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17:15 Carlisle

Hoover - Performance That Lasts Handicap (Div II)

7f · Flat · Class 6 · Good · 8 runners · £3,402 · Friday, 29 May 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick was a non-runner
  1. 1st
    The Gay Blade (GB)
    Andrew Mullen·Iain Jardine
    12/1·13.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Emerald Army (IRE)
    James Sullivan·Ruth Carr·beaten 1 length
    100/30J·4.33
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Jamaican Storm (GB)
    Paul Mulrennan·Bryan Smart·beaten 4 lengths
    4/1·5.00
    SP
Race time
1m 29.01s+4.21s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

In-running (The Gay Blade (GB))

“Midfield - switched right and headway over 2f out - ridden and led narrowly 1f out - faced challenge final 110yds - kept on towards finish”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 12.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Emerald Army

The choice is EMERALD ARMY who is 2lb well in following his recent narrow Catterick defeat and could take another step forward.

Forecast 9/4 Jet Warrior, 7/2 Emerald Army, 4/1 Carolus Magnus, 7/1 Kings Merchant, 10/1 Jamaican Storm, The Gay Blade, Doon The Glen, 16/1 Ziggy's Angel, 40/1 El Pinto

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Jet Warrior

Top-rated of 8
score 53.4 · +7.5 clear of next best (45.9)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Form20% weight
    75strong
    Last 6: 5-8-3-1-1
  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    1d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Ratings50% weight
    47below average
    OR 64 · RPR 82 · TS 64 — above field median
  • Trainer20% weight
    40below average
    Ben Haslam: 4/25 winners last 14d (16%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Carlisle 7f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.16).

Low (1–3)
IV 1.00
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.83
High (7–9)
IV 1.16

Today: Jamaican Storm (draw 7) and Ziggy's Angel (draw 8) get the bias; Jet Warrior (draw 4) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 96 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
17
The Gay Blade
J: Andrew Mullen · T: Iain Jardine · draw 2
7yo · G · b
114126
5745.9
12/1·13.00
SP
28
Emerald Army
J: James Sullivan · T: Ruth Carr · draw 5
5yo · G · b
30542
5340.9
100/30J·4.33
SP
33
Jamaican Storm
J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Bryan Smart · draw 7
4yo · G · b
832149
6440.4
4/1·5.00
SP
45
El Pinto
J: Jack Nicholls(5) · T: Christopher Kellett · draw 9
4yo · G · b
57670
6031.7
33/1·34.00
SP
59
Doon The Glen
J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 1
6yo · G · b
082052
4744.9
9/1·10.00
SP
61
Carolus Magnus
J: Joanna Mason · T: Michael & David Easterby · draw 3
8yo · G · b
25202
6545.9
7/2·4.50
SP
72
Kings Merchant
J: Connor Beasley · T: Philip Kirby · draw 6
5yo · G · b
74564
6440.2
100/30J·4.33
SP
84
Ziggy's Angel
J: Oisin Orr · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 8
4yo · G · gr
53850
6139.1
11/1·12.00
SP
——
Jet Warrior
J: · T: Ben Haslam · draw 4
4yo · G · b
58311
6453.4—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 17:15 Carlisle on 29 May 2026?

The Gay Blade (GB) won the 17:15 Carlisle at SP 13.00. Ridden by Andrew Mullen. Trained by Iain Jardine.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:15 Carlisle?

No — the AI top pick (Jet Warrior) was a non-runner or unplaced.

What were the placings in the 17:15 Carlisle?

Top finishers: 1. The Gay Blade (GB) (13.00), 2. Emerald Army (IRE) (4.33), 3. Jamaican Storm (GB) (5.00).

What was the winning time for the 17:15 Carlisle?

The winning time was 1m 29.01s, 4.21s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org