18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha

14:02 York

John Smith's Nursery

6f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 8 runners · £12,885 · Saturday, 11 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 4th
  1. 1st
    Big Cigar (IRE)
    Oisin Orr·Richard & Peter Fahey
    5/2F·3.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Brandenburg (GB)
    Joanna Mason·Stephen Hanlon·beaten 1.5 lengths
    50/1·51.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Ballisty (IRE)
    Jason Hart·Jack Jones·beaten 1.75 lengths
    11/2·6.50
    SP
Race time
1m 12.12s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Big Cigar (IRE))

Sat behind the pace - came under a drive to go on over 1f out - wandered left but driven out to continue firmly to the line

AI top-rated Furturra (score 61.3) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 5.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way61.3/100 rating
Furturra
7.50Midnite
Place portion settles at 2.30 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Super Tuscan

Super Tuscan is our selection at York, sitting clear on our figures with a rating of 90 in this Class 4 six-furlong test on good to firm. He looks the one they all have to catch, with Furturra and Big Cigar the most dangerous of the chasing pack. Social Spirit also commands respect and, on his best, is capable of running into the frame. Confidence in Super Tuscan is high on the balance of the form.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Furturra

Sean Kirrane · Tim Easterby · 2yo

Top-rated of 9
score 61.3 · +4.3 clear of next best (57.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    14d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    85very strong
    Last 6: 2-3-1-2-1-2
  • Ratings50% weight
    55average
    OR 82 — above field median
  • Trainer20% weight
    35below average
    Tim Easterby: 15/104 winners last 14d (14%)
MarketBest price 7.50 (Midnite) · 5th in the market of 9.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — York 6f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.37).

Low (1–3)
IV 1.37
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.90
High (7–9)
IV 0.69

Today: Furturra (draw 2) and Super Tuscan (draw 3) get the bias; Big Cigar (draw 8) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 137 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
12
J: Oisin Orr · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 8
2yo · C · b
15
8453.7
5/2F·3.50
SP
29
J: Joanna Mason · T: Stephen Hanlon · draw 9
2yo · C · b
01
7047.2
50/1·51.00
SP
35
J: Jason Hart · T: Jack Jones · draw 7
2yo · C · b
323
7648.5
11/2·6.50
SP
44
J: Sean Kirrane · T: Tim Easterby · draw 2
2yo · G · ch
231212
8261.3
5/1·6.00
SP
51
J: Rob Hornby · T: Eve Johnson Houghton · draw 3
2yo · G · gr
541
8457.0
9/2·5.50
SP
66
J: Rossa Ryan · T: Clive Cox · draw 5
2yo · C · b
10
7649.0
7/2·4.50
SP
78
J: Ben Robinson · T: Tim Easterby · draw 6
2yo · C · b
653
7450.3
28/1·29.00
SP
87
2yo · G · b
356
7547.0
10/1·11.00
SP
J: Andrew Mullen · T: Ben Haslam · draw 1
2yo · C · b
431
8353.2

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:02 York on 11 July 2026?

Big Cigar (IRE) won the 14:02 York at SP 3.50. Ridden by Oisin Orr. Trained by Richard & Peter Fahey.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:02 York?

No — the AI top pick (Furturra) finished 4.

What were the placings in the 14:02 York?

Top finishers: 1. Big Cigar (IRE) (3.50), 2. Brandenburg (GB) (51.00), 3. Ballisty (IRE) (6.50).

What was the winning time for the 14:02 York?

The winning time was 1m 12.12s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org