18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha

18:40 Naas

Ireland

Al Shira'aa Racing Irish EBF Jannah Rose Stakes (Fillies' Group 3)

1m2½f · Flat · Class 1 · Good · 5 runners · €44,175 · Wednesday, 24 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd
  1. 1st
    Rebel Moon (GB)
    Dylan Browne McMonagle·Joseph Patrick O'Brien
    11/4·3.75
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Caught U Sleeping (IRE)
    Ben Coen·Noel Meade·beaten 0.3 lengths
    6/1·7.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Cameo (IRE)AI top pick · 65.7
    Wayne Lordan·A P O'Brien·beaten 5 lengths
    5/4F·2.25
    SP
Race time
2m 11.46s+2.06s vs std

Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.

In-running (Rebel Moon (GB))

“Held up in rear - moved into third over 2f out - ridden to press leader from 200yds out - got up close home”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.25 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Cameo

Cameo has two wins from five recent outings and her last defeat came when sent forward too aggressively on soft ground at the highest level — she is better than that run and back on quicker going, which suits her action, she can reassert. Rebel Moon made an eye-catching debut on her only start, putting the field away with authority, and a stablemate has since endorsed that form in Group company; she is a genuine threat. Caught U Sleeping landed a Listed prize here last time, improving on her previous form, and cannot be discounted. Della Pace is also progressing. Cameo is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Cameo

Wayne Lordan · A P O'Brien · 3yo

Top-rated of 5
score 65.7 · +4.6 clear of next best (61.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    19d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Ratings50% weight
    69strong
    OR 104 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Form20% weight
    55average
    Last 6: 1-4-5-1-5
  • Trainer20% weight
    50average
    A P O'Brien: 8/41 winners last 14d (20%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Naas 1m2½f

full course data →

Sample too small to call at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 0.63
Mid (4–5)
IV 1.16
High (6–7)
IV 1.28

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 37 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
16
Rebel Moon
J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: J P O'Brien · draw 7
3yo · F · b
1
—34.5
11/4·3.75
SP
22
Caught U Sleeping
J: Ben Coen · T: N Meade · draw 3
3yo · F · ch
36881
10160.6
6/1·7.00
SP
31
Cameo
J: Wayne Lordan · T: A P O'Brien · draw 2
3yo · F · b
14515
10465.7
5/4F·2.25
SP
43
Della Pace
J: Billy Lee · T: G Boughey · draw 1
3yo · F · b
15243
9361.1
7/1·8.00
SP
54
La Fogata
J: Chris Hayes · T: Donnacha O'Brien · draw 5
3yo · F · ch
41824
9953.8
13/2·7.50
SP
——
Sinmara
J: Declan McDonogh · T: J P O'Brien · draw 6
3yo · F · b
3147
9456.9—
——
Pollenca
J: Andrew Slattery · T: A Slattery · draw 4
3yo · F · gr
4104
9253.2—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 18:40 Naas on 24 June 2026?

Rebel Moon (GB) won the 18:40 Naas at SP 3.75. Ridden by Dylan Browne McMonagle. Trained by Joseph Patrick O'Brien.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:40 Naas?

No — the AI top pick (Cameo) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 18:40 Naas?

Top finishers: 1. Rebel Moon (GB) (3.75), 2. Caught U Sleeping (IRE) (7.00), 3. Cameo (IRE) (2.25).

What was the winning time for the 18:40 Naas?

The winning time was 2m 11.46s, 2.06s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org