Who won the 16:00 Curragh on 13 September 2026?
Folsom Blues (IRE) won the 16:00 Curragh at SP 6.50. Ridden by J M Sheridan. Trained by Joseph Patrick O'Brien.
Goffs Vincent O'Brien National Stakes (Group 1)
7f · Flat · Class 1 · Yielding · 8 runners · €240,000 · Sunday, 13 September 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 5thRace report
- 1stFolsom Blues (IRE)J M Sheridan·Joseph Patrick O'Brien11/2·6.50SP
- 2ndMonogram (GB)Colin Keane·Joseph Patrick O'Brien·beaten 6 lengths9/4F·3.25SP
- 3rdFlorida Bay (IRE)Ronan Whelan·A P O'Brien·beaten 1.25 lengths12/1·13.00SP
Race time
1m 27.80s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Folsom Blues (IRE))
“Held up towards back of pack - moving smoothly into 3rd 2f out - shaken up to hit front 1f out - driven out and powered clear final furlong - comfortable win”
AI top-rated Dr Rascal (score 74.5) finished 5th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way74.5/100 rating
Dr Rascal
5.80Smarkets
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Haffner
Haffner holds a progressive profile that makes him an intriguing proposition in this seven-furlong Class 1 at the Curragh, and while he sits narrowly behind the top-rated Folsom Blues on our figures, there is a reasonable case that his upward trajectory has him improving into that gap. Folsom Blues represents the most obvious threat as the highest-rated runner in the field, with Dr Rascal and Trean also capable of making their presence felt on a competitive card. Confidence is tempered given the quality of the opposition, but Haffner's continuing progress is the basis for siding with him, and he is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Dr Rascal
Kaiya Fraser · Oliver Cole · 2yo
Top-rated of 8
score 74.5 · +4.3 clear of next best (70.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Form20% weight100very strongLast 6: 1-1-1
- Freshness10% weight85very strong47d since last run (fresh)
- Ratings50% weight74strongOR 111
- Trainer20% weight45below averageOliver Cole: 2/11 winners last 14d (18%)
MarketBest price 5.80 (Smarkets) · 3rd in the market of 8.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Curragh 7f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–3)
IV 0.96
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.99
High (7–8)
IV 1.04
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 211 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | J: J M Sheridan · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 8 2yo · C · b | 3122 | 113 | 67.3 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 2 | 6 | J: Colin Keane · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 2 2yo · C · b | 1 | — | 35.0 | 9/4F·3.25 SP |
| 3 | 2 | J: Ronan Whelan · T: A P O'Brien · draw 1 2yo · C · b | 31412 | 106 | 66.1 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 4 | 8 | 2yo · C · b | 3013 | 105 | 62.5 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 5 | 1 | J: Kaiya Fraser · T: Oliver Cole · draw 3 2yo · C · b | 111 | 111 | 74.5 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 6 | 4 | J: Ryan Moore · T: A P O'Brien · draw 4 2yo · C · b | 311 | 108 | 69.7 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 7 | 5 | J: Wayne Lordan · T: A P O'Brien · draw 7 2yo · C · b | 2121 | 111 | 70.2 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 8 | 7 | J: Chris Hayes · T: D K Weld · draw 5 2yo · C · b | 1 | — | 37.5 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:00 Curragh?
No — the AI top pick (Dr Rascal) finished 5.
What were the placings in the 16:00 Curragh?
Top finishers: 1. Folsom Blues (IRE) (6.50), 2. Monogram (GB) (3.25), 3. Florida Bay (IRE) (13.00).
What was the winning time for the 16:00 Curragh?
The winning time was 1m 27.80s.
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