AW) on 26 May 2026?

Believed (IRE) won the 19:18 Dundalk (AW) at SP 2.25. Ridden by Ben Coen. Trained by J P Murtagh.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:18 Dundalk (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Diligo) was a non-runner or unplaced.

What were the placings in the 19:18 Dundalk (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Believed (IRE) (2.25), 2. Cite Florale (FR) (5.00), 3. Police Gazette (USA) (23.00).

What was the winning time for the 19:18 Dundalk (AW)?

The winning time was 2m 34.95s, 4.95s slower than standard.

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