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RacingAlpha

18:33 Gowran Park

Ireland

Ladies Day July 25th Apprentice Handicap

1m1½f · Flat · Yielding · 5 runners · €8,835 · Friday, 12 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 4th
  1. 1st
    Fallacy (USA)
    Sam Coen·Andrew Slattery
    3/1·4.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Rapide Vega (IRE)
    Keithen Kennedy·Mrs John Harrington·beaten 12 lengths
    4/1·5.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Son Of Beauty (IRE)
    Jack Kearney·Stephen Thorne·beaten 7.5 lengths
    9/4F·3.25
    SP
Race time
2m 5.46s+8.06s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

AI top-rated Rayzera (score 51.1) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.33 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Rayzera

Rory Mulligan(2) · J P Murtagh · 3yo

Top-rated of 5
score 51.1 · +4.2 clear of next best (47.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    17d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    57average
    Last 6: 5-5-2-2-4
  • Ratings50% weight
    51average
    OR 77
  • Trainer20% weight
    20weak
    J P Murtagh: 2/24 winners last 14d (8%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Gowran Park 1m1½f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.13).

Low (1–2)
IV 1.11
Mid (3–4)
IV 0.73
High (5–6)
IV 1.13

Today: Fallacy (draw 5) and Chapel Island (draw 6) get the bias; Arctic Assassin (draw 4) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 95 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
14
J: Sam Coen(2) · T: Andrew Slattery · draw 5
3yo · G · b
9683
7242.3
3/1·4.00
SP
25
3yo · G · b
0458
7146.1
4/1·5.00
SP
31
J: Jack Kearney · T: Stephen Thorne · draw 1
3yo · G · b
31653
8344.5
9/4F·3.25
SP
42
J: Rory Mulligan(2) · T: J P Murtagh · draw 2
3yo · F · b
55224
7751.1
100/30·4.33
SP
53
3yo · G · chbFT B
07918
7647.0
17/2·9.50
SP
J: Conor Cusack(7) · T: A Oliver · draw 6
3yo · C · brt
60878
6232.8

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 18:33 Gowran Park on 12 June 2026?

Fallacy (USA) won the 18:33 Gowran Park at SP 4.00. Ridden by Sam Coen. Trained by Andrew Slattery.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:33 Gowran Park?

No — the AI top pick (Rayzera) finished 4.

What were the placings in the 18:33 Gowran Park?

Top finishers: 1. Fallacy (USA) (4.00), 2. Rapide Vega (IRE) (5.00), 3. Son Of Beauty (IRE) (3.25).

What was the winning time for the 18:33 Gowran Park?

The winning time was 2m 5.46s, 8.06s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org