16:20 Carlisle

British EBF Fillies' Handicap

6f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 8 runners · £8,636 · Thursday, 9 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 7th

1st
Rogue Attraction (IRE)
Oisin Orr·Edward Bethell
12/1·13.00
SP
2nd
Cotai Belle (IRE)
Ethan Tindall·Richard & Peter Fahey·beaten 1 length
2/1J·3.00
SP
3rd
D Flawless (IRE)
Jason Hart·Paul Midgley·beaten .5 lengths
13/2·7.50
SP

Race time

1m 10.28s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Rogue Attraction (IRE))

“up with the pace early and travelling strongly 2f out - roused to hit the front over 1f out - stayed on strongly to the line”

AI top-rated Creative Queen (score 54.7) finished 7th.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 8.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way54.7/100 rating

Creative Queen

5.00SmarketsSBK

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Cotai Belle

Cotai Belle tops our ratings for this Class 4 six-furlong contest at Carlisle on good going, rated three points clear of the next-best in an eight-runner field. Bleep Test and Ormolulu also rate strongly and look the principal dangers, with Dandy Magic another to note among the chasing pack. Nothing in this race matches Cotai Belle's figure, and with selection confidence high, she is our pick to defy the rest from the top of the ratings.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Creative Queen

Paul Mulrennan · William Haggas · 3yo

Top-rated of 8

score 54.7 · +3.1 clear of next best (51.6)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
16d since last run (race-fit window)
Form20% weight
55average
Last 6: 2-6-2-1-7
Ratings50% weight
49below average
OR 74
Trainer20% weight
45below average
William Haggas: 10/56 winners last 14d (18%)

MarketBest price 5.00 (SmarketsSBK) · 2nd in the market of 8.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Carlisle 6f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)

IV 0.99

Mid (4–6)

IV 1.10

High (7–8)

IV 0.91

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 99 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	5	Rogue Attraction J: Oisin Orr · T: Edward Bethell · draw 7 3yo · F · bp	21006	9-09	79	—	—	48.4	12/1·13.00 SP
2	3	Cotai Belle J: Ethan Tindall(5) · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 4 3yo · F · b	09822	9-10	80	—	—	51.6	2/1J·3.00 SP
3	4	D Flawless J: Jason Hart · T: Paul Midgley · draw 1 5yo · M · bh	36145	9-09	73	—	—	47.6	13/2·7.50 SP
4	7	Dandy Magic J: Jake Dickson(7) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 6 4yo · F · ch	523004	9-07	71	—	—	43.2	2/1J·3.00 SP
5	2	Ormolulu J: David Nolan · T: Gemma Tutty · draw 8 6yo · M · b	73507	9-11	75	—	—	42.0	9/1·10.00 SP
6	1	Mae Amor J: Kaiya Fraser · T: Rebecca Menzies · draw 5 4yo · F · chv	70109	10-00	78	—	—	41.1	18/1·19.00 SP
7	8	Creative Queen J: Paul Mulrennan · T: William Haggas · draw 2 3yo · F · bb	26217	9-04	74	—	—	54.7	17/2·9.50 SP
8	6	Bleep Test J: Sean Kirrane · T: Tim Easterby · draw 3 3yo · F · b	22340	9-07	77	—	—	47.6	22/1·23.00 SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:20 Carlisle on 9 July 2026?

Rogue Attraction (IRE) won the 16:20 Carlisle at SP 13.00. Ridden by Oisin Orr. Trained by Edward Bethell.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:20 Carlisle?

No — the AI top pick (Creative Queen) finished 7.

What were the placings in the 16:20 Carlisle?

Top finishers: 1. Rogue Attraction (IRE) (13.00), 2. Cotai Belle (IRE) (3.00), 3. D Flawless (IRE) (7.50).

What was the winning time for the 16:20 Carlisle?

The winning time was 1m 10.28s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org