Who won the 16:30 Doncaster on 9 July 2026?
Celtic Chariot (IRE) won the 16:30 Doncaster at SP 7.00. Ridden by David Egan. Trained by Kevin & Lauren Frost.
16:30 Doncaster
Betfred Nifty 50 Handicap (Rnd)
1m · Flat · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 7 runners · £3,768 · Thursday, 9 July 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 2ndRace report
- 1stCeltic Chariot (IRE)David Egan·Kevin & Lauren Frost6/1·7.00SP
- 2ndNorcross Brow (GB)AI top pick · 48.5Billy Loughnane·Charlie Clover·beaten .5 lengths7/4F·2.75SP
- 3rdKiss Me My Love (IRE)Joanna Mason·Roger Fell·beaten 0.2 lengths3/1·4.00SP
Race time
1m 37.98s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Celtic Chariot (IRE))
“racing in the pack early - roused along 2f out - made rapid progress 1f out - got up to score close home”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.75 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way44.5/100 rating
Kiss Me My Love
7.00Bet365
Place portion settles at 2.20 · 1/5 odds · 3 places
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Norcross Brow
Seven runners go to post at Doncaster over this mile on good to firm, and there's little to separate the leading contenders. Myrrh heads our figures on a rating of 73, with Kiss Me My Love and Okiru both firmly in the mix as leading dangers. We prefer Norcross Brow, though, who won last time out and shows a genuinely progressive profile even without matching the top figure on the book, and he's our selection with confidence admittedly low in such a tight race.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Norcross Brow
Billy Loughnane · Charlie Clover · 3yo
Top-rated of 7
score 48.5 · +4.0 clear of next best (44.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight70strong9d since last run (quick turnaround)
- Form20% weight56averageLast 6: 2-4-6-8-3-1
- Trainer20% weight50averageCharlie Clover: 2/10 winners last 14d (20%)
- Ratings50% weight41below averageOR 61
MarketBest price 2.25 (SmarketsSBK) · market favourite.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Doncaster 1m
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–3)
IV 1.10
Mid (4–5)
IV 0.92
High (6–7)
IV 0.97
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 224 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | J: David Egan · T: Kevin & Lauren Frost · draw 1 3yo · G · ch | 3664 | 64 | 43.6 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 2 | 3 | J: Billy Loughnane · T: Charlie Clover · draw 7 3yo · G · b | 246831 | 61 | 48.5 | 7/4F·2.75 SP |
| 3 | 1 | J: Joanna Mason · T: Roger Fell · draw 3 4yo · F · b | 045219 | 65 | 44.5 | 3/1·4.00 SP |
| 4 | 4 | J: Harry Vigors(5) · T: Archie Watson · draw 5 3yo · G · bb | 56U572 | 64 | 36.8 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 5 | 2 | J: P J McDonald · T: Alan Brown · draw 4 6yo · M · bp | 365356 | 62 | 34.3 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 6 | 7 | J: Rowan Scott · T: Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole · draw 2 3yo · G · bb | 36064 | 61 | 39.2 | 17/2·9.50 SP |
| 7 | 6 | J: Daniel Tudhope · T: David O'Meara · draw 6 3yo · F · b | 33468 | 63 | 42.9 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:30 Doncaster?
No — the AI top pick (Norcross Brow) finished 2.
What were the placings in the 16:30 Doncaster?
Top finishers: 1. Celtic Chariot (IRE) (7.00), 2. Norcross Brow (GB) (2.75), 3. Kiss Me My Love (IRE) (4.00).
What was the winning time for the 16:30 Doncaster?
The winning time was 1m 37.98s.
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